The welterweight division heats up as #6-ranked Sean Brady faces undefeated Ecuadorian phenom #12 Michael Morales on the main card of UFC 322.
Both fighters enter with top-15 rankings and massive implications for the 170-pound landscape. Brady (18–1) aims to cement himself as a legitimate title contender, while Morales (18–0) looks to extend his perfect record and announce himself as the new face of the division.
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Where To Watch Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales? (November 15, 2025)
| Platform | Details |
| Main Card | ESPN+ PPV |
| Prelims | ESPN / ESPN+ |
| Start Time | 10:00 PM ET (Main Card) |
| Venue | Madison Square Garden, New York |
Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Method of Victory | Over/Under 2.5 Rounds |
| Sean Brady | -145 | Decision +165 | Over 1.55 |
| Michael Morales | +120 | KO/TKO +300 | Under 2.40 |
Implied Win Probability:
- Brady: 59%
- Morales: 45%
Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Sean Brady | Michael Morales |
| Record | 18–1 | 18–0 |
| Age | 32 | 26 |
| Height | 5’10” (178 cm) | 6’0″ (183 cm) |
| Reach | 72.5″ (184 cm) | 79″ (201 cm) |
| Style | Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu | Striker / Wrestler |
| Gym | Renzo Gracie Philly | Entram Gym |
| UFC Rank | #6 | #12 |
Fighter Breakdown
Sean Brady (18–1, 3 KOs, 8 Subs)
The Philadelphia native is one of the most suffocating grapplers in the UFC welterweight division. A black belt under Renzo Gracie, Brady’s ability to chain takedowns and control opponents on the mat is elite.
After his lone loss to Belal Muhammad, Brady bounced back stronger — dominating Leon Edwards with relentless top pressure and securing a slick submission win earlier this year. His cardio and positional control make him a nightmare once he gets on top.
Recent Fights:
- 🟢 Def. Leon Edwards (Submission, R2)
- 🟢 Def. Kelvin Gastelum (UD)
- 🔴 Lost to Belal Muhammad (TKO)
- 🟢 Def. Michael Chiesa (UD)
- 🟢 Def. Jake Matthews (UD)
Strengths:
- World-class grappling and pressure control
- Tight top-game transitions
- Calm and patient inside scrambles
- Solid defensive striking
Weaknesses:
- Low striking output
- Vulnerable in extended stand-up exchanges
Michael Morales (18–0, 11 KOs, 2 Subs)
The undefeated Ecuadorian prodigy continues to impress with explosive striking and composure beyond his years. Training out of Entram Gym in Mexico, Morales blends speed, range, and timing beautifully, mixing crisp boxing with devastating kicks.
His first-round TKO of Gilbert Burns turned heads, and his recent decision win over Neil Magny showed his evolving fight IQ and takedown defense. However, this is the first time he’ll face an elite-level grappler with Brady’s top control and experience.
Recent Fights:
- 🟢 Def. Gilbert Burns (TKO, R1)
- 🟢 Def. Neil Magny (UD)
- 🟢 Def. Max Griffin (UD)
- 🟢 Def. Adam Fugitt (TKO, R2)
- 🟢 Def. Trevin Giles (TKO, R1)
Strengths:
- Fast, accurate striking from range
- Long reach advantage (7 inches)
- Excellent takedown defense and scrambles
- Youth, speed, and durability
Weaknesses:
- Limited experience vs high-level grapplers
- Tends to overextend with combos
- Unproven beyond 3 hard rounds
Keys to Victory
| Fighter | Keys to Victory |
| Sean Brady | Cut off the cage, initiate clinch early, control from top position, chain submissions. |
| Michael Morales | Keep fight at range, defend early takedowns, use jabs and kicks to maintain distance, stay patient. |
Prop Bets & Parlay Picks
| Market | Pick | Odds |
| Fight to Go the Distance | Yes | 1.62 |
| Brady by Decision | ✅ Recommended | +165 |
| Brady by Submission | Value Play | +400 |
| Morales by KO/TKO | Longshot | +300 |
| Same-Fight Parlay | Brady to Win + Over 1.5 Rounds | +120 |
Fight Analysis
This is the classic grappler vs striker matchup — Sean Brady’s world-class BJJ against Michael Morales’ crisp, powerful boxing.
Brady’s game revolves around closing distance safely, dragging opponents to the mat, and dominating positionally. Morales’ takedown defense (78%) will be tested heavily here. If he’s forced to fight off his back foot, his explosiveness becomes less effective.
Expect Brady to pressure forward, change levels, and look for body-lock trips early. Morales’ best chance lies in landing sharp counterpunches before being taken down — especially with his 7-inch reach advantage.
If the fight goes past Round 1, Brady’s relentless grappling and control should take over. Morales’ youth and power keep things dangerous, but Brady’s composure, experience, and ground control make him the safer pick.
Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales Prediction
| Pick | Winner | Method | Round | Odds |
| ✅ Sean Brady | Def. Michael Morales | Unanimous Decision (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) | R3 | -145 |
Summary:
Brady halts Morales’ undefeated streak in a disciplined grappling showcase. Expect control time, ground transitions, and suffocating top pressure that neutralizes Morales’ striking. Morales may survive the distance — but he won’t find space to win rounds.
