Check here the full Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan prediction. The UFC 315 prelims kick off with a light heavyweight collision between a fast-rising Kiwi prospect and a gritty Croatian veteran. Navajo Stirling (6-0) returns for his second UFC appearance, riding the wave of hype from City Kickboxing. Standing 6’4” with an 79″ reach, Stirling brings serious knockout power, a polished kickboxing base, and elite-level training partners to the Octagon.
His opponent? Ivan Erslan (14-4, 1 NC), who impressed in his UFC debut despite dropping a split decision to Ion Cutelaba. The former KSW standout brings big-fight experience, sharp boxing, and underrated toughness. He’s a big underdog here, but Erslan’s veteran savvy and durability make him a legitimate threat.
Can Stirling keep his unbeaten streak alive and notch another highlight-reel finish? Or will Erslan play spoiler and prove he belongs in the UFC light heavyweight mix? Let’s break it down 👇
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📺 Where to Watch Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan? (May 10, 2025)
| Platform | Details |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 10, 2025 |
| 🕖 Time | Prelims, estimated 6:30 PM ET |
| 📍 Location | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| 📺 TV / Stream | ESPN+, UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Round Total | Method Odds |
| Navajo Stirling | -310 | Over 1.5 (-195) | Wins by KO: +120 |
| Ivan Erslan | +250 | Under 1.5 (+150) | Wins by KO: +600 |
📊 Fighter Stats – Tale Of The Tape
| Stat | Navajo Stirling | Ivan Erslan |
| Record | 6-0-0 | 14-4-0 (1 NC) |
| Height | 6’4″ | 6’2″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 72″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.82 | 2.60 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 56% |
| Strikes Absorbed / Min | 2.55 | 3.00 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 15% | 50% |
| Takedown Defense | 72% | 75% |
🧠 Key Matchup Breakdown
🟦 Why Navajo Stirling Will Win
- 🔥 Elite Kickboxing background honed at City Kickboxing alongside Israel Adesanya.
- 💪 Outstanding frame for 205 lbs (6’4″, 79″ reach) – big advantage in range.
- 💣 Power in both hands, already has 4 KO wins in just 6 pro fights.
- 📈 Continues to evolve technically – showed improved composure and control in debut win.
🟥 Why Ivan Erslan Will Win
- 🧠 High fight IQ and defensive discipline – absorbs only 3.00 strikes per minute.
- 🦾 Veteran experience – 18 pro fights, including KSW title-level bouts.
- 💥 10 career knockouts – sneaky power and solid body work.
- 💪 Survived a war with Ion Cutelaba and nearly pulled off the upset.
🔮 Fighter Props
| Fighter | Significant Strikes O/U | Takedowns O/U | Win by KO | Win by Decision |
| Stirling | 65.5 | 0.5 | +120 | +200 |
| Erslan | 40.5 | 1.5 | +600 | +350 |
🎯 ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay (SGP)
| Leg | Odds |
| ✅ Stirling to Win | -310 |
| ✅ Over 1.5 Rounds | -195 |
| ✅ Stirling 50+ Strikes | -120 |
| ✅ Erslan 0 Takedowns | +180 |
| Total Parlay Odds | +475 |
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction
Navajo Stirling is an ascending prospect with championship-caliber potential. His length, speed, and striking IQ should give Erslan fits from the outside. While Erslan is no pushover and has proven durable, he’s likely to get picked apart at range unless he turns it into a dirty brawl.
Look for Stirling to manage distance with the jab, batter the body with kicks, and potentially score a second-round TKO after wearing Erslan down. Expect Stirling to remain unbeaten and continue his rise up the light heavyweight ladder.
🧠 Final Pick: Navajo Stirling (-310)
⏱ Bonus Pick: Over 1.5 Rounds (-195)
🎯 Prop Lean: Stirling by TKO (+120)
