Check the Mystics vs. Mercury prediction for the WNBA matchup on May 25, 2025. See odds, betting picks, injury news, player props and a parlay.
The Phoenix Mercury return home for a Sunday night showdown against the Washington Mystics, looking to build on their strong 2-1 start. The Mercury took down the Sparks in a narrow 89-86 win last time out, while the Mystics suffered a frustrating 76-74 loss to the expansion Golden State Valkyries. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET at Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ, with live coverage available via WNBA League Pass, MNMT, and AZFamily.
With both teams trending in opposite directions and star guards leading the way—Brittney Sykes for the Mystics and Satou Sabally for the Mercury—expect a high-paced battle between two playoff-hopeful squads.
Find the future WNBA Championship odds here and upcoming match schedule here.
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📺 Where to Watch Mystics vs. Mercury? (Sunday, May 25)
| Platform | Details |
| 📺 TV Channel | MNMT, AZFamily |
| 💻 Stream | WNBA League Pass, Fubo |
| 📍 Venue | Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| 🕕 Time | 6:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, May 25 |
💸 Betting Odds
| Bet Type | Odds |
| Spread | Mercury -7.5 |
| Moneyline | Mercury -329, Mystics +260 |
| Over/Under | 161.5 |
🧠 Consensus Pick: Mercury -7.5 | Under 161.5
📊 Betting Insights & Trends
- Mercury are 22-20-0 ATS last season; 3-1 as 7.5-point favorites.
- Mystics went 26-14-0 ATS last year; 10-6 as 7.5+ underdogs.
- Combined PPG last year: 160.8 — slightly under the total.
- Combined opponent PPG allowed: 167.1, over the total.
- The Mercury covered 75% of games when favored by this margin in 2024.
🔁 Recent Game Recap
🏀 Mercury 89, Sparks 86 (Game 3)
- Satou Sabally: 25 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST
- Phoenix shot 41.8% FG and made 11 threes
- Won despite being out-rebounded 37-33
🏀 Mystics 74, Valkyries 76 (Game 4)
- Brittney Sykes: 30 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST
- Team shot 37.9% FG, made just 7 threes
- Couldn’t overcome poor perimeter defense and missed FTs
🏥 Injury Report
| Team | Player | Status |
| Mercury | Kahleah Copper | Out (Knee) |
| Mercury | Natasha Mack | Out (Back) |
| Mystics | Georgia Amoore | Out for Season |
| Mystics | Aaliyah Edwards | Out (Back) |
🔑 Key Matchups
💥 Satou Sabally vs. Brittney Sykes
Two of the most explosive scorers in the league square off. Sabally is shooting from deep with confidence, while Sykes has been carrying the Mystics with back-to-back 25+ point efforts.
💥 Rebounding Battle
Phoenix is averaging 35.5 boards per game, while Washington is at 33.7. Without Edwards, the Mystics must find interior presence to stop second-chance Mercury points.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Player | Line | Pick |
| Satou Sabally | 20.5 Points | 🔥 Over (-115) |
| Brittney Sykes | 18.5 Points | 🔥 Over (-110) |
| Alyssa Thomas | 7.5 Assists | ✅ Over (-105) |
| Kalani Brown | 1.5 Blocks | 🚫 Under (+110) |
| Stefanie Dolson | 1.5 3PM | ✅ Over (+120) |
🔗 Same Game Parlay (Mystics vs. Mercury)
| Leg | Pick |
| Satou Sabally 20+ PTS | ✅ |
| Brittney Sykes 20+ PTS | ✅ |
| Game Total Under 161.5 | ✅ |
| Mercury ML | ✅ |
| 🔒 Parlay Odds: +575 | 💰 Let’s cash it |
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Mystics vs. Mercury Prediction
The Mystics are playing tough defense but missing offensive consistency and interior presence with injuries to Edwards and Amoore. The Mercury are clicking despite Copper’s absence, with Sabally and Thomas leading the charge. Look for Phoenix to take control early and build enough of a cushion to cover the spread.
Final Score: Mercury 83, Mystics 73
✅ Pick: Mercury -7.5
🔥 Total: Under 161.5
