What are Raiders odds to win AFC West? The Las Vegas Raiders enter the 2025 season with something they haven’t had in years — genuine optimism. After years of instability, the franchise made bold moves: hiring Pete Carroll, trading for veteran QB Geno Smith, and drafting two dynamic rookies in Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty. Still, sportsbooks remain unconvinced.
The Raiders odds to win AFC West are currently +1500, far behind the Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, and Los Angeles Chargers. Las Vegas is also priced at +340 to make the playoffs and has a projected win total of 6.5 games.
So, what do these latest odds mean for NFL bettors? Can the Raiders turn potential into production and deliver betting value in 2025? Let’s break down the AFC West teams and why Las Vegas might be the sneakiest play in the division.
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AFC West Outlook
The AFC West is one of the NFL’s most competitive divisions. The Chiefs have dominated with consecutive AFC West titles since 2015, while the Chargers and Broncos have become steady playoff contenders. The Raiders, meanwhile, haven’t won the AFC West since 2002.
AFC West Betting Table
| Team | Super Bowl Odds | AFC Championship Odds | Division Odds | Wins (O/U) | Playoffs (Y/N) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +750 | +350 | -120 | 11.5 | -450 / +340 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 25-1 | 12-1 | +325 | 9.5 | -130 / +110 |
| Denver Broncos | 30-1 | 14-1 | +300 | 9.5 | -130 / +110 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 100-1 | 50-1 | +1500 | 6.5 | +340 / -450 |
Kansas City Chiefs: The Standard
The Kansas City Chiefs remain the clear favorite to win the AFC West. With Patrick Mahomes at quarterback and Andy Reid calling plays, Kansas City is projected at 11.5 wins and sits at -120 division odds.
Even though Mahomes posted career lows in passing yards per game last season, the Chiefs still went 15–2. At this point, the road to a division winner crown still runs through Kansas City.
Denver Broncos: A True Challenger
The Denver Broncos turned heads last year by finishing 10–7. Bo Nix, who led all rookies in passing yards, is expected to take a second-year leap. With new additions on both offense and defense, the Broncos’ odds to win the division sit at +300.
Their projected point total is 9.5 wins, and the over is a popular bet. If they can flip their bad luck in one-score games, Denver could threaten Kansas City.
Los Angeles Chargers: Harbaugh’s New Era
The Los Angeles Chargers enter 2025 with Jim Harbaugh at the helm. Justin Herbert continues to pile up record-breaking passing yards, and the team has shifted toward a balanced offense.
With Los Angeles Chargers odds to win the division at +325 and a win total of 9.5, this team has upside but also risk. If Herbert stays healthy and the defense improves, they could be in the mix for the AFC West division winner spot.
Las Vegas Raiders: Betting on the Underdog
Now to the main event — the Las Vegas Raiders odds for 2025. Priced at +1500 to win the AFC West, Las Vegas is the underdog of underdogs. But bettors know value isn’t always in the favorites.
Coaching and Culture Shift
Pete Carroll’s arrival has already transformed the energy inside Allegiant Stadium. Known for building competitive cultures in Seattle, Carroll has brought accountability, enthusiasm, and a winning mindset back to Las Vegas. Players like Maxx Crosby have raved about his leadership.
Geno Smith at Quarterback
The Raiders traded for Geno Smith, reuniting him with Carroll. Smith has been one of the league’s most accurate deep passers and brings stability to a position that has plagued Las Vegas for years. For bettors, a competent QB means fewer unpredictable swings on the spread and in moneyline betting.
Rookie Stars: Bowers and Jeanty
- Brock Bowers broke records as a rookie tight end and looks like the next superstar at the position.
- Ashton Jeanty was drafted 6th overall and is already the Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite. His versatility should unlock a new dimension to the Raiders’ offense.
Together, they give Geno Smith legitimate playmakers to lean on.
Davante Adams and the Offense
With Davante Adams still producing elite numbers, the Raiders have one of the most balanced offensive groups in the AFC West. If the offensive line holds, Las Vegas could be far more competitive in every Raiders game.
Raiders Defense
Defensively, the Raiders defense remains anchored by Maxx Crosby, one of the league’s top pass rushers. If Carroll can coax improvement out of the secondary and generate turnovers, the unit could swing a few close games in their favor.
Raiders Odds and Win Projections
- Raiders odds to win AFC West: +1500
- Raiders win total: 6.5 (Over -140 / Under +120)
- Raiders Super Bowl odds: 100-1
For bettors, the sharper play is the Raiders win total over 6.5. A 7–8 win season is realistic given roster upgrades. Betting Las Vegas to win the AFC West is a long shot, but offers high payout potential.
Betting Angles and Best Plays
- Raiders OVER 6.5 Wins (-140): Most realistic bet for Las Vegas.
- Broncos OVER 9.5 Wins (+100): Denver is built to challenge.
- Chiefs to Win the AFC West (-120): Safe parlay piece.
- Chargers to Make the Playoffs (-130): Strong upside under Harbaugh.
- Raiders Playoff Odds (+340): A flyer worth considering.
For fans looking at opening odds, remember that the Raiders schedule features several winnable matchups, especially at Allegiant Stadium, where crowd energy could matter. Key road games, including one at State Farm Stadium against the Arizona Cardinals, will also shape the season.
Final Word
The Las Vegas Raiders odds to win the AFC West may not scream contender, but the combination of Pete Carroll, Geno Smith, and dynamic rookies has injected hope back into Las Vegas.
While the Chiefs remain the safest bet to continue their streak of consecutive AFC West titles, and both the Chargers and Broncos pose real threats, the Raiders are finally on an upward trajectory.
For bettors, the smarter play is backing the Raiders odds to exceed their win total. But if you’re looking for long-shot value, a small bet on the Raiders odds to win AFC West could pay big if this new-look Las Vegas team clicks faster than expected.
