Two struggling Sun Belt rivals look to turn their seasons around as the South Alabama Jaguars (1–6) visit the Georgia State Panthers (1–6) on Thursday, October 23, 2025, at Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta.
The Jaguars enter as 6.5-point favorites, fueled by a solid rushing attack and a defense that ranks top-25 against the pass. Georgia State, meanwhile, has shown flashes offensively behind quarterback Cameran Brown, but their defense has been one of the nation’s worst, giving up over 41 points per game.
Both programs desperately need a morale-boosting win — and bettors can expect a physical game with a few offensive bursts mixed in.
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📺 Where to Watch South Alabama vs. Georgia State? (October 23)
| Detail | Info |
| Date: | Thursday, October 23, 2025 |
| Time: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| Venue: | Center Parc Stadium — Atlanta, GA |
| TV: | ESPN2 |
| Live Stream: | Fubo |
💰 Betting Odds
| Market | Line |
| Spread | South Alabama -6.5 |
| Moneyline | South Alabama -225 • Georgia State +185 |
| Total (O/U) | 56.5 points |
Implied Score: South Alabama 32 – Georgia State 25
Implied Win Probability: Jaguars 70.4% • Panthers 33.9%
📊 Team Comparison
| Category | South Alabama Jaguars | Georgia State Panthers |
| Record | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| Points Per Game | 23.4 (98th) | 18.9 (123rd) |
| Points Allowed | 29.3 (104th) | 41.1 (136th) |
| Total Offense | 368.0 yds/g (83rd) | 349.0 yds/g (102nd) |
| Passing Offense | 169.4 yds/g (119th) | 250.0 yds/g (51st) |
| Rushing Offense | 198.6 yds/g (30th) | 99.0 yds/g (129th) |
| Total Defense | 370.4 yds/g allowed (73rd) | 450.4 yds/g allowed (125th) |
| Turnover Margin | 0 | -5 |
🔍 Matchup Breakdown
When South Alabama Has the Ball
- The Jaguars rely heavily on their running game (198.6 yds/g, 30th nationally), led by Kentrel Bullock, who’s averaging 81.1 rushing yards per game with six TDs.
- QB Bishop Davenport adds mobility (176 rushing yards, 3 TDs) and efficiency through the air (66.3% completion rate).
- Georgia State’s defense ranks 132nd against the run (207.4 yds allowed per game) and allows 5.1 yards per carry, setting up a major mismatch for South Alabama’s backfield.
When Georgia State Has the Ball
- QB Cameran Brown has been sharp despite limited support — 67.2% completion rate, 8 TD, 0 INT — but faces a tough pass defense ranked 24th in the FBS.
- The Panthers’ offense leans on WR Ted Hurst (579 yds) and WR Javon Robinson (368 yds) to move the chains.
- The problem: Georgia State’s O-line struggles in protection, and the Jaguars’ linebackers — Blayne Myrick and Tirrell Johnson Jr. — have been effective blitzers.
🧠 Key Players
South Alabama Jaguars
- QB Bishop Davenport: 1,181 passing yds, 9 TD, 4 INT, plus 176 rushing yds & 3 TD
- RB Kentrel Bullock: 568 rushing yds, 6 TD, 4.6 YPC
- WR Devin Voisin: 41 receptions, 544 yds, 4 TD
- LB Blayne Myrick: 35 tackles, 3 TFL
- LB Tirrell Johnson Jr.: 24 tackles, 5 TFL, 1 sack
Georgia State Panthers
- QB Cameran Brown: 882 passing yds, 8 TD, 0 INT, 184 rushing yds
- WR Ted Hurst: 42 receptions, 579 yds, 3 TD
- RB Rashad Amos: 241 rushing yds, 2 TD, 4.5 YPC
- LB Josiah Robinson: 43 tackles, 5 TFL, 1 sack
- DB Jordan Huff: 29 tackles, 1 INT
📈 Betting Trends
| Team | ATS Record | O/U Record | Notable Stats |
| South Alabama | 2–5 | 4–3 | 0–3 ATS as favorite of ≥6.5 |
| Georgia State | 1–6 | 4–3 | 1–4 ATS as underdog of ≥6.5 |
| Combined PPG (avg.) | 42.3 | — | Total average = 54.5 points |
| Home/Away Splits | SA: 1–3 ATS home | GSU: 1–3 ATS home | Both trending Under recently |
🧾 Updated Best Bets & Angles
Spread — South Alabama -6.5
- Georgia State has failed to cover in six of its last seven games, and their defense gives up 41 points per game.
- South Alabama’s rushing attack matches up perfectly with GSU’s weak front seven.
- While the Jaguars are 0–3 ATS as favorites this year, this is their most favorable matchup yet.
✅ Pick: South Alabama -6.5
Total — Under 56.5
- South Alabama’s defense is solid against the pass (174.9 yds allowed, 24th in FBS) and should limit explosive plays.
- Georgia State’s offense averages just 18.9 points per game.
- The Jaguars’ ball-control rushing style reduces possessions, pointing toward the Under despite both teams’ defensive struggles.
✅ Pick: Under 56.5
Moneyline — South Alabama (-225)
- The Jaguars have been favorites four times this season but have only one win straight up — this should be the second.
- Georgia State has been an underdog five times and lost all five.
- Implied Probability: South Alabama 70.4% vs Georgia State 33.9%.
✅ Pick: South Alabama ML (-225)
🧩 ClutchBuzz Same-Game Parlay
| Leg | Selection |
| 1️⃣ | South Alabama -6.5 |
| 2️⃣ | Under 56.5 |
| 3️⃣ | Kentrel Bullock Anytime TD |
| 4️⃣ | Bishop Davenport 1+ Rush TD |
| Est. Odds: | +700 |
Alt SGP (+450): Jaguars ML • Under 56.5 • Devin Voisin 60+ Receiving Yards.
🎯 Prop Bets
| Prop | Pick | Rationale |
| Kentrel Bullock Rush Yards 90.5 | Over | Faces one of the worst run defenses in the country |
| Cameran Brown Pass TDs 1.5 | Under | Jaguars allow only 8 passing TDs this year |
| Devin Voisin Receptions 5.5 | Over | Reliable target; 41 catches in 7 games |
| Team Total (GSU) 23.5 | Under | Panthers average just 18.9 ppg |
🧮 ClutchBuzz Model Projection
| Category | Projection |
| ATS Pick | South Alabama -6.5 |
| O/U Pick | Under 56.5 |
| Moneyline Lean | South Alabama (-225) |
| Predicted Score | South Alabama 32 – Georgia State 24 |
| Confidence | Spread ⭐⭐⭐⭐ • Total ⭐⭐⭐ • ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
🏁 Final ClutchBuzz South Alabama vs. Georgia State Prediction
South Alabama’s ground game and red-zone discipline should finally translate into a comfortable road win. Expect Kentrel Bullock to control tempo behind a dominant offensive line, while Cameran Brown keeps Georgia State competitive but limited by pressure.
Final Score: South Alabama 32, Georgia State 24
Picks: South Alabama -6.5 • Under 56.5 • Jaguars ML (-225)
