Get the full Stephens vs. Jones prediction, betting picks, prop bets, and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Des Moines here. UFC returns to Iowa for the first time in over two decades, and no fighter embodies the spirit of Des Moines more than hometown brawler Jeremy “Lil Heathen” Stephens.
A veteran of 34 UFC bouts, Stephens will fight in front of a raucous home crowd against returning lightweight prospect Mason Jones, a hungry Welshman riding a four-fight winning streak in Cage Warriors. It’s a true clash of generations: experience vs. momentum.
Stephens, now 38, is known for his aggressive striking and brutal knockouts, though his UFC record hasn’t shown it in recent years. After a stint in BKFC, he’s back for a one-fight deal, determined to create one last iconic moment in the Octagon. Jones, meanwhile, is eager to show he’s grown since his first UFC run, and sees Stephens as a stepping stone toward the top of the lightweight division.
Expect violence. These two come forward, throw heat, and don’t back down. With knockout potential on both sides and pride on the line, this bout could easily steal the show at UFC Des Moines.
Are you not sure how to bet on UFC? Check out this guide from ClutchBuzz on how to bet on UFC.
🥊UFC Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones? (May 3, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| Event | UFC Des Moines |
| Fight | Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones |
| Date | Saturday, May 3, 2025 |
| Time | Main Card, exact time TBA |
| Location | Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA |
| Broadcast | ESPN / ESPN+ |
💸 Fight Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Implied Win % |
| Jeremy Stephens | +425 | 19% |
| Mason Jones | -575 | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Rounds | -205 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Jeremy Stephens | Mason Jones |
| Record | 28-19 | 15-2 |
| Age | 38 | 30 |
| Height | 5’9″ | 5’10” |
| Reach | 71″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.17 | 5.61 |
| Striking Accuracy | 40% | 44% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.05 | 4.94 |
| Striking Defense | 58% | 46% |
| Takedowns per 15 Minutes | 1.16 | 3.16 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 38% | 45% |
| Takedown Defense | 65% | 80% |
📉 Recent Form & X-Factors
- Stephens is fighting in the UFC for the first time since 2021. Although he’s on a UFC losing skid, he’s 3-0 in BKFC and has momentum in his favor. This is a one-fight return in his home state—expect emotion, pressure, and heavy swings.
- Jones returns after a dominant Cage Warriors run. He’s younger, sharper, and more technically sound. If he avoids the early storm, his volume and grappling should take over.
🧠 Prop Bets
| Bet Type | Odds |
| Jones to win by KO/TKO | +110 |
| Jones to win by decision | +240 |
| Stephens to win by KO | +500 |
| Fight to go the distance | +175 |
| Over 1.5 rounds | -205 |
🎯 Same Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz Pick)
| Leg | Outcome |
| Mason Jones ML | ✅ |
| Over 1.5 Rounds | ✅ |
| Jones 60+ Significant Strikes | ✅ |
| Total Odds | +185 |
🔚 Final Stephens vs. Jones Prediction
This is a classic crossroads fight. Stephens will have the crowd behind him and a chip on his shoulder, but Jones is just too sharp at this stage. Expect some fireworks in the first round, but once Jones gets into rhythm, the volume, pace, and body shots will begin to overwhelm. Unless Stephens lands a thunderous right hand early, this is Jones’ fight to lose.
✅ Pick: Mason Jones via 2nd-Round TKO
🔥 Confidence Level: 8/10
💰 Best Bet: Over 1.5 Rounds (-205)
⭐ Parlay Booster: Jones ML + Over 1.5 (+185)
