Louisiana Lafayette vs. Tulane: Prediction, Preview, Odds & Picks (Nov 11, 2025)

It’s an in-state showdown in Lafayette as the Tulane Green Wave (2–0) travel to face the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (1–1) at the Cajundome.

Tulane has opened the year hot behind elite backcourt play and explosive scoring, while Louisiana is trying to prove its defense can hold up against top-tier guard talent. Both teams are trending upward early — but Tulane’s firepower may simply be too much for the Cajuns to contain.

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📺 Where to Watch Louisiana Lafayette vs. Tulane? (Nov 11, 2025)

💰 Tulane vs Louisiana Odds

📊 Implied probabilities:

• Tulane: ~74% win chance
• Louisiana: ~31% upset chance

Oddsmakers expect a controlled Tulane win — but with a total that hints at a defensive tempo battle.

🌊 Tulane Green Wave (2–0): Balanced Scoring, Sharpshooting Start

Tulane enters this matchup undefeated and dangerous. Head coach Ron Hunter’s group has been a model of efficiency, averaging 82.0 PPG while shooting 51.0% from the field and an absurd 48.7% from three.

The story begins with guard Rowan Brumbaugh, who’s been one of the most impressive early-season scorers in the AAC:

Tulane’s guards dominate possessions with quick reads and spacing, while the supporting cast provides length and athleticism on defense. The Green Wave average 15 assists per game, but it’s their disruptive energy that stands out: 8.5 steals and 7.5 blocks per game.

Team Profile:

• PPG: 82.0
• Opp PPG: 71.5
• FG%: 51.0
• 3PT%: 48.7
• RPG: 28.0
• APG: 15.0
• SPG: 8.5
• BPG: 7.5

Despite their smaller size, Tulane’s length at the guard/wing spots allows them to switch aggressively and force low-percentage looks. Their rebounding numbers aren’t elite, but their pace and shot quality usually offset that.

Keys to Victory for Tulane:
✅ Keep the ball in Brumbaugh’s hands in transition.
✅ Attack Louisiana’s help defense with spacing and kick-outs.
✅ Maintain defensive discipline — Louisiana lives off free throws and hustle plays.

🔴 Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (1–1): Defense-First Approach at Home

Louisiana, meanwhile, has shown toughness through two games but still struggles with offensive consistency.

The Cajuns average 61.0 PPG on 46.6% shooting, while holding opponents to 63.5 PPG. They’ve played physical, patient basketball but need more scoring diversity to compete with Tulane’s backcourt.

Keller and Olvera have been the only reliable scorers, combining for over 50% of the team’s total output. They’re effective off the dribble and can create in isolation, but turnovers and spacing have limited rhythm.

Defensively, the Cajuns contest well and rotate quickly, allowing under 64 PPG through two games. Still, they rank low in assist-to-turnover ratio (10.5 assists vs. 12.0 turnovers per game). Against Tulane’s pressure, that could be decisive.

Team Profile:

• PPG: 61.0
• Opp PPG: 63.5
• FG%: 46.6
• 3PT%: 33.3
• RPG: 30.0
• APG: 10.5

Keys to Victory for Louisiana:
✅ Slow the tempo — force Tulane to play half-court sets.
✅ Win the rebound battle (30+ defensive boards needed).
✅ Limit turnovers to 10 or fewer.
✅ Keep Brumbaugh under 18 points.

⚔️ Key Matchups

1️⃣ Rowan Brumbaugh vs Jamyron Keller

Brumbaugh’s elite decision-making vs Keller’s shot creation makes this a battle of styles. Brumbaugh thrives in rhythm; Keller in improvisation.

Edge: Tulane — Brumbaugh’s efficiency and supporting cast provide stability.

2️⃣ Tulane Perimeter Shooting vs Louisiana Zone Pressure

Tulane is shooting 49% from deep, while Louisiana defends the arc at just 33%. Unless the Cajuns chase aggressively off screens, Tulane’s shooters could feast.

Edge: Tulane — spacing and volume three-point shooting advantage.

3️⃣ Paint Defense & Boards

Louisiana’s bigs are physical but undersized. Tulane’s guards rebound by committee, but if Louisiana can generate second-chance points, they can hang within striking distance.

Edge: Even — depends on Louisiana’s rebounding effort.

📈 Betting Trends

📊 Tulane covered in 77% of games as a favorite of -6 or more last year.
📊 Louisiana is 5–11 ATS in their last 16 home games.

🎯 Prop Angles & Totals Lean

🧠 Game Breakdown

This matchup is a clash of pace and identity. Tulane wants to play fast, shoot often, and space the floor. Louisiana will try to grind possessions, draw fouls, and crash the boards.

The problem? Tulane’s perimeter defense has been elite. The Green Wave switch smoothly, communicate well, and have too many creators offensively. Louisiana’s half-court defense can’t trade threes for twos all night.

If Louisiana can hold Tulane under 45% from the field, this might be close for 30 minutes — but once Tulane’s backcourt finds rhythm, it’s over.

Expect Tulane to open strong, create separation late in the first half, and maintain a 10–15 point cushion most of the second half.

🔮 Louisiana Lafayette vs. Tulane Prediction

Why It Hits:

• Tulane’s shot quality and guard efficiency are too strong.
• Louisiana’s offense can’t sustain multi-possession runs.
• Pace will slow late, keeping the total under.

💰 Best Bet: Tulane -6.5 & Under 136.5 (Parlay +270)