Get the full HyunSung Park vs. Carlos Hernandez prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 106.
Undefeated Korean prospect HyunSung “Peace of Mind” Park returns to the Octagon after a year-and-a-half layoff to face tough gatekeeper Carlos Hernandez in a flyweight showcase at UFC Vegas 106. Park looks to stay perfect and keep climbing the ladder, while Hernandez is determined to test yet another rising talent.
Will Park’s patience and precision continue to pay off? Or will Hernandez’s grinding wrestling style expose the holes in Park’s cautious approach?
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 106: HyunSung Park vs. Carlos Hernandez? (May 17, 2025)
| 🗓 Date | Saturday, May 17, 2025 |
| 🕖 Time | Main Card – 8:00 p.m. ET |
| 📍 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada |
| 📡 Broadcast | ESPN+, UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Implied Win % |
| HyunSung Park | -148 | 59.7% |
| Carlos Hernandez | +124 | 44.6% |
| Fight Outcome | Odds |
| Fight Goes Distance | -210 |
| Park by Decision | +125 |
| Hernandez by Submission | +400 |
| Park Inside the Distance | +230 |
📏 Tale of the Tape
| Category | HyunSung Park | Carlos Hernandez |
| Record | 9-0-0 | 10-4-0 |
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Height | 5’7″ | 5’8″ |
| Reach | 66″ | 67″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Avg. Fight Time | 7:18 | 12:01 |
| Strikes Landed Per Min | 4.15 | 3.90 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 45% |
| Strikes Absorbed Per Min | 3.43 | 3.43 |
| Striking Defense | 59% | 50% |
| Takedown Avg/15 Min | 1.54 | 1.32 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 27% | 21% |
| Takedown Defense | 85% | 67% |
| Submission Avg/15 Min | 2.6 | 0.2 |
🔍 Why HyunSung Park Will Win
- ✅ Unbeaten confidence – Park has never tasted defeat and comes in with a clean 9-0 record, including a dominant KO win in his UFC debut.
- ✅ Excellent submission threat – Averaging 2.6 sub attempts per 15 minutes, Park is always dangerous on the mat.
- ✅ Strong defensive fundamentals – With an 85% takedown defense rate, Park should be able to keep the fight standing and land the cleaner, harder shots.
💡 Park’s power and patience could frustrate Hernandez into overcommitting, creating windows for takedowns or counters.
🔍 Why Carlos Hernandez Will Win
- ✅ Durable and experienced – Hernandez has gone the distance in 6 of his 7 UFC bouts and thrives in gritty, grinding decisions.
- ✅ Solid wrestler – If Park’s inactivity opens up early takedowns, Hernandez can bank rounds with top control.
- ✅ Activity edge – With more total UFC cage time, Hernandez knows how to edge close decisions against tentative opponents. 💡 Hernandez needs to press early, push the pace, and turn this into a volume-based clinch game to avoid Park’s big moments.
💣 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop | Odds |
| ✅ Fight Goes the Distance | -210 |
| 📝 Park by Decision | +125 |
| 🥋 Hernandez by Submission | +400 |
| ⚡ Under 2.5 Rounds | +275 |
| 🔁 Over 2.5 Rounds | -250 |
🧪 Same Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz Pick)
- ✅ Park to Win
- ✅ Over 2.5 Rounds
- ✅ Fight Goes Distance
📊 Odds: +180
💰 $50 wager pays ~$140
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Prediction
🥊 Pick: HyunSung Park by Decision
🔮 Confidence Level: 7/10
This should be a methodical, tactical fight. Park has the better tools and higher upside, but he’s not a finisher by nature. Hernandez will hang around, test the waters, and even win a round. But Park’s power and cleaner shot selection will likely sway the judges in a close one.
📌 The undefeated streak continues—expect “Peace of Mind” to edge out a 29-28 decision across the board.
