Get the full Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate prediction for Saturday, May 3. A pivotal bantamweight bout headlines the UFC Des Moines undercard this Saturday as Yana Santos squares off against former champion Miesha “Cupcake” Tate at Wells Fargo Arena. With the division’s rankings heating up, this fight could determine which veteran remains in the conversation for a top contender slot.
Santos, coming off a dominant win over Chelsea Chandler, enters this matchup as a technical striker with high output and accuracy. Her 4.42 significant strikes landed per minute and 58% accuracy mark her as a constant threat on the feet. But standing in her way is a determined Miesha Tate, who reminded fans of her grappling prowess with a third-round submission win over Julia Avila. Despite being 38, Tate still possesses a wrestling-heavy skill set and the heart of a champion.
This fight represents a classic clash of styles — striking vs. grappling — and with both women seeking one last surge in their careers, expect urgency, intensity, and the possibility of an explosive finish in Des Moines.
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📺 Where to Watch Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate? (May 3, 2025)
| Detail | Info |
| Event | UFC Des Moines |
| Fight | Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate |
| Date | Saturday, May 3, 2025 |
| Time | Main Card (10 p.m. ET approx.) |
| Location | Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA |
| Broadcast | ESPN / ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass |
💰 Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline |
| Yana Santos | +114 |
| Miesha Tate | -135 |
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Yana Santos | Miesha Tate |
| Record | 15-8-0 (1 NC) | 20-9-0 |
| Height | 5’6″ | 5’6″ |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Age | 35 | 38 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 12:21 | 12:43 |
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4.42 per min (58% acc.) | 2.62 per min (45% acc.) |
| Significant Strikes Absorbed | 3.12 per min (50% def.) | 2.98 per min (51% def.) |
| Takedowns | 0.97 per 15 min (53%) | 2.02 per 15 min (31%) |
| Takedown Defense | 42% | 55% |
| Submission Avg. | 0.1 per 15 min | 1.3 per 15 min |
🔍 Key Factors & Fight Breakdown
- Santos’ Striking Edge: With over 4 significant strikes landed per minute and nearly 60% accuracy, Santos is one of the more polished strikers in the division. Her last fight saw her land 94 of 135 significant strikes — a massive 69% success rate.
- Tate’s Grappling Threat: A submission win over Avila reminded everyone that Tate’s wrestling-first approach remains dangerous. She landed 86% of her significant strikes in that bout and attempted several takedowns, eventually finishing with a rear-naked choke.
- Experience Gap: While Santos is sharp and aggressive, Tate has championship experience, having fought the best of the best for over a decade. Her resilience and fight IQ can’t be underestimated.
- X-Factor: Takedown defense. Santos has struggled historically against pressure wrestlers. If she can keep it standing, she likely wins on volume and damage. But if Tate drags her into deep waters, her ground game could be the difference.
🧠 Prop Bets to Consider
| Bet Type | Odds* |
| Miesha Tate by Submission | +350 to +400 |
| Yana Santos by Decision | +240 to +275 |
| Fight Goes to Decision | -110 |
| Over 2.5 Rounds | -150 |
| Either Fighter Wins in R3 | +650 |
*Odds may vary by sportsbook.
💥 Same Fight Parlay
| Leg | Pick |
| Method of Victory | Miesha Tate by Submission |
| Total Rounds | Over 1.5 |
| Fighter to Land Takedown | Miesha Tate |
| Final Odds (est.) | +525 |
This combo capitalizes on Tate’s grappling edge while giving a little round cushion for her to work the finish.
🔮 Yana Santos vs. Miesha Tate Prediction
| Pick Type | Selection |
| Winner | Miesha Tate (-135) |
| Method | Submission (Round 2) |
| Total Rounds | Under 2.5 Rounds |
| Confidence Level | ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ |
We’re backing Tate by submission here. Santos may win the striking exchanges early, but as the fight progresses, we expect “Cupcake” to clinch, control, and eventually find a finish on the mat. Don’t count out her championship pedigree.
