Get the Mets vs. White Sox prediction with odds, series recap, player props, parlay picks and best bets for this Monday MLB game.
The New York Mets (32-21) return to Citi Field on Memorial Day to open a new series against the struggling Chicago White Sox (17-36). The Mets are listed as -150 favorites while the White Sox come in as +125 underdogs. The total is set at 9 runs.
This game features a contrasting matchup between one of the top pitching teams in baseball (Mets) and one of the league’s coldest offenses (White Sox). With both teams starting right-handers who pitched gems in their most recent outings, we could see a competitive, low-scoring affair.
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📺 Where To Watch Mets vs. White Sox? (May 26, 2025)
- 📅 Date: Monday, May 26, 2025
- 🕓 Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- 📍 Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- 📺 Watch: MLB Network, SNY, CHSN
- 🎟️ Tickets: Available via Vivid Seats
✅ Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Odds |
| Moneyline – Mets | -150 |
| Moneyline – White Sox | +125 |
| Spread (Mets -1.5) | +140 |
| Spread (White Sox +1.5) | -165 |
| Total Over 9.0 | -110 |
| Total Under 9.0 | -110 |
⚾️ Starting Pitchers
Mets: Clay Holmes (5-3, 3.13 ERA)
- 🔹 10 starts | 54.2 IP | 53 K | 1.296 WHIP
- Holmes has been sharp, holding opponents to a .238 batting average.
- In his last outing vs. Boston: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K
- The Mets are 6-1 in his last 7 starts.
White Sox: Adrian Houser (1-0, 0.00 ERA)
- 🔹 1 start | 6.0 IP | 0 ER | .111 BAA
- Houser looked brilliant in his season debut vs. Seattle.
- He brings experience (614 career IP) but has struggled with consistency.
📊 Team Stats Snapshot
| Category | White Sox | Mets |
| Record | 17-36 | 32-21 |
| Runs/Game | 3.4 (28th MLB) | 4.4 (13th MLB) |
| Batting Average | .221 (29th) | .245 (16th) |
| Home Runs | 44 | 55 |
| Team ERA | 4.11 (21st) | 2.81 (1st) |
| Bullpen Save % | 30.8% | 61.9% |
| Defensive Fielding % | .978 (29th) | .986 (16th) |
🔑 Key Players to Watch
🟦 New York Mets
- Pete Alonso: Leads team with 10 HR, .291 AVG, 40 RBI
- Francisco Lindor: 10 HR, .459 SLG – has hit safely in 7 of last 10 games
- Clay Holmes: 5-3 record, solid strikeout-to-walk ratio (2.39)
⚪️ Chicago White Sox
- Miguel Vargas: 7 HR, 23 RBI – power bat to watch
- Chase Meidroth: Batting .305 with 12-game hit streak
- Adrian Houser: Coming off a 6-inning, 2-hit shutout performance
📈 Betting Trends
- Mets are 25-14 as moneyline favorites this season.
- White Sox are 2-51 when trailing after 7 innings.
- The under is 7-3 in the Mets’ last 10 home games.
- White Sox are 6-14 in their last 20 road games.
📋 Injury Report
Mets
- Brandon Nimmo (Day-to-day, neck)
- Jesse Winker (10-day IL, side)
- Jose Siri, Frankie Montás, Sean Manaea among others on 60-day IL
White Sox
- Korey Lee (10-day IL, ankle)
- Martín Pérez (60-day IL, forearm)
- Several pitchers out long-term (Thorpe, Berroa, Bush)
🧢 Mets vs White Sox Prop Bets (Popular Picks)
| Player Prop | Pick | Odds |
| Pete Alonso – HR | Over 0.5 | +300 |
| Clay Holmes – K’s | Over 5.5 | -110 |
| Chase Meidroth – Hit | Yes | -180 |
| Total Runs – First 5 Inn. | Under 4.5 | -120 |
🧩 Same Game Parlay (SGP) Suggestion
| Leg | Pick | Odds |
| Mets to Win | ML (-150) | ✅ |
| Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run | Yes (+300) | 🎯 |
| Clay Holmes Over 5.5 Strikeouts | Over (-110) | 🔥 |
| Total Runs Under 9.0 | Under (-110) | 🧊 |
💰 Combined Parlay Odds: Approx. +950
🎯 Projected Payout: $10 bet ➝ ~$105 return
🧮 Final Mets vs. White Sox Prediction
With Holmes looking like a steady anchor in the Mets’ rotation and the White Sox’s bats remaining cold despite a few hot streaks (Vargas, Meidroth), New York has the edge here — especially at home.
The total of 9.0 may seem high, but both starters could limit damage early. Look for the Mets’ bullpen and defense to secure the W.
🔮 Final Score Prediction: Mets 4, White Sox 2
✅ Best Bets:
- Mets ML (-150)
- Under 9.0 Runs
- Clay Holmes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (if available)
