The lights of Los Angeles are shining brighter than ever as the Dodgers (93–69) stand one win away from sweeping the Philadelphia Phillies (96–66) in the 2025 NLDS. With the series shifting to Dodger Stadium, it’s do-or-die for Philadelphia — and all eyes turn to ace Aaron Nola, who will duel against Japan’s superstar import Yoshinobu Yamamoto under the California night sky.
First pitch is set for 9:08 p.m. ET (6:08 p.m. PT) on TBS, truTV, and HBO Max. The Dodgers lead the series 2–0 after back-to-back road wins in Philly, powered by clutch hitting from Teoscar Hernández and dominant pitching from Blake Snell.
Can the Phillies bounce back and force Game 4 — or will Yamamoto and the Dodgers punch their ticket to yet another NLCS appearance?
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📺 Where To Watch Dodgers vs. Phillies NLDS Game 3? (October 8, 2025)
Platform | Channel/Stream | Time (ET) | Venue |
National Broadcast | TBS / truTV / HBO Max | 9:08 p.m. | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
Streaming | Fubo / MLB App | 9:08 p.m. | — |
💰 Betting Odds
Team | Moneyline | Run Line | Total (O/U) |
Dodgers | -110 | -1.5 (+150) | 7.0 Runs |
Phillies | +132 | +1.5 (-180) | — |
Odds via major sportsbooks as of Oct 8, 2025
🔢 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | IP | K | BB | WHIP | Last Start |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R) | LAD | 12-8 | 2.49 | 173.2 | 201 | 54 | 1.03 | Oct 1 vs CIN: 6.2 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 9 K |
Aaron Nola (R) | PHI | 5-10 | 6.01 | 94.1 | 97 | 34 | 1.27 | Sept 26 vs MIN: 8.0 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 9 K |
Yamamoto: The Japanese ace has lived up to every dollar of his contract — calm, clinical, and devastatingly precise. With a 10.4 K/9 and a .183 opponent average, his command has turned every lineup he’s faced into mere spectators.
Nola: Don’t be fooled by his ERA — the Phillies right-hander is still capable of brilliance, as shown in his last start against Minnesota. His curveball was darting, his fastball had bite, and he’ll need every bit of that tonight to silence a dangerous Dodgers lineup.
📊 Team Overview
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Record as Favorite: 84-60 (58.3%)
- Runs Per Game: 5.09 (2nd in MLB)
- Team AVG/SLG: .253 / .441
- Team ERA: 3.95 (11th)
- Home Runs: 244 (2nd in MLB)
This Dodgers team is pure balance — elite hitting, steady pitching, and postseason poise. Shohei Ohtani’s MVP-level campaign (55 HR, 102 RBI) anchors an offense supported by Freddie Freeman (.295 AVG) and Mookie Betts (.258, 20 HR).
Yamamoto’s control gives them the upper hand in what could become a chess match by the fifth inning.
Philadelphia Phillies
- Record as Underdog: 16-17 (48.5%)
- Runs Per Game: 4.8 (8th in MLB)
- Team AVG/SLG: .258 / .431
- Team ERA: 3.79 (9th)
- Home Runs: 212 (9th in MLB)
The Phillies can rake — but they’ve struggled to cash in runners lately. Kyle Schwarber’s 56 homers and Bryce Harper’s disciplined at-bats are the lifeblood of this offense, but Trea Turner’s speed (.304 AVG, 30 SB) might be the X-factor against Yamamoto’s quick tempo.
⚔️ Key Player Matchups
Batter | Team | Stat | Split vs RHP | Trend |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 55 HR / 102 RBI | .287 | HR in 4 of last 10 | |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) | .295 AVG / .417 OBP | .301 | 7-game hit streak | |
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 56 HR / 132 RBI | .250 | 2 HR in last 5 games | |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 27 HR / 70 BB | .265 | 6 RBIs in last 6 games | |
Trea Turner (PHI) | .304 AVG / .827 OPS | .317 | Multi-hit games in 3 of last 5 |
📈 Betting Trends
Category | Dodgers | Phillies |
Last 10 Games | 9-1 | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 5.8 | 3.3 |
Team ERA | 2.66 | 3.16 |
Over/Under Record | 6-4 | 4-6 |
Series Lead | 2-0 | — |
Dodgers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall.- Phillies are 1-4 SU in their last 5 playoff road games.
- Under has hit in 7 of last 10 Dodgers home games.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
Player | Market | Line | Lean |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | HR O/U | 0.5 (+200) | ✅ Over — postseason power surge |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) | Hits O/U | 0.5 (-225) | ✅ Over — steady contact machine |
Aaron Nola (PHI) | K’s O/U | 6.5 (-110) | ⚠️ Lean Over — big-game response |
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | Total Bases O/U | 1.5 (+125) | ✅ Over — feast-or-famine slugger |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | Outs O/U | 18.5 (-115) | ✅ Over — expect 7 solid innings |
💵 ClutchBuzz Same-Game Parlay
Leg | Pick | Odds |
Dodgers Moneyline | — | — |
Ohtani 1+ HR | — | — |
Freeman 1+ RBI | — | — |
Total Under 8 | — | — |
Projected Return: +425 |
🔍 Game Breakdown
Everything about this matchup screams “classic October baseball.”
Yamamoto’s dominance has been a revelation — he’s allowed two earned runs in his last 33 innings. His high-spin fastball and split-finger combo have turned elite hitters into guessing machines. Meanwhile, the Phillies need early runs to shift momentum after dropping two heartbreakers at home.
Aaron Nola will aim to lean on his curveball-heavy approach to induce weak contact, but the Dodgers’ patience at the plate (580 walks, 3rd in MLB) could run up his pitch count early.
If Schwarber or Harper can deliver a long ball with men on, the Phillies can hang around — but Los Angeles’ bullpen, led by Ryan Brasier and Daniel Hudson, has been airtight all postseason.
🏁 ClutchBuzz Final Phillies vs. Dodgers Prediction
Market | Pick |
Moneyline | ✅ Dodgers -110 |
Total | ✅ Under 7 Runs |
Score Prediction | Dodgers 5 – Phillies 3 |
Analysis: Yamamoto deals again, Ohtani flexes his power, and Los Angeles advances to the NLCS with a sweep. The Phillies make it interesting early, but the Dodgers’ composure — and that Hollywood crowd — prove too much.