The Cleveland Guardians return home to Progressive Field Monday night looking to build momentum in the AL Central standings as they host division rivals, the Minnesota Twins. After taking six of their last ten games, Cleveland enters this series led by the red-hot Steven Kwan, who has stretched his hitting streak to an impressive 10 games.
Minnesota, meanwhile, has battled inconsistency early in the season but is starting to find some offensive rhythm thanks to strong showings from Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach. Despite dropping several close games, the Twins remain dangerous with a lineup capable of piling up extra-base hits quickly.
On the mound, the Guardians will turn to Gavin Williams (2-1, 4.15 ERA), who looks to bounce back after some recent challenges against power-hitting teams. Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober (2-1, 5.04 ERA), a big right-hander who showed signs of control in his last outing against the White Sox.
With both teams looking to climb the division ladder and two offenses trending upward, Monday’s opener sets the stage for what should be a competitive and intriguing series.
First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET on CLEG and MNNT.
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📺 Where To Watch Guardians vs. Twins? (April 28, 2025)
| Category | Details |
| Date | Monday, April 28, 2025 |
| Time | 6:10 p.m. ET |
| Location | Progressive Field — Cleveland, OH |
| TV | CLEG, MNNT |
💰 Guardians vs Twins Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Odds |
| Moneyline | Guardians -128 / Twins +109 |
| Spread (Run Line) | Guardians -1.5 (+167) / Twins +1.5 (-202) |
| Over/Under | 8 Runs (Over -107 / Under -113) |
➡️ Odds updated April 28, 2025.
⚾ Pitcher Matchup: Gavin Williams vs Bailey Ober
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | IP | K/9 | Opponent BA |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 2-1 | 4.15 | 26.2 | 8.8 | .267 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 2-1 | 5.04 | 25.2 | 8.3 | .287 |
Quick Notes:
- Williams has 26 strikeouts across 26.2 IP this season, but Cleveland’s pitching ERA has ballooned lately (5.10 last 10 games).
- Ober has struggled allowing baserunners (.287 opponent average) but delivered a quality outing last time out.
📈 Betting Trends
| Team | ML Record | As Favorite | Over Record |
| Guardians | 8-2 (80%) | 5-1 (83.3%) | 14-11-2 |
| Twins | 1-6 (14.3%) | 0-2 (0%) | 10-18 |
Quick Insights:
- Guardians have been strong when favored.
- Twins are 0-2 as +109 or longer underdogs this season.
🔁 Recent Team Performance (Last 10 Games)
| Team | Record | Runs/Game | HRs | ERA | K/9 |
| Guardians | 6-4 | 4.1 | 10 | 5.10 | 9.1 |
| Twins | 6-4 | 4.4 | 8 | 3.35 | 10.0 |
➡️ Twins’ pitching has been sharper (3.35 ERA last 10 games).
🚑 Guardians vs Twins Injury Report
| Team | Player | Injury | Status |
| Guardians | Shane Bieber | Elbow (15-Day IL) | Out |
| Guardians | Lane Thomas | Wrist (10-Day IL) | Out |
| Twins | Willi Castro | Oblique (10-Day IL) | Out |
| Twins | Royce Lewis | Hamstring (10-Day IL) | Out |
🎯 Top Player Prop Bets
| Player | Prop Type | Line | Pick |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | Hits | Over 0.5 (-250) | Over |
| José Ramírez (CLE) | Total Bases | Over 1.5 (+105) | Over |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | Hits | Over 0.5 (-205) | Over |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | Total Bases | Over 1.5 (+100) | Strong Play |
Notes:
- Kwan has a 10-game hitting streak heading into tonight.
- Buxton hitting .317 over his last 10 games.
🧠 Expert Insights
Guardians Notes:
- Steven Kwan (.346 BA) has been the catalyst atop the lineup.
- Guardians pitching has allowed 14 home runs in their last 10 games — a concern heading into this one.
Twins Notes:
- Trevor Larnach (4 HRs last 10 games) and Byron Buxton (13 hits in last 10 games) are heating up offensively.
- Twins’ bullpen and starting pitching have been sharper lately, despite the underdog status.
🏟️ Suggested Same-Game Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| Spread (Run Line) | Guardians -1.5 (+167) |
| Total | Over 8 Runs |
| Player Prop | Kwan Over 0.5 Hits |
💸 $10 Bet Payout: Around $68 depending on sportsbook.
🔥 Final Guardians vs. Twins Prediction
| Category | Pick |
| Run Line | Guardians -1.5 |
| Total Runs | Over 8 |
| Moneyline | Guardians -128 |
| Final Score | Guardians 5, Twins 4 |
The Guardians’ offense, led by Steven Kwan’s hot streak, should edge Bailey Ober’s Twins tonight. While both teams have been competitive lately, the edge goes to Cleveland at home behind Kwan, Ramirez, and a bounce-back performance from Gavin Williams.
