Explore the best Nneka Ogwumike prop bet picks for Wings vs. Storm on May 19, including points, rebounds, assists, and a same game parlay.
The Seattle Storm will try to bounce back from a disappointing 81-59 loss to the Phoenix Mercury when they visit the Dallas Wings tonight at 8:00 p.m. ET. With both teams entering this contest at 0-1, urgency is high, and star forward Nneka Ogwumike will be counted on to lead Seattle’s frontcourt. However, betting markets may be slightly overrating her potential on the glass in this specific matchup.
Ogwumike pulled down just 7 rebounds in her debut against the Mercury and now faces a Wings frontcourt that spreads the floor and limits rebound opportunities through fast-paced play and distributed scoring. Our model highlights one prop bet with significant edge: Nneka Ogwumike under 8.5 rebounds.
Check the future WNBA Championship odds here and upcoming match schedule here.
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📺 Where to Watch Nneka Ogwumike? – Storm vs. Wings, May 19
- 🕗 Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- 📺 TV: League Pass, local broadcasts
- 📍 Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Prop Bet of the Night
- Nneka Ogwumike Under 8.5 Total Rebounds (-135 at DraftKings)
- ✅ Projection: 6.5 rebounds
- ✅ Probability: 61.2%
- ✅ Edge: 3.7%
- ✅ Last Game: 7 rebounds vs. Phoenix (in 23:51 minutes)
- ✅ 2025 Average: 7.0 rebounds per game
- ✅ Last 10 Games Avg (including 2024): 7.4 rebounds
Despite the veteran forward averaging 7.4 boards over her last 10 games, her current projection sits well below the posted line. Against Phoenix, she was active but did not clear this number. Facing a more balanced Dallas offense with multiple rebounders, it’s a tough environment for Ogwumike to reach nine or more rebounds—especially with her minutes trending below 25 per game to start the season.
Supporting Data Snapshot
From last game (May 17 vs. PHO):
- Minutes: 23:51
- Rebounds: 7
- FG: 5-10 (50%)
- 3PT: 0-2
- FT: 2-2
- Points: 12
- Assists: 0
- Turnovers: 2
Betting Insight
Books have opened Nneka’s line at 8.5 rebounds and priced the under at -135 on DraftKings. While that may look steep at first glance, our projections say it should be closer to -160. The market has not fully adjusted for:
- Her reduced usage within Seattle’s frontcourt rotation
- The Wings’ rebounding depth
- Matchup tempo and shooting profiles, which lower total rebound volume
✅ Bonus WNBA Parlay (+245 Odds)
💡 2-Leg WNBA Player Prop Parlay (DraftKings)
- Nneka Ogwumike – Under 8.5 Rebounds (-135)
- Paige Bueckers – Over 13.5 Points (+100)
📈 Total Odds: +245
📊 Projected Hit Rate: 55.8%
🎯 Why It Works:
- Bueckers scored 10 points in her debut despite poor shooting — and now faces a Storm team that gave up 81 to a Copper-less Mercury squad.
- With Arike Ogunbowale drawing most of the attention, Bueckers is in line for a higher usage rate at home.
- Ogwumike’s usage is trending down, and the Wings’ frontcourt rotation should limit her rebounding ceiling again.
Final Nneka Ogwumike Best Prop Bet And Prediction
📉 Best Bet: Nneka Ogwumike Under 8.5 Total Rebounds (-135)
🔢 Projected Stat Line: 12 points, 6 rebounds, 0 assists
🎯 Confidence: ★★★★☆ (4/5)
Seattle needs a bounce-back win, but this doesn’t mean Ogwumike must carry the rebounding load. Expect her to contribute offensively and defensively—but not enough on the glass to justify this line.
