Find the best Nikola Jokic prop bets here. With Malone and Booth out and the team fired up under interim coach David Adelman, Jokic is clearly on a mission to prove Denver still belongs in the West’s elite. Memphis may be hot — but they’re walking into Ball Arena against a Jokic in MVP-level form.
Take the overs, ride the hot streak and enjoy watching the Joker go to work when the Nuggets face the Grizzlies tonight.
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📺 How To Watch Grizzlies vs. Nuggets? (April 11, 2025)
🏠 Team: Denver Nuggets (48-32)
🆚 Opponent: Memphis Grizzlies (47-32)
🏟️ Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
⏰ Tip-off: 9:00 PM ET
📺 Watch: Altitude, NBA League Pass
📈 Spread: Nuggets -4.5 | O/U: 228.5
🔥 Jokić’s Recent Form Snapshot
| Date | Opponent | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | REB | AST | STL | BLK |
| Apr 10 | @ Kings | 38 | 20 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| Apr 7 | vs Pacers | 39 | 41 | 18-33 | 3-11 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 5 | @ Warriors | 37 | 33 | 13-17 | 4-7 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Apr 2 | vs Timberwolves | 53 | 61 | 18-29 | 6-11 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Mar 29 | vs Jazz | 32 | 27 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| Mar 27 | vs Bucks | 38 | 39 | 16-25 | 3-6 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Last 6 Game Averages:
- Points: 36.8
- Rebounds: 12.2
- Assists: 9.8
- 3PM: 2.8
- FG%: 59.3%
- Minutes: 39.5
📊 Season vs Prop Lines
| Stat | Season Avg | Prop Line | Recent Avg | ClutchBuzz Edge |
| Points | 29.8 PPG | 32.5 (-120) | 36.8 PPG | ✅ Over – trending red-hot |
| Rebounds | 12.8 RPG | 12.5 (-105) | 12.2 RPG | ✅ Over – consistent glass eater |
| Assists | 10.2 APG | 10.5 (+100) | 9.8 APG | ⛔ Lean Under – narrowly under line |
| 3PM | 2.0 3PM | 2.5 (+135) | 2.8 3PM | ✅ Value Over – shooting more deep balls lately |
🔍 Prop Bet Analysis
✅ Points – Over 32.5 (-120)
Jokić has dropped 30+ in five of his last six games, including:
- 🔥 61 points vs Timberwolves
- 🔥 41 points vs Pacers
- 🔥 33 points at Golden State
He’s getting huge usage post-Malone, and with playoff seeding at stake, expect 38+ minutes again tonight.
✅ Rebounds – Over 12.5 (-105)
Averaging 12.8 on the year and double-digit boards in all of his last six. With Memphis lacking interior size and Clarke still out, this feels like a safe over.
🤔 Assists – Lean Under 10.5 (+100)
He’s been just under this number in 3 of his last 5, and the offense lately has flowed through more finishing plays than facilitation. We’re cautious here.
💣 3-Pointers – Over 2.5 (+135)
This line offers value. Jokic has hit 3+ threes in 4 of his last 6 — including a 6-of-11 performance vs MIN and 4-of-7 against the Warriors. He’s launching from deep more often, especially when teams collapse inside.
🎯 ClutchBuzz Parlay Picks
💥 Jokić Over 32.5 PTS
💥 Jokić Over 12.5 REB
💥 Jokić Over 2.5 3PM
💥 Jokić Double-Double (Alt Line -550)
📊 Odds: +475 (FanDuel)
🎯 Confidence: 9.3/10
📝 Note: With playoff seeding and pride on the line post-Malone firing, expect a monster usage night for the Joker.
