Get our Jaume Munar vs. Sebastian Korda prediction and betting preview for the 2025 ATP Rome Round of 32. See head-to-head stats, betting tips, prop bets, and best parlay picks.
The stakes are high in the Round of 32 at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia as Spain’s Jaume Munar takes on America’s Sebastian Korda on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Foro Italico in Rome, Italy.
Both players arrive off impressive second-round wins. Munar dominated Ben Shelton 6-2, 6-1, while Korda advanced past Aleksandar Vukic with a 6-3, 6-4 victory. While Korda holds the 1-0 head-to-head edge, their odds suggest this could be one of the tightest battles of the round.
According to simulations, Munar holds a slight edge (52% win probability) despite Korda being the bookmaker favorite at -135. Munar’s defensive grinding and clay-court experience make him a tricky opponent, but Korda’s firepower and serve could tilt the balance.
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📺 Where to Watch Jaume Munar vs. Sebastian Korda? (May 12, 2025)
| Match Day | Monday, May 12, 2025 |
| Time | 10:10 a.m. ET |
| Location | Foro Italico, Rome, Italy |
| Surface | Outdoor Clay |
| TV | Tennis Channel (US) |
| Streaming | Fubo (US) |
💸 Betting Odds
| Favorite | Sebastian Korda (-135) |
| Underdog | Jaume Munar (+105) |
| Implied Win Probability | Korda 57.4%, Munar 48.8% |
📊 Player Form Comparison
| Player | Munar | Korda |
| World Rank | 66 | 23 |
| 2025 Match Record | 10-9 | 8-8 |
| 2025 Set Record | 22-22 | 21-21 |
| 2025 Aces per Match | 3.8 | 7.1 |
| 2025 Break Points Won | 49 | 36 |
| Career Titles | 0 | 2 |
| Career W/L Record | 100-143 | 133-87 |
| Career Prize Money | $5,260,630 | $7,466,483 |
🏆 Head-to-Head History
| Meetings | Winner | Surface | Score | Year |
| 1 Match | Korda leads 1-0 | Hard Court | Straight Sets | 2024 |
🎾 Recent Performances
Jaume Munar
- Beat Ben Shelton 6-2, 6-1 in R64
- 3-11 clay record over the past year
- 38.7% break point conversion on clay
Sebastian Korda
- Beat Aleksandar Vukic 6-3, 6-4 in R64
- 4-5 clay record over the past year
- 77% service games won on clay
🧠 Tactical Breakdown
- Munar will look to grind from the baseline and extend points with his clay-court defense.
- Korda holds the advantage in power, serve, and offensive shot-making.
- Expect long rallies and momentum swings, especially if Munar gets into Korda’s service rhythm.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Market | Pick | Odds (Example) |
| Match Result | Korda to Win 2-1 | +275 |
| Total Games | Over 22.5 | -105 |
| First Set Winner | Munar | +105 |
| Most Aces | Korda | -180 |
🏆 Parlay Suggestion
| Leg | Odds (Example) |
| Korda to Win 2-1 | +275 |
| Over 22.5 Total Games | -105 |
| First Set Winner: Munar | +105 |
| Combined Parlay Odds | +850 |
🔮 Jaume Munar vs. Sebastian Korda Prediction
While the models lean slightly toward Munar, Korda’s power game and clutch serving give him the edge in a tight three-set battle. Expect long games, break chances on both sides, and a deciding set to separate these two.
Prediction:
Sebastian Korda to Win in 3 Sets
Best Bet:
- Korda to Win 2-1
- Over 22.5 Games
