The No. 8 Florida State Seminoles (3-0) hit the road for a primetime ACC showdown against the Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) on Friday night at Scott Stadium. The Seminoles have looked like one of the most dominant teams in the country, averaging nearly 60 points per game, while the Cavaliers have proven they can hang with anyone offensively.
Florida State is listed as a 7-point road favorite, but Virginia is looking to pull the upset at home under the lights in Charlottesville. With both teams ranking inside the top 11 nationally in scoring offense, this matchup has all the makings of a Friday night shootout.
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How to Watch Florida State vs. Virginia? (September 26)
Matchup | Florida State Seminoles vs Virginia Cavaliers |
Date | Friday, September 26, 2025 |
Time | 7:00 p.m. ET |
Location | Scott Stadium – Charlottesville, VA |
TV | ESPN |
Live Stream | Fubo Sports |
Florida State vs Virginia Betting Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
Florida State | -7 (-110) | -270 | O 59.5 (-110) |
Virginia | +7 (-110) | +220 | U 59.5 (-110) |
Florida State Betting Breakdown (3-0)
The Seminoles enter Week 5 as one of the most complete teams in the country. The Seminoles are averaging 58 points per game (No. 1 FBS), thanks to an unstoppable ground game that’s putting up 363 rushing yards per contest (2nd nationally). Their balanced attack has allowed them to outscore opponents by a combined 174–30.
Defensively, FSU has been just as dominant. They’re holding teams to 10 points per game (12th) and allowing only 248 yards of total offense per game (21st). Their front seven is giving up just 78.3 rushing YPG (15th), which could force Virginia to pass more often than usual.
Seminoles ATS/O-U Trends (2025):
- ATS Record: 2-0
- ATS as favorite of 7+ pts: 1-0
- O/U Record: 3-0 (all overs have cashed)
- Average Game Total: 52.0 points
Virginia Betting Breakdown (3-1)
The Cavaliers might not be ranked, but their offense has been just as explosive as FSU’s. Virginia is averaging 45.5 PPG (9th in FBS) while putting up 564.5 yards per game (5th). QB J’Mari Taylor has been the centerpiece, guiding a passing attack that averages 313 yards per game (20th).
On the ground, the Cavs aren’t far behind Florida State, rushing for 251.5 yards per game (13th). This balance has made them one of the toughest offenses to defend.
Defensively, Virginia has been solid against the run (100.3 YPG, 31st), but their secondary has been vulnerable, giving up 213.3 passing YPG (74th). That could spell trouble against FSU’s efficient passing game.
Cavaliers ATS/O-U Trends (2025):
- ATS Record: 3-1
- ATS as underdog of 7+ pts: 1-0
- O/U Record: 3-1
- Average Game Total: 53.7 points
Betting Trends Comparison
Category | Florida State | Virginia |
Record (SU) | 3-0 | 3-1 |
ATS Record | 2-0 | 3-1 |
O/U Record | 3-0 | 3-1 |
Avg Points Scored | 58.0 | 45.5 |
Avg Points Allowed | 10.0 | 19.5 |
Total Yards Per Game | 628.7 | 564.5 |
Yards Allowed Per Game | 248.0 | 313.6 |
Key Matchup: Florida State Offense vs Virginia Defense
- FSU averages 9.2 yards per carry – one of the best rushing marks in college football.
- Virginia has allowed 7 rushing TDs in four games.
- FSU is converting 53% on third downs (17th nationally), while Virginia is middle-tier defensively.
Simply put: If Virginia can’t slow down the run, they’ll have to win a shootout.
Prop Bets to Watch
Player | Prop | Over | Under |
FSU RB1 | 125.5 rushing yards | -110 | -115 |
FSU QB | 2.5 passing TDs | +115 | -140 |
Virginia QB J’Mari Taylor | 275.5 passing yards | -108 | -118 |
Virginia RB1 | 18.5 rushing attempts | -120 | -105 |
Leans: FSU RB over rushing yards, Taylor over passing yards.
Best Same-Game Parlay 🎯
- Florida State ML ✅
- Over 59.5 ✅
- Virginia QB J’Mari Taylor Over 275.5 Passing Yards ✅
💰 Payout Odds: +410
Florida State vs Virginia Prediction
This game has fireworks written all over it. Both teams rank inside the top 10 nationally in scoring, and Virginia will not be intimidated at home. That said, FSU’s run game and defense have been on another level so far.
Look for Virginia to hang close in the first half, but Florida State’s depth should take over late.
- Spread Pick: Virginia +7
- Moneyline Pick: Florida State (-270)
- Total Pick: Over 59.5
Final Score Prediction: Florida State 38, Virginia 31