Check Rockets vs. Warriors game 5 prediction here. With their backs against the wall, the Houston Rockets return to the Toyota Center on Wednesday night hoping to stave off elimination in Game 5 against the Golden State Warriors. After dropping Game 4 in San Francisco 104-93, the Rockets now trail 3-1 in the best-of-seven series. Golden State, led by a scorching 36-point performance from Stephen Curry, has reclaimed control and now eyes a trip to the Western Conference Semifinals with one more win.
Houston, a strong home team all season (25-8), enters as a 4-point favorite despite the series deficit, leaning on their rebounding edge and top-tier defense to slow down a Warriors squad that’s heating up at the right time. Golden State, meanwhile, has won six of the last nine head-to-head matchups and carries a battle-tested playoff core with momentum on their side.
With both teams ranking top 10 in scoring and rebounding, fans can expect a gritty, possession-heavy showdown. Can Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green rally the Rockets, or will Curry and company slam the door?
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📺 Where to Watch Rockets vs. Warriors Game 5? (Wednesday, April 30 2025)
- Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET (2:30 a.m. local)
- Location: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
- TV Broadcast: TNT
- Streaming: Watch on the TNT app or Fubo
💰 Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets -4
- Total (O/U): 204.5 points
- Moneyline: Rockets -192 | Warriors +160
📈 Series Recap
- Game 1: Rockets 110, Warriors 99
- Game 2: Warriors 108, Rockets 102
- Game 3: Warriors 118, Rockets 101
- Game 4: Warriors 104, Rockets 93
- Series: Warriors lead 3-1
Golden State has won three straight after dropping Game 1. Their defensive effort has ramped up, holding Houston to under 104 points in each of the last three contests.
📊 Betting Trends & Insights
- Warriors are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games vs. Rockets.
- Both teams average a combined 228.1 PPG, well over the listed total (204.5).
- Rockets: 5-5 ATS in last 10 | Over hit in 56.1% of their games this season
- Warriors: 6-4 in last 10 | Averaging 109.6 PPG in that span | Over hit in 51.2%
- Houston is 41-12 when scoring over 110.5 points.
- Golden State is 39-12 when scoring more than 109.8 points.
🚑 Injury Report
- Rockets: Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) – day to day
- Warriors: No injuries reported
🎯 Player Prop Bets (Regular Season Averages)
Player | Line (Pts) | Over Odds | PPG |
Alperen Sengun | 19.5 | -120 | 19.1 |
Jalen Green | 16.5 | -125 | 21.0 |
Fred VanVleet | 13.5 | -120 | 14.1 |
Stephen Curry | 26.5 | -120 | 24.5 |
Jimmy Butler | 18.5 | -125 | 17.5 |
Brandin Podziemski | 13.5 | -115 | 11.7 |
🧩 Same Game Parlay (Sample)
- ✅ Stephen Curry 25+ points
- ✅ Jalen Green 15+ points
- ✅ Total Points: Over 204.5
- ✅ Warriors +4.5
+600 odds (DraftKings)
🔚 Final Rockets vs. Warriors Game 5 Prediction
The Rockets have their backs against the wall, but the Warriors’ momentum and playoff pedigree can’t be ignored. Expect Houston to make it competitive at home, but Golden State’s defense and outside shooting remain the X-factor.
- ✅ Pick ATS: Warriors +4
- ✅ Pick O/U: Over 204.5
- ✅ Final Score: Warriors 113, Rockets 110
- ✅ Series Outcome: Warriors advance 4-1