Get a full Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 4 preview with odds, key players, injury news, player props, parlay picks and our ClutchBuzz prediction.
After back-to-back thrillers, the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to collide again in Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
The Nuggets responded to a 43-point humiliation in Game 2 with a statement win in Game 3, clawing their way back from multiple deficits and dominating overtime 11-2 to steal a 2-1 series lead. Four Denver starters scored 20+ points, showcasing the depth and resilience that made them defending champions just a season ago.
On the other side, the Thunder had their chances in Game 3 but failed to close, shooting just 9-for-35 from beyond the arc and producing a flat overtime performance with just two points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, an MVP candidate all season long, struggled to find his rhythm, while Jalen Williams stepped up with a 32-point performance. Facing a potential 3-1 deficit heading back to Oklahoma City, the pressure is now squarely on the Thunder to respond.
History looms large in this series. The Thunder know too well what a 3-1 hole feels like, famously blowing that exact lead against the Warriors in the 2016 Western Conference Finals. For the Nuggets, a win would put them on the brink of another deep playoff run, leaning on the brilliance of Nikola Jokic, who despite shooting woes, orchestrated Denver’s comeback in Game 3.
Get ready for a series-defining battle on Sunday afternoon in Denver.
Not sure how to bet on basketball? Check our guide here.
🏀 NBA Playoffs: Betting Promos and Bonuses
| Sportsbook | Offer | How to Claim? |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 💰 Bet $1, Get Double Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets | Claim here |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | 🔁 Bet & Get Up to $1,000 in No-Sweat Bets | Claim here |
| bet365 Sportsbook | 🎁 Bet $5, Receive $150 in Bonus Bets — Win or Lose | Claim here |
| DraftKings Sportsbook | 🚀 Bet $5, Instantly Unlock $200 in Bonus Bets | Claim here |
| BetMGM Sportsbook | 🏆 First Bet Offer: Bet $10, Win $150 | Claim here |
| FanDuel Sportsbook | ✅ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins | Claim here |
📺 Where to Watch Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 4? (May 11, 2025)
| Game Day | Sunday, May 11, 2025 |
| Time | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| TV | ABC |
| Stream | Fubo, NBA League Pass |
💸 Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Odds
| Favorite | Thunder (-6) |
| Underdog | Nuggets (+200) |
| Total | 227 Points |
| Spread | Thunder -6 |
Implied win probability: Thunder 71%, Nuggets 33.3%
📊 Betting Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder
- 53-29 ATS this season.
- 35-21-3 ATS when favored by 6 points or more.
- 45 of 82 games this season went over 227 points.
Denver Nuggets
- 38-44 ATS this season.
- 5-3 ATS as 6+ point underdogs.
- 58 of 82 games hit the over 227 points.
🏀 Series Recap
- Game 1: Thunder dominate to take the early series lead.
- Game 2: Thunder make history with a record-setting first half, blowing out Denver by 43 points.
- Game 3: Nuggets bounce back at home, winning 113-104 in overtime behind four players scoring 20+ points.
The Nuggets reclaimed momentum on Friday night, putting Oklahoma City in unfamiliar territory with their backs against the wall heading into Game 4.
🚑 Injury Report
| Denver Nuggets | Status |
| DaRon Holmes II | Out (Achilles) |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Status |
| Nikola Topic | Out (Knee) |
Both teams are largely healthy, leaving no excuses heading into this pivotal matchup.
🎯 Player Props to Watch
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3PM |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 32.5 (-105) | 5.5 (-154) | 7.5 (-115) | 1.5 (-160) |
| Jalen Williams | 23.5 (-110) | 4.5 (-160) | 5.5 (+114) | 1.5 (-154) |
| Chet Holmgren | 18.5 (-110) | 7.5 (-135) | 2.5 (+114) | 1.5 (-150) |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3PM |
| Nikola Jokic | 27.5 (-125) | 13.5 (-135) | 8.5 (-125) | 1.5 (-166) |
| Jamal Murray | 21.5 (-110) | 4.5 (+110) | 6.5 (+120) | 2.5 (+120) |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 18.5 (-105) | 5.5 (-110) | 2.5 (+135) | 2.5 (-125) |
🏀 Same Game Parlay Suggestion
| Leg | Odds |
| Thunder -6 Spread | -110 |
| Over 227 Total Points | -110 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 Points | -105 |
| Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists | -125 |
| Parlay Odds | +575 |
🔮 Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 4 Prediction
The Nuggets showed their championship heart in Game 3, fighting back from a series-embarrassing blowout to regain control at home. While Nikola Jokic didn’t have his best shooting night, his leadership and rebounding were critical in overtime. The Thunder, however, have shown all season long that they bounce back quickly, and they’ll need to be sharper from deep to avoid going down 3-1.
The six-point spread feels a bit generous considering how close Game 3 was. Denver has the home crowd behind them and the experience to keep this game tight once again.
Final Score Prediction:
Oklahoma City Thunder 117, Denver Nuggets 114
- Spread Pick: Nuggets +6
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-245)
- Total Pick: Over 227 Points
This game is shaping up to be another thriller, but expect the Thunder to find a way to even up the series heading back to Oklahoma City.
