Get our full Stars vs. Oilers prediction with odds, series recap, player props, parlay picks, and final prediction for this NHL semifinal game.
The Western Conference Finals begin with a bang as the Dallas Stars host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 1 at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is set for 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN, and both teams enter this series red-hot with legitimate Stanley Cup aspirations.
Oddsmakers have the Stars favored at -130 on the moneyline, with a total of 6.5 goals. The Oilers, riding an 8-2 record in their last 10, are live underdogs at +110. Let’s dig into the ClutchBuzz breakdown and find the value on the ice.
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📺 Where To Watch Stars vs. Oilers? (May 21, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 📅 Date | Wednesday, May 21, 2025 |
| 🕗 Time | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| 📍 Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas |
| 📺 TV | ESPN |
| 📲 Stream | Fubo (regional restrictions) |
💰 Odds & Betting Lines
| Type | Stars | Oilers |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Puck Line | +190 (-1.5) | -230 (+1.5) |
| Total (O/U) | O 6.5 (-110) | U 6.5 (-110) |
🔥 Game Preview
⭐ Dallas Stars: Balanced and Battle-Tested
The Stars have the third-best scoring offense in the NHL (275 goals) and a stout defense that’s allowed just 2.7 goals per game — good for 6th-best. They’re also deep and physical, ranking top-10 in hits and blocked shots.
Led by Mikko Rantanen and Matt Duchene, the Stars are averaging 2.7 goals per game over their last 10 while holding opponents to 2.5. With Jake Oettinger locked in (.918 save percentage in the playoffs), Dallas has both the firepower and structure to control tempo.
Regular Season vs. Oilers: 2-1 record, including a 4-3 win on March 26.
🔥 Edmonton Oilers: Firepower Fueled by Draisaitl & McDavid
The Oilers are blazing, going 8-2-0 in their last 10 games while averaging 3.8 goals per outing. Leon Draisaitl (106 PTS) and Connor McDavid (100 PTS) remain one of the most dangerous duos in hockey, and Evan Bouchard has been pivotal in transition.
Still, Edmonton’s defense is suspect. They’ve allowed 2.9 goals per game on the season and Stuart Skinner’s .896 save percentage is shaky — especially against a team like Dallas that thrives on shot quality and depth scoring.
📈 Betting Trends
Dallas Stars
- ✅ 49-24 as moneyline favorites this season (67.1%)
- ✅ 6-4 in last 10 games
- ✅ 2-1 vs. Edmonton this year
- ✅ Under has hit in 4 of their last 6
Edmonton Oilers
- ✅ 12-8 as underdogs this year (60%)
- ✅ 8-2 in last 10 games
- ❌ No shutouts recorded this season
- ✅ Over is 7-3 in last 10 games
🏒 Key Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop | Line | Lean |
| Mikko Rantanen | Points | 1.5 | 🔼 Over |
| Leon Draisaitl | Goals | 0.5 | 🔼 Over |
| Jake Oettinger | Saves | 28.5 | 🔼 Over |
| Connor McDavid | Assists | 1.5 | 🔼 Over |
💣 ClutchBuzz Same Game Parlay (DraftKings +650 Odds)
- ✅ Stars ML
- ✅ Under 6.5
- ✅ Rantanen Anytime Goal
- ✅ Oettinger 30+ Saves
🚑 Injury Report
| Team | Player | Status |
| Stars | Nils Lundkvist | ❌ Out (Upper Body) |
| Oilers | Alec Regula | ❌ Out (Knee) |
| Oilers | Calvin Pickard | 🤕 Day-to-day (Undisclosed) |
| Oilers | Mattias Ekholm | ❌ Out (Undisclosed) |
🧠 ClutchBuzz Stars vs. Oilers Prediction
The Stars are simply more complete, especially defensively and in net. The Oilers can score in bunches, but Dallas has a history of slowing down elite talent. In a chess match of depth vs. firepower, we lean toward the more balanced side.
Expect Dallas to strike early, keep McDavid and Draisaitl honest, and ride Oettinger to a Game 1 victory.
🔮 Final Score Prediction: Stars 4, Oilers 2
🔒 ATS Pick: Oilers +1.5
📉 O/U Pick: Under 6.5
💵 Moneyline Pick: Stars -130
The Stars are rested, confident, and playing at home, where they’ve been dominant. The Oilers have the better top-end talent, but Dallas has the better goaltender, deeper roster, and playoff-tested blue line.
Expect Game 1 to be tight, chippy, and physical, with the Stars ultimately drawing first blood.
🧊 Best Bets Recap:
- ✅ Stars ML (-130)
- ✅ Under 6.5 goals
- ✅ Oettinger Over 28.5 Saves
- ✅ Rantanen 1+ Point
- ✅ SGP +650
