Get the full Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 316.
The middleweights throw down in a must-watch matchup as Kelvin Gastelum, the always-game UFC veteran, takes on powerful prospect Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer.
With rankings implications on the line and both men capable of ending fights early, this is a stylistic clash built for fireworks.
Are you not sure how to bet on UFC? Check out this guide from ClutchBuzz on how to bet on UFC.
🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch UFC 316: Khaos Williams vs. Andreas Gustafsson? (June 7, 2025)
| Platform | Details |
| 📍 Location | Prudential Center, Newark, NJ |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, June 7, 2025 |
| ⏰ Time | Prelims start 6:00 PM ET |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Kelvin Gastelum | +300 |
| Joe Pyfer | -380 |
| Over 2.5 Rounds | -130 |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | +100 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Kelvin Gastelum | Joe Pyfer |
| Record | 20-9-0 (1 NC) | 13-3-0 |
| Age | 33 | 28 |
| Height | 5’9” | 6’2” |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 71” | 75” |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 3.74 | 3.72 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 41% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 3.48 | 3.48 |
| Takedowns/15 min | 1.10 (34%) | 1.50 (41%) |
| Takedown Defense | 59% | 50% |
| Sub Attempts/15 min | 0.1 | 0.9 |
🧠 Fight Breakdown
Kelvin Gastelum is back in the win column and looking to prove he’s still a threat in the middleweight division. With a history of five-round wars and high-level experience, Gastelum brings cardio, boxing, and durability. He’ll need all three to survive Pyfer’s power.
Joe Pyfer, meanwhile, is the rising killer on a mission to break into the Top 15. After a dominant Round 1 KO over Marc-Andre Barriault, he enters UFC 316 as the heavy favorite. His size, reach, and finishing ability make him one of the most dangerous prospects at 185.
Gastelum will look to frustrate Pyfer with speed and counter-punching. Pyfer will look to close the distance and land bombs.
🧾 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop Market | Odds |
| Joe Pyfer to Win by KO/TKO | -120 |
| Joe Pyfer to Win in Round 1 | +210 |
| Kelvin Gastelum by Decision | +600 |
| Fight Ends by KO/TKO | -190 |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | +100 |
💥 Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Result |
| Joe Pyfer ML | ✅ |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | ✅ |
| Pyfer to Land 1+ Knockdown | ✅ |
| Gastelum to Attempt 2+ Takedowns | ✅ |
| ✅ Parlay Odds | +385 |
🧠 ClutchBuzz Final Prediction
This fight pits durability vs. raw power. Gastelum has faced legends and never been KO’d, but Pyfer hits different. He’s evolving, faster, stronger, and younger. While Kelvin can make this gritty, it only takes one from Pyfer to change the tide.
ClutchBuzz Pick: Joe Pyfer ML (-380)
Prop Pick: Under 2.5 Rounds (+100)
📸 Watch for: Pyfer’s overhand right followed by a viral finish.
