It’s a primetime Big 12 clash on Friday night as the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1) host the unbeaten TCU Horned Frogs (3-0) at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. Oddsmakers give Arizona State the slight edge at home, opening as 2.5-point favorites, but this matchup has “toss-up” written all over it.
The Sun Devils lean on a strong run game and opportunistic defense, while TCU enters with one of the nation’s most explosive passing attacks. With both teams averaging around 30+ points per game, fans can expect fireworks in the desert under the FOX primetime lights.
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How to Watch Arizona State vs. TCU? (September 26)
| Matchup | Arizona State Sun Devils vs TCU Horned Frogs |
| Date | Friday, September 26, 2025 |
| Time | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| Location | Mountain America Stadium – Tempe, AZ |
| TV | FOX |
| Live Stream | Fubo Sports |
Arizona State vs TCU Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Arizona State | -2.5 (-110) | -130 | O 55.5 (-110) |
| TCU | +2.5 (-110) | +110 | U 55.5 (-110) |
Arizona State Betting Breakdown (3-1)
The Sun Devils have quietly built momentum, riding a physical rushing attack (219.0 YPG, 24th nationally) and a defense that has been stout against the run (95.3 YPG allowed, 28th). They’re scoring 29.8 points per game (61st) and winning games by controlling the clock.
Defensively, ASU has bent but not broken. They give up 238.8 passing YPG (97th) but have been much more disciplined in the red zone, holding opponents to a 75% scoring rate (29th in FBS).
Sun Devils ATS/O-U Trends (2025):
- ATS Record: 2-2
- ATS as Favorite (≥2.5): 1-2
- O/U Record: 1-3
- Average Total: 58.3 points
TCU Betting Breakdown (3-0)
The Horned Frogs come into Tempe with confidence after three straight wins and one of the most potent passing games in college football. TCU ranks 6th in passing offense (341.3 YPG) and 14th in total yards (516.0 YPG). QB play has been efficient, with 11 passing TDs to just 3 turnovers on the year.
Defensively, TCU has shown balance. They allow just 19.7 PPG (50th nationally) and hold opponents to 107 rushing YPG (38th). The secondary has been more vulnerable (246 passing YPG allowed, 104th), which Arizona State may try to exploit with play-action shots.
Horned Frogs ATS/O-U Trends (2025):
- ATS Record: 2-1
- ATS as Underdog (≤3): 1-0
- O/U Record: 2-1
- Average Total: 59.7 points
Betting Trends Comparison
| Category | Arizona State | TCU |
| Record (SU) | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| ATS Record | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| O/U Record | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Avg Points Scored | 29.8 | 41.7 |
| Avg Points Allowed | 20.5 | 19.7 |
| Total Yards/Game | 406.0 | 516.0 |
| Yards Allowed/Game | 334.0 | 353.0 |
Key Matchup: TCU Passing Attack vs Arizona State Secondary
- TCU averages 341.3 passing YPG (6th in FBS).
- Arizona State allows 238.8 passing YPG (97th).
- TCU has 11 passing TDs already; ASU has allowed 8 passing TDs in 4 games.
If Arizona State’s secondary can’t hold up, their strong rushing defense may not matter much.
Prop Bets to Watch
| Player | Prop | Over | Under |
| TCU QB1 | 2.5 passing TDs | +120 | -145 |
| ASU RB Raleek Brown | 95.5 rushing yards | -110 | -115 |
| TCU WR1 | 89.5 receiving yards | -105 | -120 |
| ASU QB1 | 225.5 passing yards | -108 | -118 |
Leans: TCU QB over TDs, Raleek Brown over rushing yards.
Best Same-Game Parlay 🎯
- TCU +2.5 ✅
- Under 55.5 ✅
- Raleek Brown Over 95.5 Rushing Yards ✅
💰 Payout Odds: +480
Arizona State vs TCU Prediction
This game has all the ingredients for a thriller: TCU’s high-octane passing game against ASU’s grinding run-first attack. The Horned Frogs will want to push tempo, while the Sun Devils will try to wear them down in the trenches.
If Arizona State controls time of possession, they should edge this out at home. But TCU has the firepower to flip the game script quickly.
- Spread Pick: TCU +2.5
- Moneyline Pick: TCU (+110)
- Total Pick: Under 55.5
Final Score Prediction: TCU 28, Arizona State 24
