Get the full Zachary Reese vs. Sedrique Dumas prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for Noche UFC 3.
On Saturday, September 13, 2025, the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio will host an electrifying middleweight clash between Zachary “Savage” Reese and Sedriques “The Reaper” Dumas as part of UFC Noche 3. This matchup pits two fighters with contrasting styles and career trajectories against one another, making it one of the more intriguing bouts on the card.
Reese (9-2-0), a 6’4” switch-hitter with a strong grappling base, enters the cage as a betting favorite at -233, fresh off a decision victory over Dusko Todorovic. Known for his efficient striking (54% accuracy) and strong ground game (2.88 takedowns per 15 minutes), Reese looks to impose his well-rounded attack and continue his climb in the middleweight division.
Dumas (10-3-0), meanwhile, comes in as a +198 underdog looking to rebound after a tough first-round loss to Michal Oleksiejczuk. With a slight reach advantage (79”), solid striking defense (55%), and finishing ability (6 career stoppages), Dumas will try to use his range and power to keep Reese at bay.
With Reese favored by the oddsmakers and analytics giving him a 62% win probability, fans can expect a high-stakes chess match between technique and resilience.
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📺 Where to Watch Noche UFC 3: Reese vs. Dumas ? (Sep 13, 2025)
Region | Platform | Start Time |
United States | ESPN+ (Prelims & Main Card) | Prelims: 3:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 p.m. PT
Main Card: 6:00 p.m. ET / 3:00 p.m. PT |
International | UFC Fight Pass (availability varies) | Check local listings |
Venue | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio | Saturday, September 13, 2025 |
Betting Odds
Fighter | Odds |
Zachary Reese | -233 |
Sedriques Dumas | +198 |
Tale Of The Tape
Category | Zachary Reese | Sedriques Dumas |
Record | 9-2-0 | 10-3-0 |
Age | 31 | 30 |
Height | 6’4″ | 6’2″ |
Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
Reach | 77″ | 79″ |
Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.28 | 2.10 |
Striking Accuracy | 54% | 45% |
Strikes Absorbed Per Minute | 2.99 | 2.50 |
Striking Defense | 43% | 55% |
Takedowns per 15 Min | 2.88 | 1.00 (est.) |
Takedown Accuracy | 58% | 35% |
Takedown Defense | 57% | 40% |
Submission Attempts per 15 Min | 1.2 | 0.2 |
Fighter Breakdown
Zachary Reese (“Savage”)
- Strengths: Strong grappling with nearly 3 takedowns per 15 minutes, high striking efficiency (54%), and submission threat.
- Weaknesses: Defense can be shaky (absorbs 2.99 strikes/min, only 43% defensive rate).
- Recent Fight: Beat Dusko Todorovic by unanimous decision, landing 73 total strikes.
Sedriques Dumas (“The Reaper”)
- Strengths: Long reach (79”), solid striking defense (55%), capable of finishing fights (4 KO wins, 2 submissions).
- Weaknesses: Striking output is low (2.10 strikes/min) and accuracy lags at 45%. Struggles against pressure and takedowns.
- Recent Fight: Lost to Michal Oleksiejczuk via first-round KO.
Betting Trends
Trend | Zachary Reese | Sedriques Dumas |
Wins by KO/TKO | 5 | 4 |
Wins by Submission | 2 | 2 |
Average Fight Time | 6:05 | 8:33 |
Decision Record | 2-0 | 4-1 |
Last 5 Fights | 4-1 | 2-3 |
Prop Bets
Market | Pick | Odds (Est.) |
Fight to Go the Distance | No | -150 |
Reese by Submission | +220 | |
Reese by KO/TKO | +180 | |
Dumas by KO/TKO | +350 | |
Under 2.5 Rounds | -135 |
Same-Fight Parlay
Legs | Pick |
Zachary Reese to Win | ✔ |
Fight Under 2.5 Rounds | ✔ |
Reese 1+ Takedowns | ✔ |
💰 Projected Parlay Payout: +280
Final Prediction
Pick | Method | Round |
Zachary Reese | Submission | Round 2 |
ClutchBuzz Take: Reese’s grappling and submission threat are the key factors here. Dumas’ length and defense could keep him competitive early, but his low striking volume and questionable takedown defense make him vulnerable. Expect Reese to weather the storm and take it to the ground, where he secures a second-round submission finish.