Get the full Usman vs. Buckley prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Fight Night.
Kamaru Usman is back — but can the former pound-for-pound king stop the rise of the explosive Joaquin Buckley? At UFC on ESPN 69 in Atlanta, the spotlight shines on a high-stakes welterweight clash between a seasoned champion and a surging contender.
Usman (20-4) aims to snap a three-fight losing streak and reclaim relevance in a stacked division. Buckley (21-6), meanwhile, has been steamrolling opponents since dropping to 170, with a six-fight win streak including violent finishes of Colby Covington and Stephen Thompson.
Can Usman’s experience and grappling grit outlast Buckley’s firepower?
Are you not sure how to bet on UFC? Check out this guide from ClutchBuzz on how to bet on UFC.
🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley? (June 14, 2025)
| Event | UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley |
| Date | Saturday, June 14, 2025 |
| Location | State Farm Arena — Atlanta, Georgia |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ Pay-Per-View |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Kamaru Usman | +205 |
| Joaquin Buckley | -263 |
| Method of Victory | Odds |
| Usman via Decision | +500 |
| Usman via KO/TKO | +900 |
| Buckley via KO/TKO | +150 |
| Buckley via Decision | +220 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Kamaru Usman | Joaquin Buckley |
| Record | 20-4 | 21-6 |
| Age | 38 | 31 |
| Height | 6’0″ | 5’9″ |
| Reach | 76” | 76” |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Last Fight | Loss vs Chimaev (MD) | Win vs Covington (TKO) |
🔍 Fight Breakdown
Kamaru Usman, once the undisputed ruler of the 170-lb division, now finds himself with his back against the wall. After losses to Leon Edwards (twice) and a short-notice defeat against Khamzat Chimaev at middleweight, many question whether “The Nigerian Nightmare” still has the tools to hang with the best.
Joaquin Buckley, on the other hand, is blazing hot. Riding a 6-fight win streak since returning to welterweight, Buckley has knocked out Stephen Thompson and overwhelmed Colby Covington in back-to-back main events. He’s younger, fresher, and more explosive—but has yet to face a test quite like Usman.
🧠 Key Question: Can Buckley’s aggression and athleticism overcome Usman’s championship-level experience and grinding style?
📉 Recent Betting Trends
🕹️ Kamaru Usman – Last 5 Odds Results
| Event | Opponent | Result | Odds |
| UFC 294 | Khamzat Chimaev | Loss | +285 |
| UFC 285 | Leon Edwards | Loss | -265 |
| UFC 278 | Leon Edwards | Loss | -345 |
| UFC 268 | Colby Covington | Win | -275 |
| UFC 261 | Jorge Masvidal | Win | -340 |
⚡ Joaquin Buckley – Last 5 Odds Results
| Event | Opponent | Result | Odds |
| UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley | Colby Covington | Win | -209 |
| UFC 307 | Stephen Thompson | Win | -206 |
| UFC Fight Night | Nursultan Ruziboev | Win | -138 |
| UFC Fight Night | Vicente Luque | Win | -129 |
| UFC Fight Night | Alex Morono | Win | -185 |
💬 Expert Analysis: Usman’s Last Stand?
While Buckley’s explosive offense is a major threat, Usman brings years of elite experience. His wrestling, clinch control, and striking accuracy could stifle Buckley’s chaos—if his body holds up. After a long layoff and wear on his knees, this may be Usman’s last true run.
🧪 Expect Buckley to blitz early and hunt a finish. If it goes into rounds 3–5, Usman’s control game becomes the x-factor.
🔥 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop | Odds |
| Fight goes the distance | +110 |
| Buckley wins in Round 1 | +450 |
| Usman by takedowns (3+) | +140 |
| Buckley to score a knockdown | -120 |
🥊 ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| Winner | Usman ML (+205) |
| Method | Usman by Decision (+500) |
| Total Rounds | Over 2.5 (-105) |
| Bonus Leg | Buckley 1+ Knockdown |
🧾 Total Odds: +1225
🔮 ClutchBuzz Pick & Usman vs. Buckley Prediction
💵 Pick: Kamaru Usman ML (+205)
📈 Reason: At over 2/1 odds, Usman offers value based on fight IQ, grappling, and past big-fight success. He looked solid against Chimaev even up a division. If he slows the tempo and keeps Buckley from landing early bombs, he can win this with pressure and control.
