The flyweights are bringing the fireworks to UFC Vegas 111, as veteran Matt “Danger” Schnell (17-9-0, 1 NC) clashes with resurgent grappler Joseph “Bopo” Morales (14-2-0) in a bout that could determine who breaks into the division’s top 15 next.
Schnell has been in the UFC’s 125-pound trenches for nearly a decade, delivering chaos every time he steps into the Octagon. He’s slick, fast, and durable when not caught by clean power — but he’s been on the wrong end of a few wild brawls.
Morales, on the other hand, has rebuilt his career after the infamous “flyweight purge,” returning with a vengeance under the Team Alpha Male banner. His combination of submission prowess and precise boxing makes him a legitimate dark horse in the division.
Are you not sure how to bet on UFC? Check out this guide on how to bet on UFC.
🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses (November 2025)
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales? (November 8, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| Event | UFC Vegas 111 |
| Date | Saturday, November 8, 2025 |
| Venue | UFC Apex — Las Vegas, NV |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ / BT Sport (UK) |
| Main Card Start | 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Method of Victory | Over/Under 2.5 |
| Joseph Morales | -270 (Favorite) | Morales by KO/TKO +200 | O 2.5 (-155) |
| Matt Schnell | +230 (Underdog) | Schnell by Submission +800 | U 2.5 (+125) |
⚖️ Tale of the Tape
| Matt Schnell | Joseph Morales | |
| Record | 17-9-0 (1 NC) | 14-2-0 |
| Age | 35 (🇺🇸 USA) | 31 (🇺🇸 USA) |
| Height | 5’8” (173 cm) | 5’6” (168 cm) |
| Reach | 70” (178 cm) | 69” (175 cm) |
| Weight | 125 lbs (57.2 kg) | 125 lbs (57.2 kg) |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Camp | N/A | Team Alpha Male |
| Strikes Landed / min | 4.13 | 2.02 |
| Striking Accuracy | 40 % | 40 % |
| Strikes Absorbed / min | 4.17 | 2.11 |
| Takedown Avg / 15 min | 0.49 | 1.27 |
| Submission Attempts / 15 min | 1.2 | 2.9 |
🧩 Fighter Breakdown
🟥 Matt Schnell — “Danger”
A veteran of the flyweight circuit, Schnell is one of the best UFC fighters in Louisiana. He brings aggression and heart into every fight. He’s an active striker with quick combinations and a dangerous guard off his back. However, his willingness to engage in phone-booth exchanges has led to multiple KO losses. While his cardio remains solid, his durability is often tested when facing power punchers. His last win over Jimmy Flick showed that he still has the timing and volume to outwork less durable opponents.
Matt Schnell, right, in action against Su Madaerji during their mixed martial arts bout at UFC on ABC 3, Saturday, July 16, 2022, in Elmont, NY. Schnell won via 2nd round triangle choke. (AP Photo/Gregory Payan)
🟩 Joseph Morales — “Bopo”
Morales’ comeback story is one of quiet resurgence. After being cut in 2018, he returned via The Ultimate Fighter with renewed focus. Under Team Alpha Male, he’s developed crisp boxing to complement his black belt-level grappling. His transition between striking and submissions is seamless — seen in his recent triangle choke win over Alibi Idiris. Morales thrives in chaos but prefers to dictate tempo with positional control and heavy ground pressure.
📈 Recent Form
| Fighter | Opponent | Result | Method | Round |
| Schnell | Jimmy Flick | Win | Decision (UD) | R3 |
| Matheus Nicolau | Loss | KO (Punch) | R2 | |
| Alexandre Pantoja | Loss | Submission | R1 | |
| Morales | Alibi Idiris | Win | Submission (Triangle Choke) | R2 |
| Victor Altamirano | Win | Decision (UD) | R3 | |
| Carlos Hernandez | Win | KO (Punches) | R1 |
📊 Key Stats & AI Insights
| Metric | Advantage | Insight |
| Significant Strikes Landed | Schnell (+2.1/min) | Higher output, but lower efficiency |
| Defense | Morales (+2%) | Absorbs fewer strikes per round |
| Submission Rate | Morales (2.9 vs 1.2 per 15m) | More aggressive grappling game |
| Durability Edge | Morales | Schnell has 5 KO losses in UFC |
| AI Win Probability | Morales 64.8% | Based on pace, control, and finish potential |
🧠 Fight Analysis
This is a textbook striker-vs-grappler matchup, but with both men well-rounded enough to blur those lines. Schnell will rely on volume and angles, peppering Morales with jabs and low kicks while staying on the outside. If he can keep his distance, Schnell could edge out early rounds on the scorecards.
Morales, however, holds the clear advantage in power and ground transitions. His timing on level changes has improved significantly, and his submission setups are dangerous in scrambles — especially against an opponent who often invites grappling exchanges. The biggest question is whether Schnell’s chin can withstand Morales’ power.
If this fight stays standing for three rounds, Schnell’s volume could make it interesting. But once Morales closes the distance or finds top position, the tide likely turns fast.
🎯 Prop Bets & Same-Fight Parlay
| Bet Type | Pick | Odds |
| Fight Doesn’t Go Distance | ✅ Yes | +115 |
| Morales by KO/TKO | ✅ Pick | +200 |
| Morales by Sub | Value | +450 |
| Same-Fight Parlay | Morales ML + Under 2.5 | +175 |
🔮 Final ClutchBuzz Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales Prediction
| Pick | Method | Round |
| Joseph Morales | KO (Round 2) | 💥 Right Cross + Ground Finish |
💬 Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (High)
🧾 Bonus Play: Morales by KO/TKO (+200)
