Get the full Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 107.
Two light heavyweight strikers collide in a pivotal test of experience vs. potential. Dustin “The Hanyak” Jacoby (20-9-1) welcomes rising Brazilian prospect Bruno “Brunao” Lopes (14-1) to the deeper waters of UFC competition this Saturday at UFC Vegas 107.
Jacoby, a former GLORY kickboxer and perennial gatekeeper, is coming off a TKO win over Vitor Petrino. Lopes, meanwhile, earned his first UFC win by unanimous decision over Magomed Gadzhiyasulov. Both men are dangerous, but only one is ready to climb the rankings.
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 107: Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes? (May 31, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 31, 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas |
| 🕗 Time | Main Card ~9:00 PM ET |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Dustin Jacoby | -185 |
| Bruno Lopes | +154 |
👀 A close line for a striker-vs-striker matchup, but the edge goes to the seasoned veteran.
🧬 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Dustin Jacoby | Bruno Lopes |
| 📊 Record | 20-9-1 | 14-1-0 |
| 🧍♂️ Height | 6’3″ | 6’2″ |
| 📏 Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| ⚖️ Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| 🎯 SLpM | 5.33 | 2.89 |
| 🔥 Striking Accuracy | 47% | 43% |
| 🛡️ Strikes Absorbed/Min | 4.05 | 3.00 |
| 🛡️ Strike Defense | 57% | 60% |
| 🤼♂️ TD Avg/15 Min | 0.33 | 0.60 (est) |
| 📉 TD Accuracy | 25% | 33% |
| 🛑 TD Defense | 62% | 85% |
| 🔒 Sub Attempts/15 Min | 0.9 | 0.4 |
🧠 Fight Breakdown: Experience vs. Momentum
- Jacoby is the classic gatekeeper: battle-tested, composed, and technical. He’s 2-3 in his last five but remains durable and dangerous.
- Lopes has the tools but is unproven at this level. His striking is solid, and he has shown some takedown success — but not against Jacoby-level competition.
- Jacoby’s volume (5.33 SLpM) and low kick game should let him chip away over three rounds, even if he has to survive a takedown or power punch early.
⚖️ The difference here? Fight IQ and composure. Jacoby has seen it all, while Lopes may still be learning what it takes at the UFC level.
🚑 Injury Report
| Fighter | Status | Notes |
| Dustin Jacoby | ✅ Active | Coming off KO win vs Petrino |
| Bruno Lopes | ✅ Active | Won UFC debut by decision |
🔍 X-Factor: Octagon Experience
Jacoby has nearly 3x the total Octagon time as Lopes and fought much tougher competition (Rountree, Alonzo Menifield, Petrino, etc.).
Unless Lopes brings unexpected pressure or dominates with takedowns, expect Jacoby to control the tempo and win minutes.
💣 Prop Bets to Watch
| Bet | Odds (Est.) |
| ✅ Over 2.5 Rounds | -120 |
| ✅ Jacoby by Decision | +150 |
| 💥 Jacoby via KO/TKO | +250 |
| ⚠️ Lopes via Submission | +650 |
| ❓ Fight Goes the Distance | -105 |
📌 If you like Jacoby, decision odds are playable — KO is possible, but Lopes has only been stopped once.
💰 ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| ✅ Over 1.5 Rounds | -250 |
| ✅ Jacoby ML | -185 |
| ✅ Fight Goes Distance | -105 |
🔥 Projected Parlay Payout: +290
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes Prediction
🎯 Prediction: Dustin Jacoby via Unanimous Decision
Jacoby is the kind of opponent you give rising contenders to test their ceiling. He passed that test himself years ago — Lopes is just stepping up to take it.
Unless Lopes lands big early or sneaks in takedowns repeatedly, this is Jacoby’s fight to lose. Expect leg kicks, jabs, and a few late power flurries to give him the scorecard nod.
💸 Best Bet: Jacoby ML -185
📈 Value Bet: Jacoby via Decision +150
