Get the full Quillan Salkilld vs. Yanal Ashmouz prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 316.
The Prudential Center in Newark, NJ, hosts an intriguing lightweight showdown as Australia’s Quillan Salkilld looks to extend his meteoric rise against Israel’s gritty grappler Yanal Ashmouz. With both men sitting at 8-1, this bout could catapult the winner into the conversation for UFC lightweight up-and-comers.
Fresh off an 18-second KO of Anshul Jubli, Salkilld comes in hot with momentum, reach, and size. But Ashmouz, who recently dominated Trevor Peek over three rounds, thrives when underestimated. Expect fireworks when these two clash in the Octagon on Saturday.
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📺 Where to Watch UFC 316: Quillan Salkilld vs. Yanal Ashmouz? (June 7, 2025)
| Event | UFC 316 |
| 📍 Location | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
| 🕒 Date & Time | Saturday, June 7, 2025 – Prelims |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass / PPV |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
| Quillan Salkilld | -550 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | +410 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Salkilld | Ashmouz |
| Record | 8-1-0 | 8-1-0 |
| Age | 25 | 30 |
| Height | 6’0″ | 5’9″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 75″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 5.68 | 2.94 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 50% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 4.18 | 4.54 |
| Takedowns/15 min | 8.81 | 2.50 |
| Takedown Defense | 85% | 60% |
| Sub Attempts/15 min | 1.0 | 0.5 |
🔍 Fight Breakdown
Why Quillan Salkilld Will Win:
Salkilld has the tools to dominate this matchup. He boasts a 6-inch height and reach advantage, nearly double the striking output, and elite-level takedown defense. His KO power is real, as demonstrated in his UFC debut. If he maintains distance, uses his jab, and keeps the fight standing, a second-straight finish is well within reach.
Why Yanal Ashmouz Will Win:
Ashmouz is durable, experienced, and thrives in scrappy, wrestling-heavy brawls. His performance against Trevor Peek showed he can handle pressure and impose his own. If he can close the distance early, mix in takedowns, and sap Salkilld’s energy, the underdog has a clear path to grind out a decision.
🎯 Prop Bets: Salkilld vs. Ashmouz (UFC 316)
| Prop Market | Bet | Odds |
| Fight Result | Salkilld by KO/TKO | +120 |
| Salkilld by Submission | +350 | |
| Salkilld by Decision | +200 | |
| Ashmouz by KO/TKO | +700 | |
| Ashmouz by Submission | +950 | |
| Ashmouz by Decision | +650 | |
| Fight to Go the Distance | No | -135 |
| Yes | +105 | |
| Round Betting | Salkilld in Round 1 | +200 |
| Salkilld in Round 2 | +400 | |
| Ashmouz in Round 3 | +1200 | |
| Method & Round Combo | Salkilld KO/TKO R1 | +250 |
| Ashmouz Sub R3 | +1800 |
📌 Odds may vary slightly depending on the sportsbook (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, etc.)
💣 Same-Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz SGP)
| Leg | Pick |
| Moneyline | Quillan Salkilld (-550) |
| Method | KO/TKO |
| Rounds | Under 2.5 (+140) |
🔮 Final ClutchBuzz Prediction
We’re backing Quillan Salkilld to get it done inside the distance. His range, speed, and calm in chaos make him a brutal puzzle for a fighter like Ashmouz to solve. While Ashmouz has solid wrestling, he’s been hit clean too often. Against a sniper like Salkilld, that’s a dangerous game.
✅ Prediction: Quillan Salkilld via KO/TKO
💥 Best Bet: Salkilld moneyline + Under 2.5 rounds (+140)
