Get the full Billy Ray Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 107.
Billy Ray Goff was already training for UFC Vegas 107 when his original opponent fell through—and now he’s facing a dangerous submission specialist in Ramiz Brahimaj. Despite coming off a decision loss, Goff opens as a massive favorite. But Brahimaj, who recently blitzed Mickey Gall in under a round, is no stranger to pulling off quick finishes.
Is Goff overvalued? Or will his volume and wrestling smother the surging Brahimaj? Let’s break it down.
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 107: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj? (May 31, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 31, 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas |
| 🕗 Time | Main Card ~9:00 PM ET |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Billy Ray Goff | -340 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | +270 |
📉 Line movement suggests slight value creeping toward Brahimaj as bettors question the -340 price tag on Goff.
🧬 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Billy Ray Goff | Ramiz Brahimaj |
| 📊 Record | 9-3-0 | 11-5-0 |
| 📏 Height | 5’10” | 5’10” |
| 📐 Reach | 72″ | 72″ |
| ⚖️ Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| 🥋 Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| 🧠 Age | 26 | 32 |
| ⏱ Avg Fight Time | 7:29 | 8:16 |
📈 Betting Trends & Stats
| Stat | Billy Ray Goff | Ramiz Brahimaj |
| Significant Strikes Landed/Min | 8.56 | 2.26 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 44% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 5.71 | 4.04 |
| Striking Defense | 59% | 43% |
| Takedowns per 15 Min | 2.01 | 1.55 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 17% | 35% |
| Takedown Defense | 85% | 44% |
| Submissions Attempted per 15 Min | 0.7 | 1.5 |
🔍 Insight: Goff is the more active striker with elite volume, but his takedown efficiency is low. Brahimaj can capitalize if he can time a clean entry off Goff’s aggression.
🧍♂️ Key Matchup Breakdown
This fight likely comes down to two variables:
- Can Goff stay upright and overwhelm Brahimaj with volume?
- Or will Brahimaj time a takedown and grab the neck?
If it stays standing, Goff has the edge with his cardio and pace. But Brahimaj is slick and opportunistic—and one mistake can end it.
📊 Prop Bets to Watch
| Bet | Projected Odds |
| ✅ Brahimaj +3.5 Spread | +140 |
| ✅ Fight Ends Inside Distance | -200 |
| ❌ Goff via Decision | +180 |
| ✅ Brahimaj via Submission | +350 |
| 🔄 Under 2.5 Rounds | -150 |
📌 Prop Insight: Brahimaj’s best chance is an early submission. If it gets into the later rounds, Goff’s volume and defense could take over.
🔥 Same Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz Special)
| Leg | Pick |
| ✅ Brahimaj +3.5 Spread | +140 |
| ✅ Under 2.5 Rounds | -150 |
| ✅ Fight Ends Inside Distance | -200 |
🧮 Projected Parlay Odds: +320
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Billy Ray Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj Prediction
🎯 Prediction: Billy Ray Goff by TKO (Round 2)
Expect a wild opening few minutes. Brahimaj has that kill-or-be-killed style and is always dangerous in early grappling exchanges. But Goff has youth, output, and better overall physicality. If he survives the first 3 minutes, the fight tips heavily in his favor.
💸 Best Bet: Ramiz Brahimaj +3.5 (+140)
💥 Finish Bet: Goff via TKO/KO (+120)
⚠️ Upset Watch: Brahimaj Round 1 Sub (+800)
