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HomeIowa SportsIowa Women vs. Oklahoma: Betting Prediction, Odds, Picks For NCAA Tournament Second Round
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Iowa SportsNCAAB

Iowa Women vs. Oklahoma: Betting Prediction, Odds, Picks For NCAA Tournament Second Round

Jorge Costa
Mar 22, 2025
5 min read
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Get a full preview of the Iowa women vs. Oklahoma NCAA Tournament matchup, including key players, betting odds, stats and expert predictions. The second-round showdown of the 2025 NCAA Women’s Tournament pits the No. 3 Oklahoma Sooners against the No. 6 Iowa Hawkeyes in Norman, Oklahoma, with a Sweet 16 berth on the line. Both teams impressed in the first round. Oklahoma powered past 14-seed FGCU 81-58, dominating the fourth quarter behind a monster outing from Raegan Beers (25 points, 18 rebounds) and a record 72 team rebounds.

Iowa, meanwhile, lit up the scoreboard in a 91-65 rout of 11-seed Murray State – the Hawkeyes’ highest point total of the season. They hit 12 three-pointers, assisted on 24 of 35 made baskets, and shot 51% from the field. Freshman center Ava Heiden posted a career-high 15 points, and Lucy Olsen tallied a double-double with 12 points and 12 assists in the blowout. First-year head coach Jan Jensen, elevated after the retirement of Lisa Bluder, notched her first NCAA Tournament win in dominant fashion. This sets up a high-stakes, high-tempo battle between one of the Big Ten’s top programs and a Big 12 powerhouse.

Before you check our preview of Iowa vs. Oklahoma make sure to check the best betting promos for March Madness.

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Where To Watch Iowa Women vs Oklahoma?

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Date/Time: Monday, March 25, 2025 – 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK

Games in the women’s NCAA Tournament are broadcast across ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, ESPN3, and ESPNews. You can also stream select matchups through ESPN+. If you don’t have cable, no problem—several live TV streaming services like Hulu + Live TV, DirecTV Stream, FuboTV, and Sling TV offer access to the tournament games.

Key Players to Watch 🔑

Iowa Hawkeyes

  • Lucy Olsen (G) – The senior point guard leads Iowa with 18.0 points and 4.9 assists per game. She controlled the pace against Murray State and dished a career-high 12 assists. Her ability to handle Oklahoma’s pressure and facilitate Iowa’s ball movement will be critical.
  • Hannah Stuelke (F) – Averaging 13 points and 7.9 rebounds, Stuelke provides inside presence and toughness. She had 13 points and 8 rebounds in the first round and will be key in containing Oklahoma’s physical frontcourt.
  • Sydney Affolter (G/F) – Iowa’s top rebounder at 8.1 RPG and a versatile defender. She added 11 points and 7 rebounds vs. Murray State and often takes on the toughest defensive assignment.

Oklahoma Sooners

  • Raegan Beers (C) – The 6’4” sophomore dominated in round one with 25 points and 18 rebounds. She’s the Sooners’ anchor inside, averaging 17.5 points and 8.9 rebounds on 66% shooting.
  • Payton Verhulst (G/F) – A dynamic scorer and passer, Verhulst averages 14.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game. She makes Oklahoma’s offense hum.
  • Skylar Vann (F) – Sparked the team with 24 points off the bench in round one. She provides veteran poise and instant offense from multiple spots on the floor.

Betting Odds 📊

 

  • Spread: Oklahoma -8.5
  • Moneyline: Oklahoma -320 | Iowa +250
  • Total: 159.5 points

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Team Strengths and Weaknesses 📈

Iowa Strengths

  • Ball movement (24 assists in round one)
  • Shooting efficiency (51% FG, 12 threes vs. Murray State)
  • Balanced scoring with 4 players in double figures

Iowa Weaknesses

  • Undersized frontcourt vs. elite rebounders
  • Vulnerability in transition defense
  • Inconsistent three-point defense

Oklahoma Strengths

  • Rebounding dominance (72 rebounds vs. FGCU)
  • Interior scoring with Beers
  • High tempo and offensive depth

Oklahoma Weaknesses

  • High turnover rate (~18.8 per game)
  • Inconsistent three-point shooting
  • Occasional offensive droughts when pressured

Advanced Metrics 🔬

  • Iowa: Offensive Efficiency ~100, Defensive Efficiency ~90, Tempo: Moderate (70–75 possessions/game)
  • Oklahoma: Offensive Efficiency ~93, Defensive Efficiency ~85, Tempo: Fast (80+ possessions/game)

Head-to-Head Comparison Table 📋

Team Points Per Game Opponent PPG Field Goal % Rebounds Per Game Turnovers Per Game Off. Efficiency Def. Efficiency
Iowa 74.3 65.1 46% 38.0 15.3 ~100 ~90
Oklahoma 85.1 68.7 46% 47.5 18.8 ~93 ~85

Final Score Prediction and Best Bets ⚠️

Prediction: Oklahoma 84, Iowa 75
Oklahoma’s rebounding and interior scoring tilt the balance in their favor, especially at home. Iowa will compete and score, but the Sooners’ second-chance points and fast pace will help them pull away late.

BETMGM march madness

Best Bets:

  • Over 159.5 Total Points – Two efficient offenses, fast tempo, and recent scoring bursts make the over appealing.
  • Oklahoma -8.5 Spread – Expect the Sooners to win by 9–12 points.
  • Raegan Beers Double-Double – Beers is dominant in the paint and should hit this mark again against Iowa’s front line.

This matchup promises high-energy action and plenty of fireworks. Both teams are peaking, but Oklahoma’s dominance inside and depth make them the pick to advance. 🏀🔥

Jorge Costa
Mar 22, 2025
5 min
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