Let’s break down the best Kelsey Mitchell prop bet picks to target for Thursday’s primetime matchup, with updated odds and insight into how her role shapes up against Atlanta Dream.
Kelsey Mitchell has long been a walking bucket for the Indiana Fever, and she’s coming off a hot 24-point game against the Dream. As the Fever look to bounce back in this rematch, oddsmakers have set Mitchell’s props with a modest ceiling. Let’s break down where the value lies.
Check the future WNBA Championship odds here and upcoming match schedule here.
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📺 Where to Watch Kelsey Mitchell Next Game? (Thursday, May 22)
- 📍 Location: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- 🗓️ Date: Thursday, May 22, 2025
- ⏰ Tipoff: 7:30 PM ET
- 📺 Broadcast: YouTube TV, WNBA League Pass
- 💻 Streaming: FuboTV, ESPN+ (regional restrictions may apply)
📊 Kelsey Mitchell Prop Lines Today
| Prop | Line | Best Odds |
| Points | 17.0 | Over (-135) / Under (+105) |
| Rebounds | 2.6 | Over (-113) / Under (-113) |
| Assists | 2.0 | Over (+110) / Under (-145) |
| 3PM (Bonus) | 2.5 | Over (+130) |
🔍 Prop Bet Breakdown
💥 Top Pick: Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+130)
Mitchell is a volume sniper from deep — she’s averaging 2.4 threes made per game in her WNBA career and hit 50% from deep in the season opener. She went 4-for-7 from three in the last game vs. Atlanta and has hit this over in 3 of her last 5 games.
- Probability: 51.7% | Edge: +8.3%
- Atlanta is allowing 50% from beyond the arc this season.
- Mitchell ranks 2nd on Indiana in three-point attempts.
✅ Pick: Over 2.5 3PM (+130)
🔥 Lean: Over 17 Points (-135)
Mitchell dropped 24 in her last outing against this very Dream defense — and while the price is steep, the matchup is again in her favor.
- She’s cleared 17+ points in 4 of her last 5 games.
- Atlanta ranks 6th in points allowed (94.0 PPG) — but the guards are still vulnerable.
- Mitchell accounts for 18% of Indiana’s points over the last 5 games.
⚠️ Lean: Over 17 Points (-135)
💸 Value Shot: Over 2 Assists (+110)
Mitchell isn’t known for passing first, but with defenses swarming Caitlin Clark, she’s quietly dishing out better numbers.
- Averaging 2.2 assists over her last five.
- She logged exactly 2 assists in back-to-back games.
- Atlanta allows 18 assists per game, ranked 10th in the league.
📈 Pick: Over 2 Assists (+110)
🚫 Fade: Rebounds Over 2.6
This might be a trap line. Mitchell had zero rebounds last game and is averaging just 1.6 over her last 10 games. It’s rare for her to be active on the glass, especially with Reese and Clark leading the rebounding effort.
❌ Fade: Over 2.6 Rebounds
🏁 Final Kelsey Mitchell Prop Bet Pick Summary
- ✅ Top Pick: Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM (+130)
- 💸 Lean: Over 2 Assists (+110)
- ⚠️ Lean: Over 17 Points (-135)
- ❌ Fade: Rebounds Over 2.6
Mitchell vs. Atlanta is quickly becoming a reliable betting angle. The volume is there, the matchup is ideal, and the value on threes is excellent. Ride the hot hand.
