Get the full Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot prediction, betting picks, prop bets and same-fight parlay ideas for UFC 315.
One of the most anticipated fights on the UFC 315 card brings us to the Women’s Flyweight Championship 👑. Former longtime queen Valentina “Bullet” Shevchenko 🥋 looks to defend her belt once again after reclaiming it from Alexa Grasso. But standing in her way is the undefeated French sensation Manon “The Beast” Fiorot, who has steamrolled through every opponent the UFC has put in front of her.
The battle-tested champion faces the hungry challenger in a fight that could redefine the division’s future.
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📺 Where to Watch Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot? (May 10, 2025)
| Event | UFC 315: Shevchenko vs. Fiorot |
| Date | Saturday, May 10, 2025 |
| Location | Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada 🇨🇦 |
| Prelims Start Time | 6:00 PM ET |
| Main Card Start Time | 10:00 PM ET |
| How to Watch | ESPN+ PPV (USA) / TNT Sports (UK) / UFC Fight Pass (Global) |
| Live Stream | Fubo / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass / DAZN |
💸 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Implied Win Probability |
| Valentina Shevchenko | +120 | 45% |
| Manon Fiorot | -142 | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Rounds | -315 | 76% |
| Under 4.5 Rounds | +240 | 29% |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Valentina Shevchenko | Manon Fiorot |
| Record | 24-4-1 | 12-1-0 |
| Age | 37 | 35 |
| Height | 5’5″ | 5’7″ |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed/Min | 3.16 | 6.26 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 41% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 2.00 | 3.77 |
| Strike Defense | 64% | 68% |
| Takedowns/15 Min | 2.74 | 1.00 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 64% | 42% |
| Takedown Defense | 71% | 93% |
| Submission Attempts | 0.3 | 0.7 |
🟢 Why Valentina Shevchenko Will Win
- ✅ Unmatched experience as a multi-time UFC Champion
- ✅ High-level wrestling and clinch work
- ✅ Master of in-fight adjustments
- ✅ Elite striking accuracy and defensive awareness
Shevchenko’s championship pedigree speaks for itself. After overcoming adversity to reclaim her title, she proved once again why she’s one of the greatest women’s fighters of all time 🐐. Against Fiorot, Shevchenko’s keys to victory lie in mixing her striking with takedowns and clinch control. If she can bring Fiorot to the ground and neutralize her volume striking, Shevchenko has the experience and fight IQ to win rounds and outclass the challenger.
🟣 Why Manon Fiorot Will Win
- ✅ Unbeaten in the UFC with 7 straight wins
- ✅ Insane striking volume (6.26 SLpM)
- ✅ Excellent takedown defense (93%)
- ✅ Relentless forward pressure
Fiorot is the most dangerous striker Shevchenko has faced in years. She overwhelms opponents with speed, volume, and footwork. Her ability to keep fights standing and pile up damage while staying defensively sound makes her a nightmare matchup for anyone. If she can maintain distance, defend takedowns, and win the volume battle, Fiorot could dethrone the queen and take the belt back to France 🇫🇷.
🎯 Prop Bets to Watch
| Prop Market | Odds |
| Fight Goes the Distance | -300 |
| Over 4.5 Rounds | -315 |
| Shevchenko to Win by Decision | +185 |
| Fiorot to Win by Decision | +140 |
| Fight Ends in Round 5 | +700 |
| Fiorot to Win by KO/TKO | +450 |
| Shevchenko to Win by Submission | +650 |
💰 ClutchBuzz Parlay Suggestion
✅ Fight Goes the Distance (-300)
✅ Fiorot to Win by Decision (+140)
🤑 Parlay Payout: +190
🏆 Final ClutchBuzz Prediction & Pick
Get ready for 25 minutes of high-level chess on the feet 🧠💥. While Fiorot holds the advantage in output and pressure, Shevchenko’s experience, grappling edge, and ability to adapt in championship rounds should not be overlooked.
We expect Fiorot to start strong, but as the fight progresses, Shevchenko’s tactical adjustments and grappling control could shift the momentum in her favor. In what should be a razor-close fight, we’re siding with the championship experience of Valentina “Bullet” Shevchenko to get it done on the scorecards.
✅ Final Pick: Valentina Shevchenko (+120)
✅ Best Parlay: Fight Goes the Distance + Fiorot by Decision (+190)
