Two well-rounded bantamweights looking to climb back toward the top 15 collide at UFC Vegas 111 as American grinder Ricky Simón (22-6) takes on Brazilian veteran Raoni Barcelos (20-5).
Simón, fighting out of American Top Team Portland, snapped a three-fight skid with back-to-back wins over Javid Basharat and Cameron Smotherman, showcasing his trademark wrestling and relentless pressure. Meanwhile, Barcelos, training at Refit Pro Fighters in Rio de Janeiro, continues to defy age with crisp counterstriking and composure, riding a three-fight winning streak capped by a decision over former champ Cody Garbrandt.
Both men are elite scramblers with fast hands and solid cardio. Expect high pace, constant movement, and plenty of tactical exchanges in this classic USA vs. Brazil stylistic chess match.
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📺 Where to Watch Ricky Simon vs. Raoni Barcelos? (November 8, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| Event | UFC Vegas 111 |
| Date | Saturday, November 8, 2025 |
| Venue | UFC Apex — Las Vegas, NV |
| Start Time (Local) | Main Card 10 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. PT |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ / BT Sport (UK) |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Method of Victory | Over/Under 2.5 |
| Ricky Simón | -165 (Favorite) | Simón by Decision +110 | O 2.5 (-250) |
| Raoni Barcelos | +145 (Underdog) | Barcelos by KO/TKO +450 | U 2.5 (+200) |
⚖️ Tale of the Tape
| Ricky Simón | Raoni Barcelos | |
| Record | 22-6-0 | 20-5-0 |
| Age | 33 (🇺🇸 USA) | 38 (🇧🇷 Brazil) |
| Height | 5’6” (168 cm) | 5’7” (170 cm) |
| Reach | 69” (175 cm) | 67” (170 cm) |
| Weight | 135 lbs (61.7 kg) | 135 lbs (61.7 kg) |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Camp | American Top Team Portland | Refit Pro Fighters |
| Strikes Landed / min | 2.93 | 4.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44 % | 52 % |
| Strikes Absorbed / min | 3.72 | 4.40 |
| Takedown Avg / 15 min | 5.01 | 1.26 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 43 % | 33 % |
| Takedown Defense | 75 % | 85 % |
| Submission Attempts / 15 min | 0.3 | 0.6 |
🧩 Fighter Breakdown
🟩 Ricky Simón
A wrestler at heart with improving boxing, Simón thrives in grinding fights. His chain wrestling and cardio allow him to dictate pace, and he averages an elite 5.0 takedowns per 15 minutes. He’s patient but aggressive when securing control positions and punishes opponents with ground strikes. While not a knockout artist, his durability and relentless pace wear opponents down over time.
🟥 Raoni Barcelos
Barcelos remains one of the most technically sound strikers in the division. With crisp combinations, excellent timing, and strong defensive wrestling, he’s dangerous in transitions. His hands are fast, and his 52% striking accuracy reflects years of precision work. At 38, durability and output may become issues, but his recent win over Garbrandt proved he still carries fight-changing power.
📈 Recent Form
| Fighter | Opponent | Result | Method | Round |
| Simón | Cameron Smotherman | Win | Decision (UD) | R3 |
| Javid Basharat | Win | Decision (UD) | R3 | |
| Vinicius Oliveira | Loss | KO | R2 | |
| Barcelos | Cody Garbrandt | Win | Decision (UD) | R3 |
| Payton Talbott | Win | KO (Punches) | R1 | |
| Cristian Quinonez | Win | Decision (UD) | R3 |
📊 Fight Metrics & AI Insights
- AI Win Probability: Simón 58.7% | Barcelos 41.3%
- Control Time Edge: Simón (+2:15 avg. per round)
- Power Edge: Barcelos (+10% damage per landed strike)
- Pace Factor: Simón pushes 20% more total actions per round
- Finish Likelihood: Moderate (41% chance fight ends inside distance)
🎯 Prop Bets & Parlay Ideas
| Bet Type | Pick | Odds |
| Fight Goes Distance | Yes | -225 |
| Simón by Decision | ✅ Pick | +110 |
| Barcelos by KO/TKO | Value Play | +450 |
| Same-Fight Parlay | Simón ML + O2.5 | +150 |
🧠 Fight Analysis
This is a fascinating clash between two experienced technicians. Simón’s path to victory lies in chain wrestling and control — wearing Barcelos down with clinch pressure and takedowns while avoiding prolonged striking exchanges. His cardio and consistency often overwhelm opponents who can’t match his pace.
Barcelos will aim to keep the fight standing, where his precision and counterpunching could frustrate Simón early. If he can maintain range and land clean counters on Simón’s entries, the Brazilian could edge early rounds. But the longer the fight goes, the more likely Simón grinds his way to dominance with volume, mat control, and cage time.
Expect Barcelos to start strong, but Simón’s pace and grappling should take over late.
🔮 Final ClutchBuzz Ricky Simon vs. Raoni Barcelos Prediction
| Pick | Method | Round |
| Ricky Simón | Decision (Unanimous) | — |
💬 Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (High)
🧾 Bonus Play: Fight Goes Distance (-225)
