Get the full Rayanne dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 107.
The curtain jerker of UFC Vegas 107 brings us a women’s strawweight scrap between two fighters still searching for their first UFC win. Rayanne dos Santos (14-8) returns after back-to-back split decision losses, while Alice Ardelean (9-7) looks to bounce back after a pair of frustrating defeats.
While neither fighter has shined thus far on MMA’s biggest stage, both are looking to flip the narrative in Las Vegas. Dos Santos comes in as the sizable favorite thanks to better striking metrics and Octagon experience. Ardelean, meanwhile, offers sneaky underdog value due to her improved wrestling and grit in previous matchups.
This one might not steal the show, but it has live dog potential and value on both sides. Let’s dig into the tale of the tape, odds, and betting angles for this early prelim clash.
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 107: Rayanne dos Santos vs Alice Ardelean? (May 31, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 31, 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas |
| 🕗 Time | Early Prelims ~6:00 PM ET |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Rayanne dos Santos | -270 |
| Alice Ardelean | +220 |
🧨 Heavy juice on dos Santos, but her margin for error is slim against a hungry underdog.
🧬 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Rayanne dos Santos | Alice Ardelean |
| 📊 Record | 14-8-0 | 9-7-0 |
| 🧍♀️ Height | 5’2″ | 5’3″ |
| 📏 Reach | 62″ | 62″ |
| ⚖️ Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| 🎯 SLpM | 4.36 | 4.97 |
| 🔥 Striking Accuracy | 43% | 45% |
| 🛡️ Strikes Absorbed/Min | 5.20 | 4.97 |
| 🛡️ Strike Defense | 61% | 52% |
| 🤼♀️ TD Avg/15 Min | 0.33 | 0.60 (est) |
| 📉 TD Accuracy | 12% | 40% |
| 🛑 TD Defense | 88% | 85% |
| 🔒 Sub Attempts/15 Min | 0.6 | 0.3 |
📊 Betting Insights
- Rayanne dos Santos has lost her last 2 UFC fights by razor-thin split decisions, showing she can hang — but not separate.
- Alice Ardelean has dropped both UFC fights (1 split, 1 unanimous), but landed 92 significant strikes vs. Melissa Martinez.
- Ardelean defends takedowns at 85%, and she’s more accurate than her opponent in striking metrics.
- Both fighters absorb ~5 strikes per minute — defensive holes are real.
🎯 Value leans Ardelean with the better grappling and volume at plus money.
🚑 Injury Report
| Fighter | Status | Notes |
| Rayanne dos Santos | ✅ Active | Coming off a split decision loss |
| Alice Ardelean | ✅ Active | Seeking first UFC win |
🔍 Key Matchup: Striking vs. Control
This one comes down to whether dos Santos can keep the fight standing and outwork Ardelean, or if Ardelean’s pressure and cage control earn her top control and optics in a low-output fight.
Dos Santos defends well and lands accurately, but has yet to show killer instinct or cardio dominance. Ardelean won’t blow the roof off the Apex, but she grinds.
⚖️ Razor-thin — and possibly headed for another split decision.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Bet | Odds (Est.) |
| ✅ Over 2.5 Rounds | -250 |
| ✅ Fight Goes the Distance | -220 |
| 📈 Ardelean via Decision | +400 |
| 📉 dos Santos via KO/TKO | +600 |
| 💥 Fight Ends in Split Decision | +500 |
📌 Value sits with decision props — especially if you’re chasing dog money.
💰 ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| ✅ Over 2.5 Rounds | -250 |
| ✅ Fight Goes the Distance | -220 |
| ✅ Ardelean +3.5 Point Spread | -105 |
🔥 Projected Payout: +320
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Rayanne dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean Prediction
🎯 Prediction: Alice Ardelean via Split Decision
We’re not expecting fireworks, but this could be a gritty three-round chess match where Ardelean scores just enough in the clinch and control time to edge the cards. Dos Santos has technical polish, but she’s let two previous decisions slip.
Ardelean’s slight edge in grappling and striking volume makes her the live underdog worth a stab.
💸 Best Bet: Ardelean +220 ML
📈 Backup: Ardelean by Decision +400
