Get the full Yadier del Valle vs. Connor Matthews prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 106.
A rising Cuban prospect meets a desperate veteran in this UFC Vegas 106 Featherweight prelim banger. Yadier “The Cuban Problem” del Valle (8-0) makes his UFC debut after a dominant win on Dana White’s Contender Series. He’s aiming to stay undefeated against Connor “The Controller” Matthews (7-3), who enters the Octagon on a two-fight skid and seeking his first UFC win.
Del Valle brings momentum, pressure, and a well-rounded toolkit. Matthews? He brings urgency, Octagon experience, and a dangerous submission game. Let’s break it all down.
Are you not sure how to bet on UFC? Check out this guide from ClutchBuzz on how to bet on UFC.
🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 106: Yadier del Valle vs. Connor Matthews? (May 17, 2025)
| 🗓 Date | Saturday, May 17, 2025 |
| 🕖 Time | Prelims – 5:00 p.m. ET |
| 📍 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada |
| 📡 Broadcast | ESPN+, UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Implied Win % |
| Yadier del Valle | -470 | 82.5% |
| Connor Matthews | +360 | 21.7% |
| Prop Market | Odds |
| Over 2.5 Rounds | -135 |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | +105 |
| Del Valle by KO/TKO | +200 |
| Matthews by SUB | +600 |
📏 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Yadier del Valle | Connor Matthews |
| Record | 8-0-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Last 5 Fights | W-W-W-W-W | L-L-W-W-L |
| Age | 28 (🇨🇺 Cuba) | 32 (🇺🇸 USA) |
| Height | 5’9″ (175 cm) | 5’8″ (173 cm) |
| Reach | 69″ (175 cm) | 71″ (180 cm) |
| Weight (at weigh-ins) | 145.5 lbs | 145.0 lbs |
| Gym | Gracie Barra Houston / Mainstreet Boxing & MT | New England Cartel |
| UFC Experience | Debut | 2 fights (0-2 UFC) |
| Finishes | 2 KO/TKO, 2 SUB | 1 KO/TKO, 5 SUB |
🔍 Why Yadier del Valle Will Win
- ✅ Undefeated & Confident – 8-0 with 4 finishes, Del Valle is riding high off a dominant Contender Series win.
- ✅ Pressure Fighter – Constant forward movement, clinch control, and ground-and-pound are his bread and butter.
- ✅ Technical & Composed – Rarely overextends, making smart entries into takedowns or striking flurries.
If Del Valle sticks to his strengths—staying aggressive and using his pressure to smother Matthews’ rhythm—he can dominate and control all three rounds or find a late finish.
🔍 Why Connor Matthews Will Win
- ✅ Submission Threat – Five career submission wins, including a dangerous guillotine.
- ✅ Octagon Experience – Already has two UFC fights under his belt.
- ✅ Reach Advantage – His 71” wingspan could help at range or in scrambles.
Matthews’ clearest path is to time Del Valle’s entries and catch him in a choke. He’ll need to fight off his back foot, be patient, and capitalize when Del Valle gets wild.
💣 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop | Odds |
| Fight Goes to Decision | -120 |
| Del Valle via KO/TKO | +200 |
| Matthews via Submission | +600 |
| Del Valle to Win & Over 1.5 Rds | +120 |
🧪 Same Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz Pick)
- ✅ Yadier del Valle ML
- ✅ Over 1.5 Rounds
- ✅ Matthews to Land 1+ Submission Attempt
📊 Odds: +210
💰 $50 wager pays ~$155
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Yadier del Valle vs. Connor Matthews Prediction
🥊 Pick: Yadier del Valle by Decision
🔮 Confidence Level: 7.5/10
Connor Matthews is tough—but coming off two knockout losses in less than six months is risky. Meanwhile, Del Valle is fast, confident, and has momentum. While Matthews has the better ground game, Del Valle’s pressure and composure should nullify those threats.
Expect Del Valle to push the pace, land clean strikes in the clinch and from top control, and grind out a decisive debut win.
📌 The pick is Del Valle via unanimous decision—but if you’re chasing plus money, Del Valle by KO/TKO is live if Matthews shows diminished durability.
