Get the full Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 106.
A pivotal clash in the UFC’s lightweight division features a matchup between experience and rising talent as Sodiq “Super” Yusuff takes on Mairon “The Legend” Santos. Yusuff is desperate to snap a two-fight skid and reassert himself in the division. Santos looks to extend his unbeaten UFC run to 3-0 and solidify his prospect status.
Can the savvy veteran frustrate the younger fighter, or will Santos’ sharp defense and composure lead to another W?
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 106: Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos? (May 17, 2025)
| 🗓 Date | Saturday, May 17, 2025 |
| 🕖 Time | Main Card – 8:00 p.m. ET |
| 📍 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada |
| 📡 Broadcast | ESPN+, UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Implied Win % |
| Sodiq Yusuff | +105 | 48.8% |
| Mairon Santos | -125 | 55.6% |
| Fight Outcome | Odds |
| Fight Goes Distance | -150 |
| Fight Ends in KO/TKO | +180 |
| Yusuff by KO/TKO | +260 |
| Santos by Decision | +135 |
📏 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Sodiq Yusuff | Mairon Santos |
| Record | 13-4-0 | 16-1-0 |
| Age | 31 | 24 |
| Height | 5’9″ | 5’7″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Avg. Fight Time | 10:51 | 10:45 |
| Strikes Landed Per Min | 5.66 | 4.14 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 45% |
| Strikes Absorbed Per Min | 4.51 | 2.37 |
| Striking Defense | 53% | 70% |
| Takedown Avg/15 min | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| Takedown Defense | 62% | 40% |
| Submission Attempts/15m | 0.4 | 0.3 |
🔍 Why Sodiq Yusuff Will Win
- ✅ Higher output – Yusuff throws nearly 6 significant strikes per minute, making him one of the busier fighters in the division.
- ✅ UFC-level experience – He’s shared the Octagon with elite names like Edson Barboza and Arnold Allen and is 6-3 in the UFC.
- ✅ Better power – Despite a tough loss to Diego Lopes, Yusuff carries real finishing threat and won’t be afraid to test Santos’ chin.
💡 Yusuff’s pace and pressure could overwhelm a still-developing Santos if the fight turns into a dirty boxing affair.
🔍 Why Mairon Santos Will Win
- ✅ Superior defense – Santos absorbs just 2.37 strikes per minute and defends 70% of strikes, among the best rates on the roster.
- ✅ Efficient and composed – In his last fight, he outpointed Francis Marshall in a technical affair and avoided big damage.
- ✅ Momentum on his side – Riding a 2-0 UFC start and 16-1 career record, Santos is trending up and improving each time out.
💡 Santos must control the pace, stay off the cage and keeps it technical. He could win a clean decision on volume and control.
💣 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop | Odds |
| ✅ Fight Goes the Distance | -150 |
| 📝 Santos by Decision | +135 |
| 💥 Yusuff by KO/TKO | +260 |
| 💤 Under 2.5 Rounds | +200 |
| 🔁 Over 2.5 Rounds | -160 |
🧪 Same Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz Pick)
- ✅ Santos to Win
- ✅ Over 2.5 Rounds
- ✅ Fight to Go the Distance
📊 Odds: +185
💰 $50 wager pays ~$142.50
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos Prediction
🥊 Pick: Mairon Santos by Decision
🔮 Confidence Level: 6.5/10
While Yusuff’s aggression and firepower are real, Santos’ cleaner striking defense, footwork, and youth give him the edge in a three-round technical battle. Unless Yusuff scores a flash KO, expect Santos to pull away on the scorecards with crisper counters and composure under pressure.
📌 We expect a close fight. The smart money leans with the rising prospect to get it done by decision.
