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HomeUFCMichael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett Prediction, Odds, Parlay Builder And Expert Picks (April 12, 2025)
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UFC

Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett Prediction, Odds, Parlay Builder And Expert Picks (April 12, 2025)

Jorge Costa
Apr 12, 2025
5 min read
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Check our Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett prediction here. It’s youth vs. experience, brawn vs. flash, and pure chaos in the co-main event at UFC 314 as Michael Chandler returns to the Octagon to face undefeated UFC star Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett in a lightweight battle that promises violence, flair, and fireworks.

Check out our fully UFC 314 fight card preview here.

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Where To Watch Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett? (April 12, 2025)

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Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Start Time: Main Card begins at 10 p.m. ET | Co-main event expected at approx. 11:45 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV

Don’t know how UFC betting works? Check out here.

📊 Tale of the Tape

 

Fighter Michael Chandler Paddy Pimblett
Record 23-9 (2-4 UFC) 22-3 (6-0 UFC)
Age 38 30
Height 5’8″ 5’10”
Reach 71.5″ 73″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Team Sanford MMA Next Gen MMA
Last Fight Loss vs Charles Oliveira (UD) Win vs King Green (Sub)

🔥 Recent Momentum

  • Paddy Pimblett is riding a 6-0 UFC streak, including a July 2024 submission win over King Green. The Liverpool native has evolved from a hype train to a legit contender, polishing up his striking and showing off an elite ground game with 10 career submission wins.
  • Michael Chandler, meanwhile, is 1-3 in his last four and hasn’t fought since November 2024. Though past his physical peak, the former Bellator champion remains dangerous with KO power in both hands and All-American wrestling pedigree.

🧠 Key X-Factors

Chandler’s Path to Victory

  • ✅ Aggressive start: Chandler thrives when he pushes the pace early.
  • ✅ Left-hand power: His left has become his sneaky money shot in recent bouts.
  • ✅ Ground & pound: If he gets top control, he can do serious damage or even finish it.

Pimblett’s Path to Victory

  • ✅ Cardio & youth: At 30, Paddy can extend the fight and take over late.
  • ✅ Crafty clinch & submissions: His jiu-jitsu is slick, especially when opponents shoot recklessly.
  • ✅ Range: He’ll enjoy a 1.5” reach advantage and needs to use kicks to keep Chandler outside.

ClutchBuzz promotion of DraftKings

💥 Fighter Quotes

Michael Chandler:
“I’m going to go out there and get my hand raised and finish Paddy Pimblett in spectacular fashion. This is the people’s main event.”

Paddy Pimblett:
“He’s gonna come out and try and take my head off. But I tower over him. He’s gonna feel the difference come fight night.”

🧪 Chandler vs. Paddy Betting Odds 

 

  • Paddy Pimblett: -160 (favorite)
  • Michael Chandler: +124 (underdog)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds
  • Most likely finish: Inside the distance by either man

🧠 Expert Picks & Fight Talk: Who Has the Edge?

MMA’s biggest voices are split when it comes to Chandler vs. Pimblett, and that only makes this co-main event more electric. Here’s what some of the sport’s elite fighters, coaches, and analysts are saying, according to BBC:

🗣 Arnold Allen (UFC Featherweight Contender)
Pick: Pimblett (Submission)

“Paddy’s jiu-jitsu usurps Chandler’s wrestling. I think he snatches a triangle when Chandler rushes in.”

🗣 Michael Chandler (UFC Lightweight)
Pick: Himself (KO)

“This is the people’s main event. I’m finishing Paddy in spectacular fashion.”

🗣 Paddy Pimblett (UFC Lightweight)
Pick: Himself (Range + Sub)

“I tower over him. I’ll keep my distance and he’ll see that come fight night.”

🗣 Henry Cejudo (Former UFC Double Champ)
Pick: Pimblett (Upset)

“I’m smelling an upset. Paddy is better than we think.”

🗣 Robert Whittaker (Former UFC Middleweight Champ)
Pick: Pimblett (Submission)

“Paddy’s volume and subs win this. Chandler fades, and Paddy pounces.”

🗣 Jamahal Hill (Former UFC Light-Heavyweight Champ)
Pick: Pimblett (Kicks + Tactics)

“If Paddy targets the legs, he’ll find the shots.”

🗣 Israel Adesanya (Former UFC Middleweight Champ)
Pick: Chandler (Early KO) or Pimblett (Decision)

“If it goes past Round 1, I lean Paddy. But Chandler can blitz him early.”

🗣 Sean O’Malley (UFC Bantamweight Champion)
Pick: Draw

“No clue who wins. Chandler is a savage. Paddy is skilled. This one’s a toss-up.”

🗣 John Kavanagh (MMA Coach)
Pick: Pimblett (RNC)

“Paddy gets the rear-naked choke in Round 1 or 2. He’s rangy and scrappy.”

🗣 Mauricio Ruffy (UFC Lightweight)
Pick: Pimblett (Momentum)

“Momentum’s on Paddy’s side. I’m going with the Englishman.”

🗣 Jared Cannonier (UFC Light-Heavyweight Contender)
Pick: Chandler (Power)

“Paddy’s tough, but Chandler hits too hard. He grinds it out.”

🗣 Dustin Poirier (UFC Lightweight Contender)
Pick: Chandler (Confident)

“Chandler all day. Go hard on the money.”

🤑 Best Bets & ClutchBuzz Parlay Plays

✅ Straight Picks

  • 🔥 Michael Chandler ML (+124) – Value play. Chandler still has the power and wrestling to overwhelm.
  • 🧠 Fight doesn’t go to decision (-230) – Both men have a combined 24 finishes in the first round.

🧩 Prop Bets to Watch

  • 💥 Chandler by KO/TKO: +220
  • 🛑 Pimblett by submission: +260
  • 🕰️ Fight to end in Round 2: +450
  • ⚔️ Total rounds under 2.5: -135

🎯 ClutchBuzz Same-Fight Parlay (+670)

  • Chandler ML
  • Under 2.5 Rounds
  • Fight ends in KO/TKO

🔮 Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett Prediction: Who Wins?

Paddy Pimblett is no joke. His BJJ is elite, his size is real and his confidence is soaring. But this is a massive step up. Chandler may be 38, but he’s still lightning fast, hits like a truck, and has been through wars with the best.

If Paddy can survive the early storm, it becomes a coin flip. But our gut says Chandler lands big early and finishes it.

📣 Pick: Michael Chandler via 1st-Round KO

📈 ClutchBuzz Final Grade

Fighter Power Cardio Wrestling BJJ Experience Overall Edge
Chandler 🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 ➕ Chandler
Pimblett 🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 🔥🔥🔥 –

 

Jorge Costa
Apr 12, 2025
5 min
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