Check Juliana Miller vs. Ivana Petrovic prediction for UFC Des Moines. Two women’s flyweight contenders at a crossroads will collide at UFC Des Moines, as “TUF 30” winner Juliana Miller looks to rebound from a tough skid against gritty European prospect Ivana Petrovic.
Set for Saturday, May 3, inside Wells Fargo Arena in Iowa, this matchup serves as a pivotal bout for both women’s UFC futures. Miller enters as a moderate underdog at +190, while Petrovic is favored at -230, with odds reflecting their recent performances and statistical trends.
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📺 Where to Watch Juliana Miller vs. Ivana Petrovic? (May 3, 2025)
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Event: UFC Des Moines (UFC on ESPN 67)
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Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
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Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA
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Broadcast: ESPN / ESPN+
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Start Time (Main Card): 10:00 p.m. ET (Prelims: 7:00 p.m. ET)
🔢 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Implied Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | +190 | 34.5% |
| Ivana Petrovic | -230 | 69.7% |
| Over/Under Rounds | 2.5 (-160 Over) | – |
🧠 Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Juliana “Killer” Miller | Ivana Petrovic |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3-0 | 7-2-0 |
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Height | 5’7″ | 5’8″ |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| UFC Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 10:53 | 13:50 |
| Strikes Landed/min | 3.31 | 2.00 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 39% |
| Strikes Absorbed/min | 4.75 | 2.27 |
| Takedowns/15 min | 1.84 | 1.00 |
| TD Accuracy | 44% | 43% |
| TD Defense | 15% | 55% |
| Submission Attempts | 1.8 per 15 min | 1.1 per 15 min |
🔍 Fighter Breakdown
🟪 Juliana “Killer” Miller (4-3-0)
After capturing attention with her aggressive grappling style and “TUF 30” win, Juliana Miller’s UFC career has stalled. She enters UFC Des Moines on a two-fight skid, including a first-round TKO loss to Luana Santos in 2023. The long layoff may help her recover mentally and physically, but questions remain about her striking defense and composure under fire.
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Strengths: Active grappler, slick transitions, dangerous off her back
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Weaknesses: Poor striking defense (4.75 strikes absorbed/min), 15% takedown defense
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Path to Victory: Close distance, initiate scrambles, force ground exchanges where she can attack subs
🟨 Ivana Petrovic (7-2-0)
Petrovic, a former ARES FC champion, has had a rollercoaster UFC tenure thus far. She showed resilience in a tight split-decision loss to Jamy-Lyn Horth but hasn’t fully found her rhythm inside the Octagon. Statistically, she’s better defensively and more methodical in her approach.
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Strengths: Long frame, strong in clinch, measured output
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Weaknesses: Low striking volume, slow starter
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Path to Victory: Maintain range with kicks and counters, defend takedowns, win minutes on control and damage
📊 Recent Fight Stats
📉 Juliana Miller – Last Fight vs. Luana Santos
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Result: Loss (TKO, Round 1)
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Strikes Landed: 25 of 77 (32% significant)
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Strikes Absorbed: 64 total, including 63 significant (84% at distance)
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Sub Attempts: 0
📉 Ivana Petrovic – Last Fight vs. Jamy-Lyn Horth
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Result: Loss (Split Decision)
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Strikes Landed: 25 of 75 significant (33%)
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Strikes Absorbed: 29 significant (41% head shots)
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Takedowns: 1 successful, 2 attempts
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Control Time: 2:08
🏥 Injury & Activity Outlook
| Fighter | Status | Last Bout | Time Since Last Fight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | Fully recovered (long layoff) | Aug. 2023 vs. Santos | 9 months |
| Ivana Petrovic | Active | Feb. 2025 vs. Horth | 3 months |
💸 Best Prop Bets
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Fight to Go the Distance: Yes (-125) – Petrovic is a decision machine; Miller is durable unless overwhelmed early
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Petrovic by Decision: +110 – Her most likely path to victory
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Miller by Submission: +450 – The best value if you believe in the underdog’s grappling
🔀 Parlay Suggestion (UFC Des Moines)
- ✅ Ivana Petrovic ML (-230)
- ✅ Mason Jones ML
- ✅ Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo – Over 2.5 Rounds💰 Parlay Odds: +285
🧠 ClutchBuzz Final Juliana Miller vs. Ivana Petrovic Prediction
Ivana Petrovic’s cleaner striking, longer reach, and superior takedown defense should help her outpoint Miller in a competitive but clear win. Unless Miller can overwhelm with grappling pressure early, Petrovic will be able to dictate the pace and keep the fight standing. Expect a chess match more than a brawl.
Prediction: Ivana Petrovic def. Juliana Miller via Unanimous Decision
