Get the full Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 316.
It’s a classic striker’s clash at UFC 316 as Azamat “The Professional” Murzakanov puts his undefeated record on the line against short-notice replacement Brendson “The Gorilla” Ribeiro in a high-stakes light heavyweight bout. Can Ribeiro pull off a monster upset with chaos and reach, or will Murzakanov silence the noise with one punch?
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📺 Where to Watch UFC 316: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro? (June 7, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 🗓 Date | Saturday, June 7, 2025 |
| 🕕 Main Card | 6:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM PT |
| 📍 Venue | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
| 📡 Broadcast | ESPN+ PPV |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | KO/TKO | Decision | Submission | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Azamat Murzakanov | -625 | -150 | +400 | +800 | +124 | -160 |
| Brendson Ribeiro | +455 | +750 | +900 | +550 | +124 | -160 |
💡 Line Movement: Murzakanov opened at -575, now steamed up to -625.
🧪 Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Azamat Murzakanov | Brendson Ribeiro |
| Record | 14-0-0 | 17-7-0 (1 NC) |
| Age | 36 | 28 |
| Height | 5’10” | 6’3” |
| Reach | 71” | 81” |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Strikes Landed Per Min | 4.72 | 3.34 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 43% |
| Strikes Absorbed Per Min | 2.90 | 3.72 |
| Striking Defense | 61% | 55% |
| Takedown Accuracy | 15% | 42% |
| Takedown Defense | 83% | 5% |
| Sub Attempts / 15 Min | 0.3 | 0.7 |
🔙 Last Fight Recaps
🇷🇺 Azamat Murzakanov
- ✅ W vs. Alonzo Menifield – KO (R2)
- Landed 48 of 88 total strikes (52% accuracy)
- Dominated at range and found the finish upstairs
🇧🇷 Brendson Ribeiro
- ✅ W vs. Diyar Nurgozhay – Submission (Kimura, R2)
- Landed 28 of 58 sig. strikes (48% accuracy)
- Dangerous from bottom — but took big damage early
🧠 Matchup Breakdown
Murzakanov is undefeated for a reason. Compact and powerful, the 36-year-old lands bombs at a 56% clip and absorbs less than 3 strikes per minute. Despite his size disadvantage, he’s finished 3 of 4 UFC opponents — all against bigger men. His elite striking defense (61%) could frustrate Ribeiro’s wild style.
Ribeiro? He’s pure chaos. A 6’3” rangy bruiser with a 10-inch reach edge, he charges forward with reckless abandon — and he’s dangerous. His striking accuracy is low (43%), but if he connects, it’s often with fight-ending force.
The question is whether Murzakanov can survive the initial burst. If he does, he likely finds a KO. But Ribeiro’s unpredictability makes this one spicy for live bettors. 📉
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop Market | Odds |
| Under 1.5 Rounds | -160 |
| Murzakanov by KO/TKO | -150 |
| Ribeiro by Submission | +550 |
| Fight Doesn’t Go Distance | -400 |
| Ribeiro to Score Knockdown | +850 |
💥 Best Bet: Under 1.5 rounds (-160)
🧨 Wild Card: Ribeiro submission if chaos breaks out early
💣 ClutchBuzz SGP: Light Heavyweight Mayhem 💀
| Leg | Odds |
| Murzakanov Moneyline | -625 |
| Under 1.5 Rounds | -160 |
| Fight Ends by KO/TKO | -210 |
💸 Total Payout: +200 (with boost)
🔚 Final ClutchBuzz Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro Prediction
Murzakanov is cleaner, more precise, and battle-tested. His patience could be key here against a raw but powerful opponent. But don’t blink — Ribeiro brings chaos, and Murzakanov has never faced someone with such aggressive forward pressure.
✅ Pick: Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO (-150)
💸 Best Bet: Under 1.5 Rounds (-160)
👀 Lean: Avoid parlays unless you’re boosting Murzakanov + Under
