Get the full Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 315. The light heavyweight division delivers another all-action matchup at UFC 315 as Modestas “The Baltic Gladiator” Bukauskas takes on Ion “The Hulk” Cutelaba in what promises to be an all-out war in Montreal. 🇨🇦
Both fighters are surging into this bout with recent wins, but only one will keep that momentum alive. Bukauskas has rebuilt himself since returning to the UFC — smarter, more technical, and riding a pair of violent finishes. Cutelaba, on the other hand, has rediscovered his groove with two straight victories of his own, including a first-round submission in his last outing.
It’s a high-stakes battle between a cerebral striker and a chaotic pressure-wrestler — and fans can expect fireworks the moment the cage door slams shut. Let’s dive into the tale of the tape, stats, odds, and our ClutchBuzz prediction for this 🔥 205-pound clash at UFC 315!
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📺 Where to Watch Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba? (May 10, 2025)
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 10, 2025 |
| 🕓 Time | Approx. 7:00 PM ET (Prelims) |
| 📍 Location | Bell Centre – Montreal, Quebec 🇨🇦 |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | O/U Rounds | Method of Victory (Top Props) |
| Modestas Bukauskas | -108 | O 1.5: -154 / U 1.5: +120 | KO/TKO: +220 |
| Ion Cutelaba | -112 | KO/TKO: +175 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Bukauskas | Cutelaba |
| Record | 17-6-0 | 19-10-1 (1 NC) |
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Height | 6’3” | 6’1” |
| Reach | 78” | 75” |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Strikes Landed / Min | 3.32 | 4.30 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 43% |
| Strikes Absorbed / Min | 4.11 | 3.38 |
| Striking Defense | 50% | 46% |
| Takedown Avg / 15 Min | 0.37 (66%) | 3.67 (52%) |
| Takedown Defense | 71% | 75% |
🧨 Why Modestas Bukauskas Will Win
- ✅ Longer reach & improved striking defense
- ✅ Rebuilt confidence since Cage Warriors return
- ✅ Excellent takedown defense (71%)
- ✅ High fight IQ — picks his shots, doesn’t brawl
Bukauskas has looked sharper than ever after returning to the UFC with back-to-back finishes and a focus on controlling the tempo. He’s hard to take down, harder to hold down, and when he opens up his strikes, they’re clean and technical.
If he can avoid the early takedown attempts and keep Cutelaba at range, Modestas can piece him up with jabs, leg kicks, and mid-range combinations. He’s the more composed fighter and could win this by out-pointing “The Hulk” over three rounds. 🧠
💣 Why Ion Cutelaba Will Win
- ✅ Explosive wrestling & ground-and-pound
- ✅ Higher striking output with pressure style
- ✅ Veteran presence with 30 UFC rounds under his belt
- ✅ Riding momentum off a clean submission win
Cutelaba thrives in chaos — especially in Round 1. If he gets inside early, he’ll try to drag Bukauskas down and work from top position where he can punish opponents with elbows and hammerfists. His striking may be wild, but it’s powerful and comes with bad intentions 💢.
Cutelaba needs to make this ugly. If he pushes the pace and forces clinches, it’s his kind of fight. One takedown could be all it takes for “The Hulk” to smash his way to another finish.
📈 Fighter Prop Bets
| Fighter | Total Strikes O/U | Win by KO/TKO | Win by Decision |
| Modestas Bukauskas | 59.5 | +220 | +250 |
| Ion Cutelaba | 62.5 | +175 | +240 |
⚡ ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay (SGP)
| 🧩 Bet Selection | Odds |
| ✅ Bukauskas ML | -108 |
| ✅ Fight Goes Distance: Yes | +140 |
| ✅ Bukauskas 50+ Significant Strikes | -110 |
| Parlay Payout | +675 |
🎯 Final ClutchBuzz Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba Prediction
It’s a true toss-up stylistically: grappler vs. striker, chaos vs. control. If Cutelaba lands takedowns early, he might steal a round or two — or even find a finish. But Bukauskas has learned to survive, defend, and outwork guys like this.
With better cardio, reach, and momentum, the lean is toward Bukauskas to keep it upright and grind out a decision — or pull away late if Cutelaba slows down. 💪
🔮 Final Pick: Modestas Bukauskas (-108)
📈 Prop Pick: Bukauskas by Decision (+250)
🔥 Bonus Value: Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+140)
