Let’s break down the best Chet Holmgren prop bet picks to target for Wednesday’s matchup vs. Timberwolves with updated odds and insights.
The Oklahoma City Thunder face a do-or-die matchup at home in Game 5, and Chet Holmgren will be a central figure on both ends of the floor. Let’s break down the best prop betting opportunities for the rookie sensation against a stingy Minnesota Timberwolves defense.
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📺 Where to Watch Thunder vs. Timberwolves ? (May 28, 2025)
| Platform | Details |
| TV Channel | ESPN |
| Streaming | FuboTV, YouTube TV, Sling TV |
| Arena | Paycom Center (OKC) |
| Tip-Off | Wednesday, May 28 at 9:30 PM ET |
📊 Chet Holmgren Prop Bets vs. Timberwolves
| Prop Type | Line | Over Odds | Under Odds |
| Points | 15 | -119 | -115 |
| Rebounds | 10 | -119 | -115 |
| Assists | 2 | -128 | +100 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | -155 🔥 | +120 |
📈 Season Averages (2024-25)
| Stat | Value |
| Points | 15.0 |
| Rebounds | 8.0 |
| Assists | 2.0 |
| FG% | 49.0% |
| 3P% | 37.9% |
| FT% | 75.4% |
| Blocks | 2.2 |
| Steals | 0.7 |
| eFG% | 55.4% |
🔥 Last 5 Games – Chet Holmgren
| Opponent | MIN | PTS | AST | REB |
| Minnesota (G4) | 33 | 21 | 1 | 7 |
| Minnesota (G3) | 21 | 10 | 2 | 5 |
| Minnesota (G2) | 32 | 22 | 2 | 4 |
| Minnesota (G1) | 26 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
| Denver | 28 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
🧠 5-Game Avg: 16.2 PPG | 1.8 AST | 6.8 REB
🛡️ Timberwolves Defense Snapshot
- 🎯 Points Allowed: 109.3 (5th best)
- 🔒 Opponent FG%: 46.0%
- 🧱 3P Defense: 35.3%
- 🧲 Rebounds Allowed: 42.9 RPG
- 🕹️ Turnovers Forced: 14.7 per game
🧠 ClutchBuzz Chet Holmgren Prop Bet Picks Breakdown
🔥 Over 1.5 Blocks (-155)
Holmgren is averaging 2.2 blocks per game this season and has 14 swats in his last 10 games. He’s also racked up multiple blocks in 3 of 4 playoff games vs. Minnesota. Despite the juice, this bet feels 🔒. We love it.
⚖️ Points – 15 (Lean: Over -119)
Holmgren has topped 15 points in 3 of his last 4 games vs. Minnesota, with a playoff average of 17.0 PPG in the series. In front of a home crowd in a high-leverage spot, expect him to attack the paint and earn trips to the line. The Over is the move.
❌ Rebounds – 10 (Lean: Under -115)
Chet has cleared 10+ rebounds just once in his last five games, and Minnesota is an elite rebounding unit. Unless he dominates the defensive glass, this feels like a sweat bet at best.
⚠️ Assists – 2 (Stay Away)
Right on his season average. He’s dished 2 or more in 3 of his last 5, but the Under at even money is tempting. There’s no edge here.
🧮 Advanced Metrics Snapshot
| Metric | Value |
| Usage Rate (Playoffs) | 22.5% |
| True Shooting % | 59.3% |
| Blocks/Game (L10) | 1.4 |
| FG Attempts/Game | 11.6 |
| Minutes/Game | 29.9 |
💥 ClutchBuzz Prop Parlay 💥
| Leg | Selection | Odds |
| ✅ Points Prop | Over 15 | -119 |
| ✅ Blocks Prop | Over 1.5 | -155 |
| ❌ Rebounds Prop | Under 10 | -115 |
🧮 Parlay Odds: +430
🚨 ClutchBuzz Confidence: 4/5 – Stack the points and blocks, but fade the boards.
🧾 Final ClutchBuzz Picks
With the Thunder fighting to stay alive and Holmgren playing some of the best two-way basketball of his rookie season, we’re riding his OVER on points and blocks in what could be a breakout playoff performance.
🔥 Best Bet: Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Blocks (-155)
🎯 Bonus: Over 15 Points (-119)
