Check Saturday’s Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev prediction here. Two rising middleweights will clash at UFC Des Moines on Saturday, May 3, 2025, as Ryan “Man of Steel” Loder takes on Azamat “Iron” Bekoev in what promises to be a defining moment in each fighter’s UFC trajectory.
With both men coming off emphatic wins in their promotional debuts, this matchup is a pivotal test in the 185-pound division.
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📺 Where to Watch Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev? (May 3, 2025)
- Event: UFC on ESPN 67
- Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
- Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa
- TV & Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
📈 Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds |
| Azamat Bekoev (ML) | -380 |
| Ryan Loder (ML) | +300 |
| Fight Goes Distance | +175 |
| Under 2.5 Rounds | -116 |
| Bekoev by KO/TKO | +150 |
| Loder by Decision | +500 |
🧠 Fighter Tale of the Tape
| Fighter | Ryan Loder | Azamat Bekoev |
| Nickname | “Man of Steel” | “Iron” |
| Record | 8-1-0 | 19-3-0 |
| Age | 33 | 29 |
| Height | 6’2″ | 6’0″ |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 76″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 6.16 | 6.85 |
| Striking Accuracy | 80% | 80% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 0.15 | 4.24 |
| Takedowns/15 Min | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Submission Avg | 2.2 | 0.7 |
🔍 Fighter Breakdown
🔨 Azamat Bekoev – “Iron”
Bekoev enters this fight riding a wave of momentum. His first-round knockout of Zach Reese at UFC 311 sent a statement to the middleweight division. The former LFA champ is versatile—capable of finishing fights on the feet or the mat. With 15 of his 19 wins coming via finish (7 KOs, 8 subs), he’s as dangerous as they come.
Bekoev’s ability to pressure and strike with volume (6.85 SLpM, 80% accuracy) is matched by solid grappling and submission instincts. If he can keep the fight standing, he holds the clear edge.
🛡 Ryan Loder – “Man of Steel”
A standout wrestler and “TUF 32” winner, Loder brings grit, control, and cardio. His win over Robert Valentin was dominant—63 total strikes and a finish via elbows in Round 2. His defensive stats (0.15 SApM) indicate his excellent ability to neutralize opponents before they get going.
Loder will need to use his 2.20 takedowns per 15 minutes to impose his will. If he can close the distance, avoid Bekoev’s power, and grind out control time, he has a path to victory.
🔑 Keys to Victory
Bekoev
- Pressure early with power shots
- Defend takedowns (currently just 15% TDD—needs improvement)
- Look for the kill shot or lock in a sub if Loder gets desperate
Loder
- Wrestle, wrestle, wrestle — control the pace and position
- Avoid striking exchanges and keep Bekoev on the back foot
- Use ground-and-pound to sway rounds or earn a late finish
💰 Prop Bets & Best Value
- Under 2.5 Rounds (-116): With both men boasting high finish rates, this prop has excellent value.
- Bekoev by KO/TKO (+150): Bekoev’s power is legit, and Loder hasn’t faced a striker of his caliber.
- Fight to NOT go the distance (-230): Reasonable parlay booster.
- Loder by Submission (+1100): Pure value play if he surprises with positional dominance.
🔄 Same Game Parlay
- Bekoev ML
- Under 2.5 Rounds
- Fight Ends by KO/TKO
✅ Boosted Odds: +220 (Est.)
💡 Why it works: If Bekoev wins, it’s likely early and violent.
🧠 Final Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev Prediction
Ryan Loder has legitimate wrestling and toughness, but this feels like Bekoev’s fight to lose. He’s faster, more explosive, and simply more dangerous everywhere aside from pure wrestling. Unless Loder can drag him into deep waters and stall him out with top control, the most likely outcome is another first- or second-round finish for Bekoev.
🥊 Prediction: Azamat Bekoev wins via TKO (Round 2)
🔥 Best Bet: Bekoev by KO/TKO (+150)
💣 Longshot: Loder by Submission (+1100)
