Get the full Michael Aswell vs. Bolaji Oki prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 107.
The UFC Vegas 107 prelims just got a shake-up. After MarQuel Mederos pulled out, promotional newcomer Michael Aswell steps in on short notice to face Bolaji Oki, a promising lightweight prospect looking to bounce back after a setback.
📍 Oki (9-2) suffered his first UFC loss in September 2024 via guillotine choke against Chris Duncan. Before that, he edged out Timmy Cuamba in a razor-close split decision.
📍 Aswell (7-2) makes his UFC debut after a split-decision loss on Dana White’s Contender Series. He’s since picked up a win at Fury FC but is moving up a weight class for this matchup.
Can the late-notice underdog make a splash, or is this a redemption spot for Oki?
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 107: Michael Aswell vs. Bolaji Oki ? (May 31, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 31, 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas |
| 🕗 Time | Prelims ~6:00 PM ET |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Bolaji Oki | -360 |
| Michael Aswell | +285 |
🚨 Oki is a big favorite — and for good reason. This is a tough ask for Aswell on short notice, up a weight class.
🧬 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Bolaji Oki | Michael Aswell |
| 📊 Record | 9-2 | 7-2 |
| 🧍♂️ Height | 5’11” | 5’9″ (est.) |
| 📏 Reach | 74″ | 70″ (est.) |
| ⚖️ Weight | Lightweight (155 lbs) | Featherweight → LW |
| 🥋 Style | Striker | Balanced (Wrestle-Boxer) |
| ⚔️ UFC Experience | 2 fights | UFC debut |
📈 Betting Trends & Insights
- Oki was the favorite in both UFC appearances, finishing one and losing the other via submission.
- Aswell is 0-1 in DWCS but went the distance in both regional losses. He’s never been finished.
- Oki has shown knockout power and size advantage at lightweight.
- Aswell was already in camp for a Fury FC fight on June 22 — fitness should not be an issue.
🧠 X-Factor: Aswell is giving up size and Octagon experience. While he’s gritty and active, this is a steep climb in his UFC debut.
🚑 Injury Report
| Fighter | Status | Notes |
| Bolaji Oki | ✅ Active | Returning after Sept. 2024 loss |
| Michael Aswell | ✅ Active | Short-notice call-up |
🔍 Matchup Breakdown
This is a size and level mismatch:
- Oki is a big lightweight with better striking, longer reach, and more UFC polish. He has explosive power and knows how to pressure.
- Aswell is a gritty featherweight, bumping up to 155 lbs. He’s durable, has good movement, and scrambles well — but he’s not a power puncher or heavy wrestler.
- Don’t expect a walkover, but Oki has all the tools to overwhelm a smaller opponent who is not accustomed to this level of competition.
💣 Prop Bets to Watch
| Bet | Projected Odds |
| ✅ Fight Doesn’t Go Distance | -180 |
| ✅ Oki via KO/TKO | +120 |
| 🔁 Oki via Decision | +240 |
| ⚠️ Aswell via Submission | +750 |
| ❓ Over 1.5 Rounds | -140 |
🎯 Prop note: Aswell is tough and could survive for a round or two. Decision is in play — but KO is more likely if Oki unloads early.
💰 ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| ✅ Oki ML | -360 |
| ✅ Fight Doesn’t Go Distance | -180 |
| ✅ Over 1.5 Rounds | -140 |
🔥 Projected Parlay Payout: +210
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Prediction
🎯 Prediction: Bolaji Oki via 2nd Round TKO
This is a solid rebound opportunity for Oki. He’s got the physicality, aggression, and power to handle Aswell, especially with the latter moving up a division and facing a major step up in competition.
💸 Best Bet: Oki moneyline (-360)
⚡ Value Pick: Oki via KO/TKO (+120)
