Get the full Julianna Peña vs. Kayla Harrison prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 316.
The women’s bantamweight title is on the line as Julianna Peña makes her first title defense in her second reign — and the challenger is no joke. Kayla Harrison, Olympic judo icon and undefeated UFC wrecking machine, is here to make history in Newark. 🇺🇸🔥
Will Peña pull off another upset, or will Harrison dominate like she always does? Let’s break down this championship collision at UFC 316.
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📺 Where to Watch UFC 316: Julianna Peña vs. Kayla Harrison? (June 7, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 🗓 Date | Saturday, June 7, 2025 |
| 🕗 Time | 10:00 PM ET (Main Card) |
| 📍 Venue | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
| 📡 Broadcast | ESPN+ PPV |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Julianna Peña | +500 |
| Kayla Harrison | -715 |
🔥 Peña is the defending champ — but enters as a massive underdog.
🧪 Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Julianna Peña | Kayla Harrison |
| Age | 35 | 34 |
| Height | 5’6” | 5’8” |
| Reach | 69” | 66” |
| Leg Reach | 39” | 37” |
| Record | 13-5 | 18-1 |
| Fighting Style | BJJ | Judo |
| Finish Rate | 69% | 72% |
| UFC Streak | W2 | W2 |
| UFC Debut | 2013 | 2024 |
📈 Recent Fight History
🦁 Julianna Peña – Last 5 Fights
- ✅ Win vs. Raquel Pennington (UD) – UFC 307
- ❌ Loss vs. Amanda Nunes (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Amanda Nunes (SUB)
- ✅ Win vs. Sara McMann (SUB)
- ❌ Loss vs. Germaine de Randamie (SUB)
⚠️ Upset queen, but inconsistent against high-level grapplers.
🧨 Kayla Harrison – Last 5 Fights
- ✅ Win vs. Ketlen Vieira (UD) – UFC 307
- ✅ Win vs. Holly Holm (SUB) – UFC 300
- ✅ Win vs. Larissa Pacheco (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Martina Jindrová (TKO)
- ✅ Win vs. Kaitlin Young (TKO)
🚨 Olympic-level dominance and a transition to the UFC that’s been flawless.
🔍 Key Matchup Breakdown
This is grappler vs grappler — but not all grappling is equal.
Harrison’s Olympic-caliber judo is next level. Once she clinches, she throws opponents like rag dolls, lands in dominant positions, and unleashes vicious ground-and-pound.
Peña is scrappy, tough, and owns the biggest upset in women’s MMA history. But her BJJ defense may not be enough against someone as physically overwhelming as Harrison.
Unless Peña can stuff the takedowns early and create a scramble-fest, this will likely be a dominant top-control performance by Kayla.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop Bet | Odds |
| Harrison by KO/TKO | +110 |
| Harrison by Decision | +300 |
| Peña by Submission | +850 |
| Fight Goes the Distance | +200 |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | -165 |
💡 Best Value Bet: Harrison by KO/TKO via ground-and-pound
🧨 Longshot Special: Peña by sub — if chaos breaks out
💥 ClutchBuzz SGP: Women’s Bantamweight Parlay
| Leg | Odds |
| Kayla Harrison ML | -715 |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | -165 |
| Harrison by KO/TKO | +110 |
🧠 3-Leg Parlay Payout: +205
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Julianna Peña vs. Kayla Harrison Prediction
Kayla Harrison is the real deal. Unless Peña creates absolute chaos and somehow survives on the ground, this one ends the same way many Harrison fights do — on the mat, with a barrage of punches.
💪 ✅ Pick: Kayla Harrison by KO/TKO (+110)
⏳ Lean: Under 2.5 Rounds (-165)
🧠 Parlay: Harrison ML + KO/TKO + Under 2.5 = +205
