Let’s break down the best Sabrina Ionescu prop bet picks to target for Thursday’s primetime matchup, with updated odds and insight into how her role shapes up against the Sky.
After a modest debut performance against the Las Vegas Aces, Sabrina Ionescu and the New York Liberty head to Chicago for a high-profile Eastern Conference clash. If you’re considering player props for this matchup, Ionescu’s market offers value — but not without some caution.
Here’s our breakdown of Sabrina Ionescu’s top prop lines ahead of Thursday night’s contest against the Sky.
Check the future WNBA Championship odds here and upcoming match schedule here.
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📺 Where to Watch Sabrina Ionescu Next Game? (Thursday, May 22)
- 📍 Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
- 🗓️ Date: Thursday, May 22, 2025
- ⏰ Tipoff: 8:00 PM ET
- 📺 TV: The U, WWOR, Liberty Live
- 💻 Streaming: WNBA League Pass, FuboTV
📊 Sabrina Ionescu Prop Bets Tonight
Prop | Line | Best Odds |
Points | 17.0 | Over (Even) / Under (-128) |
Rebounds | 6.8 | Over (-120) / Under (-110) |
Assists | 5.1 | Over (-105) / Under (-125) |
🔍 Prop Bet Breakdown
💡 Best Value: Rebounds Over 6.8 (-120)
Ionescu may not have lit up the scoreboard in the opener (8 points on 3-12 FG, 0-5 from deep), but she was active on the glass. She pulled down 7 rebounds against a physical Aces frontcourt — a total she’s cleared in four of her last five games, dating back to last season.
- Chicago allows 46.0 rebounds per game, one of the highest marks in the league.
- Ionescu is responsible for 13.5% of Liberty boards over the last five games.
- She’s averaging 5.9 rebounds per game over her last 10 WNBA contests.
✅ Pick: Over 6.8 Rebounds (-120)
⚠️ Lean: Under 5.1 Assists (-125)
Ionescu logged 4 assists in Game 1 — a mark slightly under her season prop line. While she’s traditionally been a high-volume distributor (6.8 career APG), her role is slightly shifting alongside Natasha Cloud and the Liberty’s frontcourt scorers.
- She’s averaging just 4.7 assists over her last five games.
- Cloud led the team in usage last game and is absorbing much of the playmaking burden.
- The Sky allow just 19 assists per game, ranked 8th in the WNBA.
🤏 Lean: Under 5.1 Assists (-125)
🚫 Fade: Points Prop
Ionescu’s scoring has dipped in her recent stretch. She’s cleared 17 points just once in her last five games, and shot an ice-cold 25.0% from the field in the season opener.
While she’s more than capable of bouncing back, this Sky defense held Indiana to 40.4% shooting in their last five games and presents a size advantage that could disrupt Ionescu’s rhythm.
❌ Fade: Points Over 17.0
📈 Recent Game Log (Last 5)
Opponent | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
Las Vegas Aces | 31 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
Minnesota Lynx | 40 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
Minnesota Lynx | 36 | 10 | 6 | 5 |
Minnesota Lynx | 32 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
Minnesota Lynx | 36 | 15 | 4 | 5 |
🏁 Final Pick: Best Sabrina Ionescu Prop Bet Picks
- ✅ Top Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Over 6.8 Rebounds (-120)
- ⚠️ Lean: Under 5.1 Assists (-125)
- ❌ Fade: Points prop — too much variance, not enough efficiency yet
🔔 Keep an eye on Ionescu’s shot volume tonight. If she bounces back from a cold opener, we might be revisiting that points over soon — but for now, let the boards do the betting.