Let’s break down the best Shai Gilgeous-Alexander prop bet picks to target for Monday’s matchup vs. Timberwolves with updated odds and insights.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder look to bounce back in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals as they trail the Minnesota Timberwolves 2–1.
All eyes will be on SGA’s impact as a scorer and facilitator in this crucial matchup.
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📺 Where to Watch Thunder vs. Timberwolves ? (May 26, 2025)
| Platform | Details |
| 📺 TV Channel | ESPN, ESPN2 |
| 🕘 Time | 8:30 PM ET |
| 🏟️ Venue | Target Center – Minneapolis, MN |
| 💻 Stream | Fubo (Free Trial) |
📊 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Lines
| Market | Line | Odds |
| Points | 31.5 | Over (-115) / Under (-105) |
| Rebounds | 4.5 | Over (-145) / Under (+105) |
| Assists | 6.5 | Over (-140) / Under (+100) |
| Made Threes | 1.5 | Over (-125) / Under (+100) |
📺 Game Time: Monday, May 26 – 8:30 PM ET on ESPN
📈 SGA’s Recent Performances
| Opponent | Minutes | Points | Assists | Rebounds |
| vs Timberwolves (G3) | 28 | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| vs Timberwolves (G2) | 42 | 38 | 8 | 3 |
| vs Timberwolves (G1) | 38 | 31 | 9 | 5 |
| vs Nuggets | 36 | 35 | 4 | 3 |
| vs Nuggets | 35 | 32 | 6 | 3 |
In this series, SGA is averaging:
- 27.7 points
- 7.7 assists
- 3.3 rebounds
🧠 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prop Insights
✅ Best Bet: OVER 6.5 Assists (-140)
SGA is averaging 15.3 potential assists per game in the postseason — a significant jump from his regular-season mark of 12.1. He’s hit or exceeded 6 dimes in 10 of his last 13 playoff games. Even in a Game 3 blowout where he played under 28 minutes, he still logged 6 assists.
If Game 4 is competitive, expect Shai to eclipse this number again.
💰 Secondary Picks
| Prop | Pick | Why It Works |
| Points: Over 31.5 | ❌ Risky | He’s cleared 31.5 in just 2 of his last 5 games. |
| Rebounds: Under 4.5 | ⚠️ Lean Under | Minnesota’s size has limited his glass work. |
| Threes: Over 1.5 | ✅ Value | SGA averages 2.1 made 3s/game this postseason. |
🧩 SGA Same Game Parlay Suggestion
| Leg | Pick |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ PTS | ✅ |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 7+ AST | ✅ |
| Anthony Edwards 30+ PTS | ✅ |
| Game Total OVER 216.5 | ✅ |
| Projected Odds: | +875 |
📉 Timberwolves Defense – Tough but Not Untouchable
- 🧱 FG% Allowed: 46.0%
- 🎯 3P% Allowed: 35.3%
- 🧼 Points Allowed: 109.3 (5th in NBA)
- 💪 Assists Allowed: 24.8 per game
Minnesota defends well overall, but SGA’s ability to operate in isolation and out of pick-and-rolls gives him volume and opportunity even when the offense sputters.
🏀 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prop Bet Picks
SGA has been the heart of OKC’s offense all year, but his passing continues to be undervalued in prop markets. With the Thunder trying to even the series, expect a big-minute, high-usage performance. The best betting value lies in his assists (Over 6.5) and threes (Over 1.5) markets.
