Get the full Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 316.
It’s the rematch the bantamweight world has been waiting for. On Saturday, June 7, reigning champ Merab Dvalishvili returns to the octagon to defend his title against former champion Sean “Suga” O’Malley in the main event of UFC 316 at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.
Dvalishvili dominated their first encounter at UFC 306, grinding O’Malley down with suffocating pressure and wrestling. Now, O’Malley enters as the underdog looking to reclaim his throne — and his pride.
Will the Georgian juggernaut do it again, or can the flashy striker from Montana flip the script?
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📺 Where to Watch UFC 316: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley? (June 7, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 🗓 Date | Saturday, June 7, 2025 |
| 🕗 Time | 10:00 PM ET (Main Card) |
| 📍 Venue | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
| 📡 Broadcast | ESPN+ PPV |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Merab Dvalishvili | -310 |
| Sean O’Malley | +250 |
📉 The champ is a big favorite after their last fight — and rightfully so.
🧪 Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Dvalishvili | O’Malley |
| Age | 34 | 30 |
| Height | 5’6” | 5’11” |
| Reach | 68” | 72” |
| Leg Reach | 38” | 40” |
| Record | 19-4 (12-2 UFC) | 18-2 (10-2 UFC) |
| Style | Freestyle/Wrestling | Striker |
| Finish Rate | 21% | 72% |
| UFC Streak | W12 | L1 |
| Rankings | #1 BW, #6 P4P | #2 BW, #14 P4P |
📈 Recent Fight History
🔥 Merab Dvalishvili – Last 5 Fights
- ✅ Win vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Sean O’Malley (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Henry Cejudo (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Petr Yan (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Jose Aldo (UD)
Relentless pace, world-class takedowns, and the best cardio at 135.
💥 Sean O’Malley – Last 5 Fights
- ❌ Loss vs. Merab Dvalishvili (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Marlon Vera (UD)
- ✅ Win vs. Aljamain Sterling (TKO)
- ✅ Win vs. Petr Yan (SD)
- ✅ Win vs. Pedro Munhoz (NC turned win via doctor stoppage)
Flashy on the feet, but needs a game plan that neutralizes the takedown.
🔍 Key Matchup Breakdown
⚖️ Grappler vs. Striker 101
- Dvalishvili will come in with the same strategy: pressure, shoot, repeat.
- O’Malley must use his reach and footwork to avoid the clinch.
- Expect more leg kicks from O’Malley — a glaring missed opportunity in fight one.
If this becomes a striking match, O’Malley has the edge. But if Dvalishvili gets just a few takedowns early? It’s déjà vu all over again.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop Bet | Odds |
| Dvalishvili by Decision | -110 |
| O’Malley by KO/TKO | +400 |
| Dvalishvili to land 5+ takedowns | -135 |
| Fight goes the distance | -175 |
| Total Rounds Over 4.5 | -185 |
🔎 Best Value Bet: Dvalishvili by Decision (-110)
⚠️ Live Dog: O’Malley by KO (+400) if he keeps it standing
🧪 ClutchBuzz SGP: Main Event Special
| Leg | Odds |
| Dvalishvili ML | -310 |
| Over 4.5 Rounds | -185 |
| Dvalishvili 5+ Takedowns | -135 |
🧠 3-Leg Parlay Payout: +185
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley Prediction
Merab is a nightmare matchup for anyone without elite takedown defense — and O’Malley is no exception.
Unless “Suga” lands something nuclear in R1 or completely adjusts his footwork and distance management, expect another high-paced mauling from the champ.
✅ Pick: Merab Dvalishvili by Decision (-110)
📏 Lean: Over 4.5 Rounds (-185)
💰 Parlay: Merab ML + Over 4.5 + 5+ Takedowns = +185
