The Golden State Warriors will host the Houston Rockets in a pivotal Game 6 with a spot in the next round on the line.
After a series filled with surprising swings and strong play from Houston’s young core, Golden State enters as 5-point favorites.
While the Warriors have championship pedigree and homecourt advantage, the Rockets have defied expectations all season — and aren’t done yet. Can the underdogs from Houston shock the basketball world one more time?
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📺 Where to Watch Warriors vs. Rockets Game 6? (Friday, May 2 2025)
- Series: GSW leads 3-2
- Date: Friday, May 2, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- TV: ESPN, NBCS-BA, SCHN
💰 Warriors vs. Rockets Game 6 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total (O/U) |
| Warriors | -5.0 | -205 | 203.5 |
| Rockets | +5.0 | +170 | 203.5 |
🧠 Series Recap
The Golden State Warriors are on the cusp of moving on to the next round with a 3-2 series lead, but the upstart Rockets have been resilient all season long — upsetting expectations at nearly every turn. Game 5 saw the Warriors storm back from a slow start to seize control, and now with a fired-up Chase Center crowd behind them, they’ll aim to close it out.
But don’t count Houston out just yet — this young, athletic squad has been defying narratives all year. Could they do it one more time and force a Game 7?
📈 Betting Trends
| Stat | Warriors | Rockets |
| Record as Favorite | 35-19 (64.8%) | N/A |
| Record as Underdog | N/A | 11-17 (39.3%) |
| Over Record (O/U) | 42-40 (51.2%) | 46-36 (56.1%) |
| Avg Total Pts in Last 10 Games | 215.4 | 216.3 |
| ATS Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| H2H ATS Last 10 | 6-4 (GSW) | 4-6 (HOU) |
- Warriors are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games
- Rockets have failed to cover in 3 straight
- Total has gone Over in 6 of last 10 Rockets games
- Total has gone Over in 5 of last 10 Warriors games
- Houston and Golden State games this season average 228.1 PPG combined — 24.6 points above tonight’s total
🧮 Key Team Stats
| Category | Warriors (Rank) | Rockets (Rank) |
| PPG | 113.8 (17th) | 114.3 (13th) |
| Opp PPG | 110.5 (8th) | 109.8 (6th) |
| Rebounds | 45.4 (5th) | 48.5 (1st) |
| Assists | 29.1 (4th) | 23.3 (28th) |
| FG % | 45.1% | 45.5% |
🔥 Key Players to Watch
Golden State Warriors
- Stephen Curry: 24.5 PPG, 6.0 APG — Will be the difference-maker late.
- Jimmy Butler: 17.5 PPG, 5.4 RPG — Brings playoff grit and clutch play.
- Draymond Green: 9.0 PPG, 6.1 RPG — Defensive heartbeat.
- Brandin Podziemski: 11.7 PPG — Has been a key X-factor off the bench.
- Buddy Hield: 11.1 PPG — Shooting touch can swing momentum.
Houston Rockets
- Alperen Sengun: 19.1 PPG, 10.3 RPG — Underrated two-way centerpiece.
- Jalen Green: 21.0 PPG — Needs to get hot early.
- Amen Thompson: 14.1 PPG, 8.2 RPG — One of the best athletes on the court.
- Fred VanVleet: 14.1 PPG, 5.6 APG — Veteran leadership from deep.
- Dillon Brooks: 14.0 PPG — Can frustrate Curry with his physical defense.
🩻 Injury Report
| Team | Player | Status |
| Rockets | Jae’Sean Tate | OUT |
| Warriors | Jonathan Kuminga | GTD |
🔢 Warriors vs. Rockets Prop Bets
| Player | Prop | Line | Odds |
| Stephen Curry | Points | Over 24.5 | -115 |
| Stephen Curry | 3-Pointers Made | Over 4.5 | -120 |
| Jalen Green | Points | Over 20.5 | -110 |
| Jalen Green | 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | -105 |
| Alperen Sengun | Rebounds | Over 10.5 | -125 |
| Alperen Sengun | Double-Double | Yes | -140 |
| Draymond Green | Assists | Over 6.5 | +110 |
| Jimmy Butler | Points + Assists + Rebounds | Over 27.5 | -108 |
| Fred VanVleet | Assists | Over 5.5 | -115 |
| Brandin Podziemski | Points | Over 10.5 | +100 |
💰 Same Game Parlay (SGP)
Build your SGP with these legs:
- ✅ Stephen Curry 25+ Points
- ✅ Alperen Sengun 10+ Rebounds
- ✅ Over 203.5 Total Points
🔮 ClutchBuzz Warriors vs. Rockets Game 6 Prediction
The Warriors have a history of delivering in high-pressure home games, and Chase Center is bound to be electric. That said, this Houston team doesn’t seem to care about narratives — they’ve beaten the odds before and could do it again.
Expect fireworks early as the Warriors try to blitz the Rockets with Curry’s shooting and home-court momentum. Houston’s key will be weathering that storm and leaning into their rebounding edge and transition offense.
If Jalen Green or Amen Thompson get going, it could be closer than Vegas thinks.
🧠 ATS Pick: Rockets +5
📊 Over/Under Pick: Over 203.5
📈 Final Score Prediction: Warriors 113 – Rockets 110
