Get the full Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC Vegas 107.
Get ready for a classic striker-vs-wrestler showdown at UFC Vegas 107, as veteran Trevin Giles steps in on short notice to face Swedish prospect Andreas “Bane” Gustafsson in a 180 lb catchweight bout. Giles may be on a three-fight skid, but don’t count him out just yet—especially with his battle-tested UFC resume.
Meanwhile, Gustafsson is looking to follow up his Contender Series knockout win and make a statement in his official UFC debut. Can he overpower Giles with grappling, or will the experienced Texan expose his lack of Octagon seasoning?
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📺 Where to Watch UFC Vegas 107: Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson? (May 31, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| 📅 Date | Saturday, May 31, 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue | UFC Apex, Las Vegas |
| 🕗 Time | Main Card ~9:00 PM ET |
| 📺 Broadcast | ESPN+ |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
| Trevin Giles | +145 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | -175 |
Gustafsson opens as the favorite, but late line movement shows rising support for Giles.
🧬 Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Trevin Giles | Andreas Gustafsson |
| 📊 Record | 16-7-0 | 11-2-0 |
| 📏 Height | 6’0″ | 6’1″ |
| 📐 Reach | 74″ | 73″ |
| ⚖️ Weight (Catchweight) | 180 lbs | 180 lbs |
| 🥋 Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| 🧠 Age | 32 | 34 |
| ⏱ Avg Fight Time | 10:59 | 8:20 |
📈 Betting Trends & Insights
- Giles has fought and lost to elite-level opponents: Du Plessis, Bonfim, Morales, Prates.
- Despite being 7-7 in the UFC, Giles maintains a positive strike differential (+0.78 SLpM).
- Gustafsson had a flashy finish on DWCS, but that’s his only recent high-level competition.
- Giles has a 58% striking defense, very solid for someone who’s faced top-tier strikers.
🔍 Insight: While Gustafsson is the fresher face, Giles has quietly been competitive in wars with UFC killers. This is a big step up for Gustafsson—don’t be surprised if experience wins.
🧍♂️ Key Matchup Breakdown
- Striking Accuracy: Gustafsson ➕ (77% vs. Giles’ 54%)
- Strikes Landed/Min: Gustafsson ➕ (4.56 vs. 3.17)
- Striking Defense: Giles ➕ (58% vs. Gustafsson’s 43%)
- Takedown Defense: Giles ➕ (72% vs. Gustafsson’s 85% TD def, but untested at UFC level)
🎯 Gustafsson likely looks for control time, but Giles’ striking defense and footwork will make that difficult.
📊 Prop Bets to Watch
| Bet | Projected Odds |
| ✅ Fight Goes to Decision | -110 |
| ✅ Giles via Decision | +250 |
| ❌ Gustafsson via KO/TKO | +200 |
| 🔄 Over 2.5 Rounds | -135 |
| ✅ Giles +3.5 Point Spread | -130 |
📌 Prop Insight: Giles has gone the distance in 3 of his last 5 fights. Gustafsson has KO power, but Giles’ chin and composure give decision props extra value here.
💰 ClutchBuzz Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| ✅ Giles +3.5 Spread | -130 |
| ✅ Over 2.5 Rounds | -135 |
| ✅ Fight Goes to Decision | -110 |
🔥 Projected Parlay Odds: +260
🧠 Final ClutchBuzz Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson Prediction
🎯 Prediction: Trevin Giles via Unanimous Decision
This is a sneaky value spot for Giles. He’s more experienced, more defensively sound, and more seasoned against UFC-caliber pressure. Gustafsson might look dominant early, but if he can’t get the takedown game going consistently, Giles could outpoint him with smart counters and cage control.
💸 Best Bet: Giles moneyline (+145)
🔍 Prop Value: Giles via Decision (+250)
