Get our Francisco Cerundolo vs. Sebastian Ofner prediction and betting preview for the 2025 ATP Rome Round of 32. See head-to-head stats, betting tips, prop bets, and best parlay picks.
It’s been a strong clay season for Francisco Cerundolo, and he looks to continue that form as he takes on Austria’s Sebastian Ofner in the Round of 32 at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Foro Italico in Rome, Italy.
Cerundolo entered Rome fresh off back-to-back ATP semifinal appearances, and he backed it up by beating last year’s finalist Nicolas Jarry in straight sets in the second round. Despite missing 14 of 16 break point chances, the Argentinian stayed composed to advance with a 7-6, 6-3 victory.
Ofner, meanwhile, pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the tournament by knocking out 15th seed Frances Tiafoe in three sets. The Austrian, currently ranked No. 143, has struggled with consistency since returning from injury, but his performance over Tiafoe shows he can still punch above his weight on the big stage.
Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 2-0, having beaten Ofner at the 2024 Miami Open and 2024 US Open, both on hard courts. This will be their first clay-court meeting, a surface where Cerundolo holds a clear advantage.
🎾 Tennis Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch Francisco Cerundolo vs. Sebastian Ofner? (May 12, 2025)
| Match Day | Monday, May 12, 2025 |
| Time | 12:00 p.m. local |
| Location | Foro Italico, Rome, Italy |
| Surface | Outdoor Clay |
| TV | Sky Sports Tennis (UK), Tennis Channel (US) |
| Streaming | Sky Go (UK), Tennis Channel+ (US) |
💸 Betting Odds
| Favorite | Francisco Cerundolo (-549) |
| Underdog | Sebastian Ofner (+375) |
| Implied Win Probability | Cerundolo 84.6%, Ofner 21.1% |
📊 Player Form Comparison
| Player | Cerundolo | Ofner |
| World Rank | 18 | 143 |
| 2025 Match Record | 24-10 | 1-1 |
| 2025 Set Record | 53-27 | 2-2 |
| 2025 Aces per Match | 3.6 | 5.5 |
| 2025 Break Points Won | 115 | 2 |
| Career Titles | 3 | 0 |
| Career W/L Record | 126-99 | 42-53 |
| Career Prize Money | $6,919,726 | $2,730,658 |
🏆 Head-to-Head History
| Meetings | Winner | Surface | Score | Year |
| 2 Matches | Cerundolo leads 2-0 | Hard (both) | Various | 2024 |
🎾 Recent Performances
Francisco Cerundolo
- Straight-set win over Jarry (7-6, 6-3)
- Back-to-back ATP semifinals before Rome
- 24-10 record in 2025
Sebastian Ofner
- Three-set upset over Frances Tiafoe (6-2, 6-7, 6-3)
- Limited match play in 2025
- Ranked No. 143 and returning from injury
🧠 Tactical Breakdown
- Cerundolo: Consistent baseliner with heavy topspin and strong clay-court movement.
- Ofner: Taller player with a bigger serve, but lacks consistent match rhythm on clay.
Cerundolo’s ability to construct points on clay, combined with his superior form, makes him the clear favorite to advance.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Market | Pick | Odds (Example) |
| Match Result | Cerundolo 2-0 (Straight Sets) | -150 |
| Total Games | Under 21.5 | -110 |
| First Set Winner | Cerundolo | -250 |
| Most Aces | Ofner | -120 |
🏆 Parlay Suggestion
| Leg | Odds (Example) |
| Cerundolo to Win 2-0 | -150 |
| Under 21.5 Total Games | -110 |
| Ofner to Hit Most Aces | -120 |
| Combined Parlay Odds | +320 |
🔮 Francisco Cerundolo vs. Sebastian Ofner Prediction
While Ofner’s win over Tiafoe was impressive, Cerundolo’s clay-court experience, current form, and historical head-to-head edge make him the clear pick to move forward. Expect Cerundolo to control the baseline rallies and capitalize on Ofner’s lack of consistency.
Prediction:
Francisco Cerundolo to Win in 2 Sets
Best Bet:
- Cerundolo to Win 2-0
- Under 21.5 Games
Want to find out more about tennis? Check out the best Iowa tennis players here.
