Get the full Sumudaerji vs. Kevin Borjas prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Shanghai.
The flyweight division brings fireworks at UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang, as China’s Sumudaerji (17-7) meets Peru’s Kevin Borjas (10-3) in a stylistic clash between speed and power. Both fighters are pure strikers, which sets the stage for a fan-friendly battle where defense and chin durability could decide the outcome.
Sumudaerji, “The Tibetan Eagle,” is a sharp, lightning-fast kickboxer. He lands at 51% accuracy and absorbs just 2.63 strikes per minute — showcasing his clean movement and in-and-out style. But wrestling remains his Achilles’ heel. Fortunately for him, Borjas prefers to keep fights standing, which should create a pure striking duel.
Borjas, meanwhile, is a forward-pressure striker who throws crisp combinations and mixes in heavy leg kicks. While his takedown defense sits at 65%, he rarely uses grappling offensively, preferring to bang it out on the feet. Coming off a win over Ronoldo Rodriguez, Borjas showed he can land heavy shots over three rounds — and against Sumudaerji’s speed, he’ll be looking to test his chin.
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Shanghai: Sumudaerji vs. Kevin Borjas? (Aug 23, 2025)
| Event | UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang |
| Date | Saturday, Aug. 23, 2025 |
| Venue | Shanghai Indoor Stadium, China |
| Card | Preliminary Card – 7:00 AM UTC |
| Broadcast | ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds | Record | Last 5 |
| Sumudaerji | -162 (Favorite) | 17-7 | 2-3 |
| Kevin Borjas | +136 (Underdog) | 10-3 | 3-2 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Sumudaerji | Kevin Borjas | |
| Height | 5’8” | 5’5” |
| Reach | 72” | 68” |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Age | 29 | 27 |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 44% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 2.63 | 5.99 |
| Defense | 58% | 51% |
| Takedown Avg | 0.18 | 0.00 |
| Takedown Defense | 67% | 65% |
🔎 Fighter Breakdown
Sumudaerji – “The Tibetan Eagle”
- Strengths:
- Extremely fast hands and feet.
- Sharp 51% striking accuracy.
- Moves in and out well, making him difficult to hit clean.
- Rarely absorbs heavy damage (only 2.63 strikes absorbed/min).
- Weaknesses:
- Struggles against strong grapplers (takedowns repeatedly cost him rounds).
- Questionable chin — has been hurt in multiple UFC fights.
- Relies heavily on striking; if pressured, tends to fade.
- Recent Form: Split decision win over Mitch Raposo saved him from a potential 3-fight skid. Still searching for momentum in the UFC.
Kevin Borjas – “El Peruviano”
- Strengths:
- Throws fluid combinations, mixing straights and low kicks.
- Heavy hands with real KO potential at flyweight.
- Applies forward pressure and doesn’t allow opponents to breathe.
- Willing to engage in brawls, giving him upset potential.
- Weaknesses:
- Mid-level takedown defense (65%). If forced to grapple, could be outworked.
- Absorbs nearly 6 strikes per minute, leaving openings for sharp counter-strikers.
- Limited ground control; often lets opponents stand back up.
- Recent Form: Unanimous decision win over Ronaldo Rodriguez, where he landed big shots consistently.
📈 Betting Trends
- Sumudaerji: 4 of last 6 fights have gone the distance.
- Borjas: 2 of last 3 wins by finish.
- Both Fighters: Have been dropped in recent fights → chin durability is a factor.
🔥 Prop Bets to Target
| Prop Bet | Odds (Est.) | Why It Makes Sense |
| Fight Goes the Distance | -135 | Both are strikers, but not elite finishers; decision likely. |
| Sumudaerji by Decision | +160 | His volume & accuracy can edge rounds. |
| Borjas by KO/TKO | +300 | Borjas carries heavier hands & forward pressure. |
| Over 2.5 Rounds | -140 | Flyweights often see decisions unless someone gets clipped. |
| Borjas ML (+136) | Best Value | Live dog in a striker vs striker matchup. |
📊 $1,000 Bet Payouts
- $1,000 on Sumudaerji (-162) → $1,617 total ($617 profit)
- $1,000 on Borjas (+136) → $2,360 total ($1,360 profit)
- $1,000 on Borjas by KO (+300) → $4,000 total ($3,000 profit)
🎯 Same-Fight Parlay (ClutchBuzz Special)
| Parlay Legs | Odds (Est.) |
| Borjas ML (+136) + Over 1.5 Rounds (-210) | +280 |
| Sumudaerji by Decision (+160) + Fight Goes the Distance (-135) | +320 |
This balances risk: one parlay favors Borjas’ power and durability, the other favors Sumudaerji’s speed and accuracy.
🧾 ClutchBuzz Prediction
This is a striker vs striker battle with little threat of grappling. Sumudaerji has the speed and accuracy, but Borjas has the power and durability to push him into uncomfortable spots. If this goes to the judges, Sumudaerji likely takes it. But if exchanges get wild, Borjas’ KO upside is undeniable.
🔮 Official Prediction: Kevin Borjas via KO (Round 2-3)
💰 Best Bet: Borjas ML (+136)
🎯 Prop Bet: Borjas by KO (+300)
📈 Same-Fight Parlay: Borjas ML + Over 1.5 Rounds (+280)
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