Fireworks are guaranteed at UFC Vegas 111 as two dangerous middleweights collide — Brazil’s Marco “Matuto” Tulio (14-1) and England’s Christian “CLD” Leroy Duncan (12-2). Both men come in red-hot off knockout wins, both love to trade, and both are fighting to break into the Top 30 picture.
Tulio, the latest bruiser from the legendary Chute Boxe Academy, has stormed through his opponents with vicious boxing and a finishing rate that terrifies the division.
On the other side, Duncan brings his trademark creativity from Range Martial Arts Academy, a long-armed switch-stance striker with crisp movement and counter precision. It’s the classic Brazilian power vs. British technique matchup that promises chaos.
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📺 Where to Watch Marco Tulio vs. Christian Leroy Duncan? (November 8, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| Event | UFC Vegas 111 |
| Date | Saturday, November 8, 2025 |
| Location | UFC Apex — Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Start Time (Local) | Main Card 10 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. PT |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ / BT Sport (UK) |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Method of Victory (Est.) | Over/Under 2.5 Rounds |
| Marco Tulio | -190 (Favorite) | Tulio by KO/TKO +145 | U 2.5 (-160) |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | +165 (Underdog) | Duncan by KO/TKO +300 | O 2.5 (+125) |
⚖️ Tale of the Tape
| Marco Tulio | Christian Leroy Duncan | |
| Record | 14-1-0 | 12-2-0 |
| Age | 31 (🇧🇷 Brazil) | 30 (🇬🇧 England) |
| Height | 6’0” (183 cm) | 6’2” (188 cm) |
| Reach | 74.5” (189 cm) | 79” (201 cm) |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Camp | Chute Boxe Diego Lima | Range Martial Arts Academy |
| Avg. Strikes Landed / Min | 7.54 | 4.83 |
| Striking Accuracy | 60% | 59% |
| Strikes Absorbed / Min | 2.53 | 2.94 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 20% | 11% |
| Takedown Defense | 15% | 71% |
| Sub Attempts / 15 min | 0.4 | 0.2 |
🧩 Fighter Breakdown
🟩 Marco Tulio
The Brazilian brawler fights like a throwback Chute Boxe savage — stalking forward, cutting angles, and throwing heavy combinations to the head and body. Tulio’s pace (7.5 significant strikes per minute) is elite for a middleweight, and he overwhelms opponents once he traps them against the cage. His striking defense is underrated (61%), and his finishing instinct is pure killer mode. If he smells blood, he won’t let Duncan breathe.
🟥 Christian Leroy Duncan
“CLD” is one of the more fluid strikers in the division. His switch-stance style creates constant reads, and his long reach (79″) allows him to counter effectively with jabs, knees, and spinning elbows. Duncan’s accuracy is sharp (59%), and he’s improved his composure since the Rodrigues loss. However, his 71% takedown defense could be tested if Tulio mixes in level-changes to set up overhands.
📈 Recent Form
| Fighter | Opponent | Result | Method | Round |
| Tulio | Tresean Gore | Win | KO (Punch) | R2 |
| Ihor Potieria | Win | KO (Punches) | R1 | |
| Duncan | Eryk Anders | Win | KO (Punch) | R1 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | Win | TKO (Elbows) | R2 | |
| Gregory Rodrigues | Loss | KO | R2 |
📊 Stat & AI Insight
- Pace Delta: Tulio +2.7 significant strikes per minute advantage
- AI Win Confidence: Tulio 83% probability
- Finish Radar: High — both men average < 9 minutes fight time
- Power Differential: Tulio’s strikes land with ~15% higher impact based on FightMetric output
🎯 Prop Bets & Parlay Ideas
| Bet Type | Pick | Odds |
| Fight Does Not Go Distance | Yes | -300 |
| Tulio by KO/TKO | ✅ Pick | +145 |
| Round 2 Finish | Tulio +350 | |
| Same-Fight Parlay | Tulio ML + U 2.5 | +210 |
🧠 Fight Analysis
Expect fireworks from the opening bell. Duncan will try to establish range with jabs and long kicks, using his five-inch reach advantage to slow Tulio’s forward march. But Tulio thrives in chaos. Once he closes distance, his combination punching and body-head transitions break rhythm and sap the gas tank of more technical opponents.
Duncan’s footwork could frustrate Tulio early — the Brit’s lateral movement and switch-stance angles may give him a round of success. Yet, as the exchanges pile up, Tulio’s pressure and power tend to break opponents down. His 60% accuracy and 7.5 strikes/min pace are absurd for the division, and Duncan’s defense may not withstand 10 minutes of that heat.
Unless Duncan lands something clean early or controls distance perfectly, Tulio’s pressure should produce another finish by the mid-fight mark.
🔮 Final ClutchBuzz Marco Tulio vs. Christian Leroy Duncan Prediction
| Pick | Method | Round |
| Marco Tulio | KO / TKO | Round 2 |
💬 Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (High)
💥 Bonus Bet: Fight Does Not Go Distance (−300)
